Democrats

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Fri Mar 13, 2020, 11:15 PM Mar 2020

Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Presidency and the US Senate in 2020.

US Presidency-
Win all of the Clinton 2016 states(232ev) plus MI-16(248ev),PA-20(268ev), and WI-10(278ev).
AZ-11(243ev) and FL-29(272ev)
AZ-11(243ev), NC-15(258ev), and MI-16(274ev)

US Senate-
Hold onto
DE(Coons-D), 36
IL(Durbin-D), 37
MA(Markey-D or Kennedy-D), 38
MI(Peters-D), 39
MN(Smith-D), 40
NH(Shaheen-D) 41
NJ(Booker-D) 42
NM(OPEN Udall-D/Lujan-D)43
OR(Merkley-D)44
RI(Reed-D)45
VA(Warner-D)46
Lose AL(Jones-D)
Pick up-
AZ special(Kelly-D)47
CO(Hickenlooper-D)48
ME(Gideon-D)49
MT(Bullock-D)50
NC(Cunningham-D)51

KS(Bollier-D vs Kobach-R)

5 replies

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Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Presidency and the US Senate in 2020. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Mar 2020 OP

I appreciate your focus. Hope you are right. nt OAITW r.2.0 Mar 2020 #1

Can you say if any of the 2016 Clinton states are in danger of going to tRump this year? lastlib Mar 2020 #2

Doubtful Aquaria Mar 2020 #5

Other possible pickups (Long shots, but not that long) Aquaria Mar 2020 #3

PLEEeeeeze, Baby Jesus, make this happen! lastlib Mar 2020 #4

OAITW r.2.0

(24,504 posts)

1. I appreciate your focus. Hope you are right. nt

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 11:18 PM

Mar 2020

lastlib

(23,239 posts)

2. Can you say if any of the 2016 Clinton states are in danger of going to tRump this year?

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 11:38 PM

Mar 2020

That would give us a different calculus.

We may need more than this to offset tRumpRussia interference? Actually, what I want is a 48-state landslide (hey a guy can dream, can't he?) to totally BURY the futhermucker.

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)

5. Doubtful

Reply to lastlib (Reply #2)

Sat Mar 14, 2020, 12:02 AM

Mar 2020

But I'll let you decide if any of these states will turn red:

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachussetts
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington

As for the Obama states that Hillary lost, I wouldn't count on Wisconsin--they seem to have lost their minds for good, but Iowa could very well flip. I wouldn't trust Florida, either. Another state that has gone off its nut for good.

I foresee Pennsylvania as a D lock. They love the Native Son Biden there. In fact, Rust Belt states all look upon him favorably. So Michigan looks good for Biden as well, and Ohio may be close. North Carolina has been flirting with purple status for a while, so it may turn, too. Arizona keeps getting mentioned as a longtime red state about to flip, but Georgia and Texas may not be far behind.

Biden will win it if he keeps Hillary's states and then IA, MI and PA regain their senses. If he gets any two of AZ, GA, NC and TX, especially TX, the GOP will be on life support, and not just for 3 November, but forever after.

But it's a long time until November. A lot could change between now and then.

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)

3. Other possible pickups (Long shots, but not that long)

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 11:38 PM

Mar 2020

IA (Ernst-R)
GA (Perdue-R)
KY (McConnell-R)

lastlib

(23,239 posts)

4. PLEEeeeeze, Baby Jesus, make this happen!

Reply to Aquaria (Reply #3)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 11:42 PM

Mar 2020

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