What is the likely scenario regarding the 2022 US Senate Election?

Democrats winning PA and WI or Republicans winning AZ,GA, and NV?

Democrats will win 1 Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022.- PA(Fetterman-D)
Republicans will defeat 1 Democratic incumbent up for re-election in 2022- Tossup between AZ(Kelly-D) or NV(Cortez Masto-D).
GA will be decided in the the 1/2023 runoff.
There is 1 Republican incumbent up for re-election in 2022 that has a 50 percent chance of losing.-Johnson-R. Johnson’s Democratic opponent is likely to be Mandela Barnes- the current Lt Governor who is a young black guy from Milwaukee. Is there going to be high black turnout in the Milwaukee/Madison area.
Besides Warnock(GA) and Barnes(WI). The other swing state that has a black Democratic nominee is Beasley(NC).