Congress

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sun Oct 21, 2018, 06:33 PM Oct 2018

2018 US Senate Election Ranking- most to least likely to flip.

1)ND- Heitkamp-D
2)AZ- OPEN Flake-R
3)NV-Heller-R
4)MO- McCaskill-D
5)FL- Nelson-D
6)TN- OPEN Corker-R
7)TX- Cruz-R
8)IN- Donnelly-D
9)MT- Tester-D
10)WV- Manchin-D
11)MN- Smith-D
12)NJ-Menendez-D
13)MS- Hyde Smith-R
14)WI- Baldwin-D
15)OH- Brown-D
16)NE- Fischer-R
17)PA- Casey-D
18)MS- Wicker-R
19)VA- Kaine-D
20)MI- Stabenow-D
21)MN-Klobuchar-D
22)CT- Murphy-D
23)WA-Cantwell-D
24)NM-Heinrich-D
25)ME-King-I/D
26)DE- Carper-D
27)RI-Whitehouse-D
28)MA- Warren-D
29)UT-OPEN- Hatch-R
30)NY- Gillibrand-D
31)MD- Cardin-D
32)WY- Barrasso-R
33)VT- Sanders-I/D
34)HI- Hirono-D
35)CA- Feinstein-D

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

2018 US Senate Election Ranking- most to least likely to flip. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Oct 2018 OP

Kaine is up 20 points in the polls and his opponent spooky3 Oct 2018 #1

I am using 538 to determine where each race ranks. nkpolitics1212 Oct 2018 #2

Thanks. I guess that just means that a lot of Dems spooky3 Oct 2018 #3

spooky3

(34,476 posts)

1. Kaine is up 20 points in the polls and his opponent

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sun Oct 21, 2018, 06:41 PM

Oct 2018

Says crazier and less honest things daily. I’m surprised you have his seat in the middle of the pack

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

2. I am using 538 to determine where each race ranks.

Reply to spooky3 (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 21, 2018, 07:44 PM

Oct 2018

Cramer-ND is leading 51-48
Sinema-AZ is leading 50-48
Heller-NV is leading 49-48
McCaskill-MO is leading 50-48
Nelson-FL is leading 51-49
Blackburn-TN is leading 51-46
Cruz-TX is leading 52-47
Donnelly-IN is leading 52-45
Tester-MT is leading 53-45
Manchin-WV is leading 53-45
Smith-MN is leading 53-44
Menendez-NJ is leading 54-43
Hyde Smith/McDaniel-MS is leading Espy/Bartee-D 56-44
Brown-OH and Baldwin-WI are leading 56-44
Fischer-NE is leading 55-41
Casey-PA is leading 56-42
Wicker-MS is leading 56-41
Kaine-VA is leading 57-41
Stabenow-MI is leading 58-40
Klobuchar-MN is leading 59-38
Murphy-CT is leading 60-38
Cantwell-WA is leading 61-39
Heinrich-NM is leading 51- 28
Carper-DE is leading 62-35
Whitehouse-RI is leading 64-35
Warren-MA is leading 63-34
Romney-UT is leading 59-29
Gillibrand-NY is leading 65-34
King/Ringelstein-ME is leading 66-33
Cardin-MD is leading 65-30
Barrasso-WY is leading 68-27
Sanders-VT is leading 70-24
Hirono-HI is leading 77-23

ND and AZ cancel each other out.
Democrats need to pick up NV and TN or TX to regain control of the US Senate.
Democrats will narrowly hold onto MO and FL.
Democrats will hold onto IN,MT,and WV by a high single digit margin.

spooky3

(34,476 posts)

3. Thanks. I guess that just means that a lot of Dems

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #2)

Sun Oct 21, 2018, 08:17 PM

Oct 2018

Have overwhelming leads. Wish we could spread it around to the closer races.

Reply to this discussion