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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:19 PM Apr 2016

Some Exit poll info from ABC Political...

Inevitability, electability and inspiration: Each of these may stand as useful benchmarks in the New York Democratic primary. In preliminary exit poll results, Clinton is seen having a better chance than Bernie Sanders to beat Donald Trump, and by a larger margin than was the case in Wisconsin. Clinton also leads on who’s more inspirational (though by a much smaller margin), which reverses what we saw in Wisconsin. In a new question, New York primary voters tilt strongly toward Clinton on another attribute: seven in 10 think she’ll be the ultimate nominee, vs. three in 10 who think Sanders will win.

Race: New York’s Democratic electorate is notable for its racial and ethnic diversity, including substantial numbers of blacks and Hispanics alike. Nonwhites account for four in 10 New York Democratic primary voters in preliminary exit poll results – including two in 10 blacks and more than one in 10 Hispanics, groups in which Clinton has done well. Many northern states to vote so far have had large shares of white voters – 83 percent in Wisconsin, for instance. (One exception was Illinois, 58 percent white, which Clinton narrowly won.)

Partisanship: New York’s closed primary may have an effect. Independents – a strong group for Sanders – accounted for 27 percent of Democratic voters in Wisconsin’s open primaries, and indeed have averaged nearly as high, 24 percent, across all Democratic primaries to date (peaking at 41 percent in Vermont). Independents are accounting for a smaller share of New York Democratic voters in preliminary exit poll results, fewer than two in 10. Clinton’s won nearly two-thirds of Democrats so far, while Sanders has won a similar number of independents.

Wall St., Trade and Guns: Clinton and Sanders have clashed on repeatedly on the economy, guns and trade. Each is covered in New York’s Democratic exit poll. In preliminary results, only three in 10 say Wall Street helps the U.S. economy, while nearly two-thirds think it hurts it; about as many New Yorkers think international trade creates jobs as think it takes away jobs, leaving more pro-trade voters than in previous contests; and more New Yorkers trust Clinton than Sanders to handle gun policy by a wide margin. Only trade was asked in previous contests, with Sanders doing better among the nearly half who said it take away jobs and Clinton winning among the 37 percent who said it creates them.

Vote in November: There’s greater cohesion among Democratic voters than in the Republican contest, with many saying they’d definitely support either Clinton or Sanders (two-thirds and six in 10, respectively), and few saying they wouldn’t vote for either of them (fewer than two in 10 for both).

And in another sign of greater party unity on the Democratic side, nearly seven in 10 think the primaries have energized the party, while only a quarter says it’s divided the party, with the latter much lower among Democratic than Republican voters.

Honesty: Another result marks Clinton’s continued challenges with views of her honesty. About six in 10 Democratic voters in preliminary exit poll results say she’s honest and trustworthy – leaving more than a third who say otherwise. More than eight in 10, by contrast, see Sanders as honest and trustworthy. That’s about in line with what we’ve seen in previous states – meaning not better for Clinton in her home state than elsewhere.

Unfairness: In another dig at Clinton – again notable in her home state – about half in preliminary exit poll results say she’s run the “more unfair” campaign, vs. a third who say that about Sanders.

Obama: At the same time, half of Democratic primary voters in New York want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies; Clinton has won nearly three-quarters of these Clinton has won nearly three-quarters of these voters so far in 2016. Four in 10 want more liberal policies, a group that previously voted just as strongly for Sanders.

Religion: Lastly, while we’ve noted the racial and ethnic diversity of New York Democratic primary voters, their unusual level of religious diversity also is worth nothing: Three in 10 Protestant, a quarter Catholic, a quarter professing no religion, one in 10 Jews, one in 10 other.

Caution: Exit poll results this evening may change significantly after 9 p.m.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-democratic-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38487802

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Some Exit poll info from ABC Political... (Original Post) book_worm Apr 2016 OP
Unfairness - what is that about? SharonClark Apr 2016 #1
It's perception, based on media coverage of whining about the Dem Party by displacedtexan Apr 2016 #2
Yeah, talk about a bullshit metric. Sanders is the one who has fundraised from every scandal he's IamMab Apr 2016 #3
I like the looks of this mcar Apr 2016 #4
 

IamMab

(1,359 posts)
3. Yeah, talk about a bullshit metric. Sanders is the one who has fundraised from every scandal he's
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:32 PM
Apr 2016

been involved in. Hack the DNC? Ask for money. Impersonate union members in Nevada? Ask for money. Have a terrible interview where your core issues is exposed as something you don't know dick about? Ask for money!

How about the fact that only men have held the office for which Clinton is running? How "fair" is that??

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