HRC GROUP...Why Bernie's Path to Victory following NY is pure fantasy
SNIP
The chart also required that he win New York by at least 4 points...and as we all know, it ended up being a 16-point Clinton romp instead.
The chart has been updated following last night's decisive results:
To put it bluntly, this is pure fantasy...and we need only look to the April 26th contests to see why.
In Pennsylvania, Sanders needs to win by 11 but he's down by 13:
MORE at link on PA
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n Maryland, Clinton needs to win by only 5 but instead she'sup by 25
MORE at link on MD
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n Connecticut, Sanders needs to win by 16 but instead he'sdown by 9:
MORE at link on CT
Polling out of Delaware and Rhode Island is scant, but there's no reason to believe that Hillary won't win easily in the former while keeping it reasonably close in the latter (considering her win in Massachusetts).
In short, demographics and polling are pointing to another
big night for Clinton on April 26th in which she will quite possibly net even more delegates than she did in New York. After that, Sanders will have to sweep every remaining contest except D.C. by completely absurd margins.
To pick the biggest and most obvious example, Bernie will probably need to win California by about 30 points after next Tuesday. However, he'll have to defy the state's demographics as well as every single poll in order to achieve even a very narrow victory.
It's just not going to happen.
Hillary Rodham Clinton will be the Democratic nominee in 2016.
http://www.hillaryhq.com/2016/04/hillary-rodham-clinton-will-be.html?m=1