Real Momentum.

Not Sander's NOmentum

win 8 straight small population/low delegate states, and it's ... all about MOMENTUM, baby!

Lose a state that nearly wipes out the 8 state gain, and it's ... all about the number of states won, baby!

That ought to seal the deal.

But not in the mind of the delusional

The denial is strong!

...that not even Weaver or Devine can spin with fairy-tale math and logic.

That day is very close!

BS' fate was sealed. To keep soaking little donors for their last 20 bucks reminds me of Pat Robertson's 700 Club.

It's the math, baby!

The 538 forecast is based strictly on overall election results at the state level. Only about 50 percent are based on state results. The remaining are at the congressional district level. If the spread is not bigger in Connecticut and Pennsylvania there could be a lot of districts giving both Clinton and Sanders the same number of delegates if they are even number. If the Maryland poll holds up then the edge should be to Clinton.

Check this out to see what I mean. NY Democratic Primary Delegates

...the actual numbers based on how they're allocated is invariably different. But it gives us an order of magnitude.

Look at Wyoming - Sanders "beat" Clinton by about 8% or so, they both got the same number of delegates.

If it involves an even number 8 or below the odds are that it will be split evenly. I believe 10 is the most delegates allocated to a congressional district. There aren't many that have 10.

Any even number of delegates would require about a 12.5% difference for a candidate to receive more delegates than the loser. It doesn't matter if they receive 1 more vote than the other candidate.

I can't wait for New Jersey!!!!! My entire block (except for the weird Teabag family) are voting for Hillary! A whole bunch of us are walking over to the school together

And then, going forward, he'll need to have to BETTER THAN LANDSLIDE victories in order to hold on?

Is that an accurate assessment? Is it fair?

this wraps up sooner than we thought.

I think DU will be going through some more rough spots in the immediate future so I am going to step back from DU and let those who need time to accept what is coming have that time.

I will post here or there but I feel that since NY is done I will now take a DU break.

Thinking of you all.

And several hundred thousand more with popular vote..

300 delegate lead with only 1000 left in play is completely insurmountable. Not virtually insurmountable. Insurmountable insurmountable.

it was already over weeks ago but the arrogant and smug behavior of the Sanders supporters who loudly portraying him as the favorite which no poll indicated he was going pull of a upset. Next Tuesday will be interesting when Clinton wins 3 of the 4 states and finally bring this to a close

.....it should have ended a month ago or more.

Amazing – thanks for posting!

No one brings it up much but it's a sizeable delegate pickup.

Please take stuff like that out to GD-P.

Thanks.

...I will self-delete.

right upside the head.