Hillary Clinton

kstewart33

(6,551 posts) Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:35 PM Apr 2016

Update on 538 predictions at mid afternoon.

As of 3:46 ET this afternoon: Not much change.

PA: Clinton holds at 98% probability.

MD: Clinton drops from 99% to 97%.

CT: Clinton increases 1 point from 76% to 77%.

RI: Clinton holds at 39%.

5 replies

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Highlight:

Update on 538 predictions at mid afternoon. (Original Post) kstewart33 Apr 2016 OP

I like to think of it as the Magic 538-Ball. IamMab Apr 2016 #1

That MD drop ... SaschaHM Apr 2016 #2

Yep. kstewart33 Apr 2016 #3

Yeah. wisteria Apr 2016 #4

Thanks for the explanation... savalez Apr 2016 #5

IamMab

(1,359 posts)

1. I like to think of it as the Magic 538-Ball.

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:47 PM

Apr 2016

All signs point to {Madam President}!

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)

2. That MD drop ...

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:51 PM

Apr 2016

is primarily due to an ARG poll that shows is 50-44(which is laughable). They didn't include any racial demographics in their poll though so.... we can't check and see if they pulled a Gravis and included a terribly low number of African Americans.