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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 05:52 PM Apr 2016

Nate Silver: Today's probable results and the road from here

As usual Nate provides and excellent analysis of the 5 primaries today and for the rest of the campaign;

I think what you will find particularly interesting is projections of what Sanders will have to do in each of primaries after today to just draw even with Hillary in the pledged delegate category.

Today Is Clinton’s Chance To End The ‘Groundhog Day’ Campaign

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Nate Silver: Today's probable results and the road from here (Original Post) CajunBlazer Apr 2016 OP
KNR Lucinda Apr 2016 #1
Read it earlier,good article.nt sufrommich Apr 2016 #2
Wow! This simple graph makes it very clear! NurseJackie Apr 2016 #3
I guess their only bet at this point 2naSalit Apr 2016 #5
Please tell me how you copy a image like that and add it to a posts CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #7
I'll try ... NurseJackie Apr 2016 #13
Cool, I just copied your repl and saved it for future use CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #17
But I heard she was panicking Treant Apr 2016 #11
And yet we will still see his supporters insisting he has a path Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #4
If he were to draw even or slightly beat Clinton in pledged delegates... CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #12
A very thin pipe dream Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #14
You're right CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #16
He should Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #19
SO much interesting information SharonClark Apr 2016 #6
Yea, that's really cool CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #10
K&R. nt UtahLib Apr 2016 #8
K&R mcar Apr 2016 #9
Excellent article NastyRiffraff Apr 2016 #15
They call Nate Silver a Hillary Clinton Shill Legends303 Apr 2016 #18
I would like to think that had Silver predicted Sanders victories.... CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #21
K & R Maru Kitteh Apr 2016 #20

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
3. Wow! This simple graph makes it very clear!
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 05:56 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie's "path" to the nomination is IMPOSSIBLE. (Enough of this "still mathematically possible" bullshit!)

2naSalit

(86,646 posts)
5. I guess their only bet at this point
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:03 PM
Apr 2016

is the temper tantrum tactic, much despised and often used in Congress... and the drumpf.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
7. Please tell me how you copy a image like that and add it to a posts
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:05 PM
Apr 2016

Please. I'll love you forever NurseJackie.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
13. I'll try ...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:10 PM
Apr 2016

I'm on a Windows computer using an old version of firefox. I right-click on the image and choose "copy image location" this puts the full URL of the image on my computers clipboard.

When I return to the DU editing window, I click in the message editing box and press "control-V" to paste the URL into the message body.

If the image URL isn't a very complex one, then the DU web site will automatically display the image right in your message. I've noticed that EXTRA long image URL's don't always display properly, so sometimes it's just hit or miss.

I use the "Preview" option to check it before posting.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
11. But I heard she was panicking
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:06 PM
Apr 2016

All through that "enormous" decay in her numbers. You know, the one everybody said she had and, actually, turned out to be less of a decay than expected? That one where she never rose above about 44 on the graph above?

Stuckinthebush

(10,845 posts)
4. And yet we will still see his supporters insisting he has a path
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 05:59 PM
Apr 2016

Oy vey!

Sanders would have to kick major ass in all of the remaining states and still flip some supers.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
12. If he were to draw even or slightly beat Clinton in pledged delegates...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:09 PM
Apr 2016

....(not that that's gong to happen) he would still have to convince more than half of the Super Delegates to make him the nominee. Like that's going to happen.

But let's get though the day first.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
16. You're right
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:21 PM
Apr 2016

I wonder if it is so thin that Skinner makes the call - I don't think so, but it might be justified.

Stuckinthebush

(10,845 posts)
19. He should
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:39 PM
Apr 2016

If nothing else, tighten up the place by getting less tolerant of the clear negative anti Hillary crap!

NastyRiffraff

(12,448 posts)
15. Excellent article
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:14 PM
Apr 2016

Thanks for posting it, Cajun. I'm very glad Nate Silver is around to do the number-crunching. It's not a talent of mine so I learned a lot from that article.

 

Legends303

(481 posts)
18. They call Nate Silver a Hillary Clinton Shill
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 06:33 PM
Apr 2016

for crunching numbers and doing simple math and Sanders has an impossible path to the nomination.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
21. I would like to think that had Silver predicted Sanders victories....
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:10 PM
Apr 2016

...we wouldn't throw Silver under the bus because we would understand math and because we live in the real world.

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