Hillary Clinton

riversedge

(70,267 posts) Thu Jul 16, 2015, 03:54 PM Jul 2015

Among Latinos, Hillary Clinton leads @GovWalker by 69%-20% - a bigger gap even than Pres. Obama's e

Daniel Bice ?@DanielBice 7m7 minutes ago

Among Latinos, Hillary Clinton leads @GovWalker by 69%-20% - a bigger gap even than Pres. Obama's edge over Romney: http://wpo.st/gEtQ0

The GOP problem with Latinos goes much deeper than Donald Trump’s rhetoric
By Greg Sargent July 16 at 3:24 PM

There’s a lot of political chatter today about a remarkable new poll of 1,400 Hispanic voters. Not surprisingly, it shows widespread Latino awareness — and disapproval — of Donald Trump and his anti-immigrant outbursts.

But the real news in the poll is that it vividly illustrates that the GOP problem with Latinos runs a lot deeper than Trump’s headline-grabbing rhetoric: Republicans — for now, anyway — are in a position comparable to where they were in 2012, when Mitt Romney and his self-deportation stances suffered record losses among those voters.

A few choice findings from the survey, which was conducted by Bendixen & Amandi International with the Tarrance Group:

— Only 36 percent of Latinos polled view the GOP favorably; by contrast, 68 percent view the Democratic Party favorably............

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Among Latinos, Hillary Clinton leads @GovWalker by 69%-20% - a bigger gap even than Pres. Obama's e (Original Post) riversedge Jul 2015 OP

Bible-clutching, gun-toting blue collar whites are in decline. yallerdawg Jul 2015 #1

In 2008 Obama actaully carried voters making over $250,000 by a small margin bluestateguy Jul 2015 #9

20%, really, damn Iliyah Jul 2015 #2

Well, Rubio type is probably the 20% Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #6

Even back to 2008, Hillary was always stronger with Latinos. They came around in the GE, but... Tarheel_Dem Jul 2015 #3

Middle Eastern and orientals went for Democrats in Texas also. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #7

Yes, hoping for riversedge Jul 2015 #15

That is strong Gothmog Jul 2015 #4

Kick & Rec! sheshe2 Jul 2015 #5

This message was self-deleted by its author Cryptoad Jul 2015 #8

read the post again OKNancy Jul 2015 #11

thx,,,, nt Cryptoad Jul 2015 #12

Yes! shenmue Jul 2015 #10

Anda, Hillary! Anda, anda! okasha Jul 2015 #13

Great! Hillary has a big Tent! Cha Jul 2015 #14

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)

1. Bible-clutching, gun-toting blue collar whites are in decline.

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Thu Jul 16, 2015, 04:08 PM

Jul 2015

From the link:

In addition, the group with which the GOP does best—whites without college degrees—is the only one poised to shrink in 2016. President Obama won just 36 percent of these voters in 2012, while 42 percent of white voters with college degrees pulled the lever for him. But if the electorate changes in line with census estimates, the slice of college-educated whites will grow by 1 point, to 37 percent of all voters, while the portion of whites without degrees will shrink 3 points, to just 33 percent of the total. In other words, the GOP doesn't just have a growing problem with nonwhites; it has a shrinkage problem as well, as conservative white seniors are supplanted by college-educated millennials with different cultural attitudes.

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)

9. In 2008 Obama actaully carried voters making over $250,000 by a small margin

Reply to yallerdawg (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 16, 2015, 05:58 PM

Jul 2015

That support dialed back a little in 2012.

Hillary can win that demographic too.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)

2. 20%, really, damn

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Thu Jul 16, 2015, 04:10 PM

Jul 2015

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

6. Well, Rubio type is probably the 20%

Reply to Iliyah (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 16, 2015, 04:59 PM

Jul 2015

Tarheel_Dem

(31,236 posts)

3. Even back to 2008, Hillary was always stronger with Latinos. They came around in the GE, but...

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Thu Jul 16, 2015, 04:13 PM

Jul 2015

the majority stuck with her till the end.

— Among Latinos polled, Clinton leads Scott Walker by 69-20; she leads Marco Rubio by 66-25; and she leads Jeb Bush by 64-27. As Dan Balz and Peyton Craighill aptly note, that is in the same kind of territory as Obama’s 71-27 advantage over Romney among these voters in 2012.

As Charlie Cook and David Wasserman recently noted, a Republican still very well could win without a real turnaround among Latinos, by outperforming among a range of demographic groups. But that seems like a big gamble, particularly since the Latino share of the vote is only going to grow 2016, and the most important of the GOP’s “core constituencies,” blue collar whites, is only going to shrink.