HRC won CA and NJ in '08, still lost, didn't hurt Obama in the General. BS voters be aware

The many posts in GDP insisting BS has a chance compels me, human to human, to warn them that there's a brick wall ahead that HRC voters ran into 8 years ago. Hillary won California and NJ, the two biggest remaining contests (she won CA by 8 points), and the Supers didn't switch to Hillary (who was only down by 60 or so delegates) because of momentum. They didn't see it as a sign of Obama weakness, and then panic and give it to Hillary so we could beat McCain. The PUMAs were in full effect, insisting Obama would lose the general and it would be all his fault, the DNC's, fault.. But when reality had its say, Obama won the primary, and the general.

Here's what history tells us- Oregon will be won by Bernie (as Obama did in 08), but Hillary will win CA and NJ as she did in 08. Even if Hillary loses CA, which would be very surprising and unexpected, it wouldn't change the outcome of the primary, or even the general election.

Let's say Bernie wins CA with 60% of the vote. Hillary will still probably win NJ by a decent margin (which has 142 delegates). Let's do the math on this.

Bernie 60% CA win means he cuts into Hillary's lead by about 100 delegates
HRC 60% NJ win gives her about 30 more pledged delegates than BS.

That's a difference of 70 delegates. Bernie cuts into Hillary's' lead by 70 pledged delegates.

She's currently ahead by almost 300.

Remember that these are generous numbers for Bernie. Hillary is currently ahead of Bernie in CA by 10 points. One poll even has her ahead by 20 points (not sure I trust that number, but nevertheless...). This means Bernie will probably, at best, get within a few points of Hillary, splitting the delegates evenly.

Also, a few days ago the BS campaign said it's probably not going to spend more on TV ads in California, or produce new ones, which means they've pretty much surrendered. http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/bernie-sanders-hobbled-heading-golden-state

But remember even if Bernie wins CA 60%, and even if he won NJ 60%, he'd still be down by about 160 delegates.

When Hillary dropped out in 08 she was only down by about 60 delegates, and had just won the 2 biggest remaining contests.

Just a little reminder that it's good to have hope, but don't lose complete touch with reality. It can be painful. Trust me. I know.