Clinton Will Likely Clinch The Democratic Nomination In New Jersey -song also

Last edited Thu Jun 2, 2016, 05:27 PM - Edit history (2)

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-will-likely-clinch-the-democratic-nomination-in-new-jersey/


We’ve known for some time that Hillary Clinton will almost certainly be the Democratic nominee. But when will she clinch the nomination? If you look at the few remaining contests on the Democratic primary calendar, the major news outlets — barring something devastating happening to the Clinton campaign in the next few weeks — are likely to declare Clinton the nominee on June 7. More specifically, New Jersey will likely push Clinton across the finish line, and she may clinch the nomination even before the polls close in California.

If major news outlets declare Clinton the nominee on June 7, they will be counting superdelegates, as they did in 2008 when they declared Barack Obama the presumptive Democratic nominee on June 3. Now, you might ask “why include superdelegates?” It’s a fair question; superdelegates can change their minds, after all. For that reason, we haven’t included them in our delegate tracker — there was a chance that superdelegates backing Clinton might switch sides, particularly if Sanders was able to win a majority of elected delegates.

But that seems virtually impossible now. Sanders would need to win 68 percent of the remaining elected delegates to take a pledged delegate lead, and both the polls and demographics point to his defeat in the two largest delegate prizes remaining, California and New Jersey. Which is all to say there’s now a good argument for counting superdelegates.

If we do include superdelegates, Clinton is currently 85 delegates short of the 2,383 delegates necessary to clinch the nomination, according to NBC News.1 So let’s walk through the rest of the Democratic calendar.

Before June 7, there are two contests: the Virgin Islands on June 4 with seven elected delegates and Puerto Rico on June 5 with 60 elected delegates. No polling has been conducted in the Virgin Islands, but 76 percent of the population identified as black in the 2010 Census, and Clinton has dominated with black voters. (Obama, who was supported by a vast majority of black voters eight years ago, carried the Virgin Islands with 90 percent of the vote in 2008.) Still, let’s be cautious and award Clinton four of the seven delegates at stake.
perdelegates. That’s true. But whether we like it or not, superdelegates count.


We are almost there...keep your fingers cross....



lets hope...Hillary for you

We seen him also in person first and last time it was cool....Barry