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riversedge

(70,259 posts)
Wed May 25, 2016, 10:13 AM May 2016

Clinton teeters on brink of nomination with superdelegates (save this article -it has


lots of little nuggets for next 3 weeks



Clinton teeters on brink of nomination with superdelegates



https://www.yahoo.com/news/delegate-
math-clinton-wraps-nomination-june-7-071625711--election.html?ref=gs

May 24, 2016

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/grtuR3hdOdn6xM27mF9Qmg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjtzbT0xO3c9MTI4MDtoPTk2MDtpbD1wbGFuZQ--/

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FILE - In this May 12, 2016, file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton participates in a round table discussion with HIV/AIDS activists at her campaign headquarters in New York. Clinton is closing in fast on the Democratic presidential nomination. After losing three of four state contests in May, Clinton has maintained a lead over Bernie Sanders of 271 pledged delegates won in primaries and caucuses. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Hillary Clinton is closing in fast on the Democratic presidential nomination with the help of superdelegates.

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She also continues to pick up much more support from superdelegates, the party leaders who can back any candidate of their choice, dampening Sanders' chances further even as he insists he can win them over later this summer. In the last week, Clinton picked up 12 new superdelegate endorsements while Sanders netted two, according to an Associated Press survey.

When including superdelegates, Clinton's lead grows to 2,305, or 97 percent of the 2,383 delegates needed to win the nomination.

..............

Just 78 delegates short, Clinton remains on a glide path to reaching 2,383 on June 7 after polls close at 8 p.m. EDT in New Jersey.
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___

THE SCORE


.................................

When including superdelegates, Clinton has 2,305 to Sanders' 1,539.

Clinton also holds an advantage of roughly 3 million raw votes, based on AP's tabulation .............................

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REACHING 2,383
...............................
Clinton is 78 delegates short.

In the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, Clinton is likely to grab around 40 delegates. That will leave her shy by more than 30, heading into June 7.

With 126 pledged delegates at stake, New Jersey offers Clinton more than what she needs to clinch — even if she were to lose the state.




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WINNING A MAJORITY OF PLEDGED DELEGATES

Because of Clinton's big lead, Sanders must flip more than 200 of her superdelegates if he hopes to reach 2,383.

But first, in order to sway them, Sanders will have to win a majority of pledged delegates from primaries and caucuses, his senior strategist Tad Devine has acknowledged. Superdelegates have never before lifted a candidate to the nomination when he or she trailed in the number of pledged delegates.

"I know that it is a steep road," Sanders said at a recent campaign rally, "but if we do very, very well in New Mexico, California and the other states on June 7, my hope is that we end this process with 50 percent plus one of the pledged delegates."

Sanders is far behind on that front.

Clinton is on an easy path to reach 2,026 pledged delegates — or more than half the 4,051 total — on June 7. She will get there even if she loses solidly in all six states.

Sanders needs more than 67 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to overtake her, requiring landslide victories.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/delegate-math-clinton-wraps-nomination-june-7-071625711--election.html?ref=gs

___

CALLING ON SUPERDELEGATES


Clinton holds a substantial advantage in superdelegates — 537 to 42.

There are 714 superdelegates, meaning 135 have yet to commit.
.....



If three dozen more superdelegates decide to back Clinton in the next two weeks, she'll reach 2,383 before the last states vote.


Among superdelegates who already support a candidate, two have flipped — but not in the direction Sanders would like. Emmett Hansen of the Virgin Islands switched to Clinton, citing the specificity of her policy proposals. In Puerto Rico, Luisette Colon was an early Clinton supporter before becoming uncommitted; last week, she flipped back to Clinton.
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Clinton teeters on brink of nomination with superdelegates (save this article -it has (Original Post) riversedge May 2016 OP
If only Sanders would hold a few arena rallies, the supers stopbush May 2016 #1
LOL sarae May 2016 #4
That's the ticket!!! He should have a Rally for only Delegates! Walk away May 2016 #14
Great to hear! BlueMTexpat May 2016 #2
... Her Sister May 2016 #3
Imagine that.. The Super Dels have been paying attention to what's going Cha May 2016 #5
Most excellent news...coming into the home stretch! She's running her heart out! Surya Gayatri May 2016 #6
The rest will get there, think we will have some more flips to Hillary also. Thinkingabout May 2016 #7
Wait just a gosh darned minute! Stuckinthebush May 2016 #8
"Squishy ethics"? NastyRiffraff May 2016 #9
Trying to be kind Stuckinthebush May 2016 #11
So true SharonClark May 2016 #10
Bernie is like Nietsche's "overman." Koinos May 2016 #12
Nice Stuckinthebush May 2016 #13
Their latest is that they shouldn't be counted at all since it's the only way Hillary won't TwilightZone May 2016 #17
Ridiculous Stuckinthebush May 2016 #19
Sometimes, I think they're doing it on purpose. TwilightZone May 2016 #20
By the time of the convention I fully expect those who have not endorsed to go to Hillary. Thinkingabout May 2016 #15
DWS hasn't endorsed because someone would probably threaten to burn down her house. TwilightZone May 2016 #18
Great article, and post. Thanks! George II May 2016 #16

Walk away

(9,494 posts)
14. That's the ticket!!! He should have a Rally for only Delegates!
Wed May 25, 2016, 08:02 PM
May 2016

And the SPs would get priority seating up front by the Bird. It would be YUUUUUGE!

Cha

(297,381 posts)
5. Imagine that.. The Super Dels have been paying attention to what's going
Wed May 25, 2016, 10:33 AM
May 2016

on in each of the campaigns and are going for Hillary!

Knock me over with a feather~lol

Mahalo, rivers~

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
7. The rest will get there, think we will have some more flips to Hillary also.
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:12 AM
May 2016

She ran a clean campaign and did not fall for Sanders attacks, kept her head forward and went on. With the negative campaigning by Sanders was an indication he knew he wasn't doing well.

Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)
8. Wait just a gosh darned minute!
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:27 AM
May 2016

In the beginning, Supers were evil. Sanders and his cult hated them. They shouldn't count.

It was the pledged delegate and popular vote that mattered.

Now, supers are great because they can switch their votes and overturn the will of voters.

I'm beginning to think that Sanders has very squishy ethics.

Koinos

(2,792 posts)
12. Bernie is like Nietsche's "overman."
Wed May 25, 2016, 12:25 PM
May 2016

He is beyond good and evil.

Or beneath it.

He is not bound by ethical norms.

TwilightZone

(25,472 posts)
17. Their latest is that they shouldn't be counted at all since it's the only way Hillary won't
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:29 PM
May 2016

get a majority.

They don't understand that the threshold would be lower if not for the SDs and this would already be over.

Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)
19. Ridiculous
Thu May 26, 2016, 08:47 AM
May 2016

Their understanding of the process and math is laughable.

So, let's say we take the supers out. Then the threshold for a majority would be lower and Hillary would make that easily. I don't think they understand how to divide a number by 2 and then add 1. Incredible.

TwilightZone

(25,472 posts)
20. Sometimes, I think they're doing it on purpose.
Thu May 26, 2016, 08:53 AM
May 2016

Last night, one of the usual suspects was posting data from the 2008 election. The data posted clearly indicated that Obama did not have a majority of pledged delegates when he became the presumptive nominee, but the projected supers put him over the top. The poster insisted over and over again that the chart they posted said otherwise and that he had a majority. It was basic math.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
15. By the time of the convention I fully expect those who have not endorsed to go to Hillary.
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:08 PM
May 2016

Donna Bazile who is a SD says she has will not endorse right now, I dont think DWS has endorsed so there are reasons not for endorsing now, it will come. .

TwilightZone

(25,472 posts)
18. DWS hasn't endorsed because someone would probably threaten to burn down her house.
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:29 PM
May 2016

If they haven't already.

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