Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumNov 23 CBS/YouGov Poll: IA: Clinton 50 +4, Sanders 44; NH: C 52 +13, S 45; SC: C 72, S 25
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riversedge (11,211 posts)
7. Nov 23 CBS/YouGov Poll: IA: Clinton 50 +4, Sanders 44; NH: C 52 +13, S 45; SC: C 72, S 25
I am comparing this poll with the last poll (apples to apples)
Clinton is gaining in all 3 polls, Sanders losing in 2 polls and unchanged in SC; Most dramatic change is in NH
This is the last CBS/YouGov Poll from IOWA:
So Clinton is +4 & Sanders -1, O'M is unchanged
CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 554 LV 6.9 C 46 S 43 O'M 3 Clinton +3
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls
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This is the Last CBS/YouGov Poll from New Hampshire:
Clinton is +13, Sanders -9, O'M
CBS/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 499 LV 7.1 39 54 3 Sanders +15
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html#polls
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This is the Last CBS/YouGov Poll from SC:
Clinton is +4, Sanders is Unchanged, O'M +1
CBS News/YouGov 10/15 - 10/22 427 LV 8.2 68 25 1 Clinton +43
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html#polls
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http://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-extends-iowa-lead-amid-strong-ratings-on-commander-in-chief/
By Anthony Salvanto CBS News Election And Survey Unit November 23, 2015, 7:00 AM
Hillary Clinton extends Iowa lead, narrows Sanders' lead in NH
Last Updated Nov 23, 2015 10:11 AM EST
Hillary Clinton maintains her edge over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, and continues to cut into Sanders' lead in New Hampshire. With a seven point-margin, Sanders' lead is half of what it was last month.
As she has since September, Clinton holds a large lead in South Carolina.
In New Hampshire, support for Clinton has increased among seniors and she now has the edge over Sanders among this group. Sanders retains his support among younger voters. ..........................
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)BootinUp
(47,165 posts)Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)Note: you did South Carolina twice.
riversedge
(70,242 posts)Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)That's a lot of money to see your opponent extend her lead
riversedge
(70,242 posts)Response to riversedge (Reply #5)
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Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)If he fails to win either of these state he's toast and he knows it.
charlyvi
(6,537 posts)The states that follow are overwhelmingly pro HRC. Here's what Axelrod and Trippi say:
There may be no more important event on the calendar for Sanders than Iowas first-in-the-nation caucuses. He is counting on a political revolution to sweep him into the White House. But with Hillary Rodham Clinton regaining strength over the past month in the fight for the Democratic nomination, theres a growing sense that Iowa could instead be the beginning of the end if Sanders doesnt pull off back-to-back victories here and in New Hampshire.......
...snip...
He has no chance if he doesnt win Iowa, said David Axelrod, the chief strategist in both Obama presidential campaigns. Even if he were to win New Hampshire, it could be written off as a home-state victory because hes from across the border.
Joe Trippi, a longtime Democratic strategist, said he thinks winning both states is the one scenario Sanders has got: Pull off those two big wins and change the dynamic from everyone seeing Clinton as so formidable.
After a pair of losses, Trippi added, the narrative in the media would be Clinton is collapsing. And for Sanders, a pair of wins could prompt voters in the later states to give him a closer look. In 2008, Obama was trailing Clinton in early polls out of South Carolina. Obama wound up trouncing her there, thanks largely to a shift in sentiment among African Americans after he won in Iowa.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/for-bernie-sanders-more-urgency-than-ever-to-win-iowa/2015/11/12/f1ce7d00-8938-11e5-be39-0034bb576eee_story.html
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)If Sanders wins he will look like he can win, but the difference is Clinton won't lose South Carolina like she did in 08 so there is a path to the nomination for Hillary even with losses. There is no path to the nomination for Sander without Iowa and New Hampshire.
Response to Rose Siding (Reply #4)
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William769
(55,147 posts)riversedge
(70,242 posts)on the sidewalks teams. Never taking anything for granted.
Response to riversedge (Original post)
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Response to riversedge (Original post)
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