Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton’s Lead Over Bernie Sanders Widens
http://www.wsj.com/articles/clintons-lead-over-sanders-widens-1453039203This poll has been posted already but this is a different article. (I think.)
The former secretary of state leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 59% to 34%, a slightly larger margin than the 19-point gap in December.
The new national poll comes as surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire show the race tightening in the states that play host to the first two nominating contests. While losses there would be a setback for Mrs. Clinton, the new Journal/NBC News survey suggests that she would retain strong advantages in the later primaries. Mrs. Clinton owes her durable lead nationally to her strength with key subgroups in the Democratic primary electorate, including nonwhite, older and moderate-to-conservative primary voters.
The race looks much different in Iowa and New Hampshire. Aggregates of recent polls show the contests to be close in both states, with Mrs. Clinton edging Mr. Sanders in Iowa and the Vermont senator claiming a lead in neighboring New Hampshire.
I have a feeling that IA and NH, even though tight, will look better for HRC after her appearances on the Sunday shows and tonight's debate. Hope that feeling will be confirmed!
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)Peregrine Took
(7,413 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Cha
(297,237 posts)But, that's not happening.
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)Cha
(297,237 posts)cold water.
Blue
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)I need a stiff drink, LOL.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Cha
(297,237 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)It's another to actually go down and put in the time - hours usually - to caucus.
Many pundits and reporters seem to be suggesting Hillary will easily take Iowa.
Which would impact NH. Which will have no impact anywhere else.
"Beware the Ides of March" said the soothsayer!
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)William769
(55,147 posts)FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)Even if by 2-3 points a win is a win !
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)Especially because she is taking NOTHING for granted there and she, her campaign, her supporters, and all the VERY hard-working volunteers who are on the ground are all working their hearts out for her.
I also believe that it is very interesting to see that while we hear so often that she does not appeal to the "Millennials" as much as Bernie does, so many of the photos of her campaign - especially in IA - show LOTS of enthusiastic young ones hard at work.
If all the Millennials who have been inspired by our three great candidates actually come out to vote in this election, that alone will have been worth it.
Squinch
(50,949 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,234 posts)Tuesday. Bet on it!
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)"Put another way, Iowa and New Hampshire arent representative of the more diverse electorates that Democrats will turn out elsewhere. It just so happens that the idiosyncrasies of the first two states match Sanderss strengths and Clintons relative weaknesses."
In 2008 NH was 54% white liberal and IA 50% -- Sanders' only strong demographic. And,
"Otherwise, just as was the case throughout the 2008 campaign, the media will misconstrue voting patterns that occur because of demographics and attribute them to momentum instead."
I was surprised to learn that Georgia was 20% white liberal. In our county it's probably more like 1% judging from the "here's one now" looks we get from the poll workers. Florida, where we are now, is 34% white liberal, a full third -- actually also a bit of a surprise. We have to get around more.
South Carolina and Nevada 19% and 29% WL respectively.