Hillary Clinton

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts) Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:01 PM Feb 2016

Figured out what Bernie has to do to win or tie

With 70% of the vote in

Hillary - 50.7%

Sanders - 49.7%

In order for Sanders to catch up with Hillary he must win the remaining 30% by 2.9%

So Sanders must win the the final 30% like this:

Sanders - 51.45%

Clinton - 48.65%

It's not going to happen!!!!

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Figured out what Bernie has to do to win or tie (Original Post) CajunBlazer Feb 2016 OP

Polk County is not going to him. Dawson Leery Feb 2016 #1

39% of Hillary friendly Polk is still out 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #2

Just read a 538 report GusBob Feb 2016 #3

Party insiders and campaign people from Hill and Bern Dawson Leery Feb 2016 #4

Cool GusBob Feb 2016 #5

I now expect 1% to 2% CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #7

I love ya, but I have to scold you on your "Bernini" use. displacedtexan Feb 2016 #6

Lol it was an auto correct! GusBob Feb 2016 #8

Have you seen anything on the delegate count ? DURHAM D Feb 2016 #9

Nope! Treant Feb 2016 #10

Berns is at 51% in Clinton County (pop. 48.5k), down from 54%. Dawson Leery Feb 2016 #11

Polk county has been consistently for Hillary all night book_worm Feb 2016 #12

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

1. Polk County is not going to him.

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:04 PM

Feb 2016

Obama won it in 2008.

She will certainly get more delegates.

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)

2. 39% of Hillary friendly Polk is still out

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:07 PM

Feb 2016

GusBob

(7,286 posts)

3. Just read a 538 report

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:07 PM

Feb 2016

Not enough Bernini places left to take the lead

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

4. Party insiders and campaign people from Hill and Bern

Reply to GusBob (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:08 PM

Feb 2016

expect Hillary to win 2-4% in the end. If so, Ann Selzer was right on the mark.

GusBob

(7,286 posts)

5. Cool

Reply to Dawson Leery (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:09 PM

Feb 2016

Thx. Will keep a closer eye on those surveys

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

7. I now expect 1% to 2%

Reply to Dawson Leery (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:10 PM

Feb 2016

displacedtexan

(15,696 posts)

6. I love ya, but I have to scold you on your "Bernini" use.

Reply to GusBob (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:10 PM

Feb 2016

One of my favorite Italian artists.

Just kidding about the scolding.

Thanks for the info!

GusBob

(7,286 posts)

8. Lol it was an auto correct!

Reply to displacedtexan (Reply #6)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:12 PM

Feb 2016

Meant to type Bernin'

My IPAd loves the Italian master too!

Renaissance sculptor if my memory is correct?

DURHAM D

(32,611 posts)

9. Have you seen anything on the delegate count ?

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:14 PM

Feb 2016

Popular votes doesn't really matter. In fact, I don't even know why they are reporting it. I guess cause they want people to get really really excited.

Treant

(1,968 posts)

10. Nope!

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:15 PM

Feb 2016

There's still tons of Polk County and other Clinton-friendly small county areas out. Those balance the remaining Sanders strongholds.

It's Clinton +2 or so.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

11. Berns is at 51% in Clinton County (pop. 48.5k), down from 54%.

Reply to Treant (Reply #10)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:18 PM

Feb 2016

book_worm

(15,951 posts)

12. Polk county has been consistently for Hillary all night

Reply to CajunBlazer (Original post)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 11:20 PM

Feb 2016

by 8-10 points and still has a lot of precincts yet to report--and Polk is Des Moines where Bernie had one of his big rallies that the Bernie folks always insists means they are going to win.

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