Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

William769

(55,147 posts)
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:59 PM Feb 2016

Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support

New Public Policy Polling surveys of the 12 states that will hold Democratic primaries
for President between March 1st and 8th, conducted on behalf of American Family
Voices, find Hillary Clinton leading the way in 10 of 12, with double digit leads in 9 of
them. Bernie Sanders has an overwhelming lead in his home state of Vermont and also
leads in Massachusetts. The race is close in Oklahoma where Clinton is ahead by just 2
points, but she has double digit leads in the other 9 states that will have primaries that
week:

State Clinton Support Sanders Support Spread
Alabama 59% 31% Clinton +28
Arkansas 57% 32% Clinton +25
Georgia 60% 26% Clinton +34
Louisiana 60% 29% Clinton +31
Massachusetts 42% 49% Sanders +7
Michigan 50% 40% Clinton +10
Mississippi 60% 26% Clinton +34
Oklahoma 46% 44% Clinton +2
Tennessee 58% 32% Clinton +26
Texas 57% 34% Clinton +23
Virginia 56% 34% Clinton +22
Vermont 10% 86% Sanders +76

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/March2016PrimariesPollingProject.pdf


Vermont racial breakdown of population

Racial composition 1990 2000 2010
White 98.6% 96.8% 95.3%
Two or more races - 1.2% 1.7%
Asian 0.6% 0.9% 1.3%
Black 0.3% 0.5% 1.0%
Native 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
Other race 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
Native Hawaiian and
other Pacific Islander - - -

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vermont#Race_and_gender

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support (Original Post) William769 Feb 2016 OP
Thanks, William! Treant Feb 2016 #1
It is lining up for a nomination for Hillary. Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #2
Hillary has deep ties to the African American Community and POC.. and President Obama Cha Feb 2016 #3
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #4

Treant

(1,968 posts)
1. Thanks, William!
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 11:05 PM
Feb 2016

I only ever count states where support is over 50% (what I consider the Magic Number) a few days before the election. Just to be safe.

This is early, but...

So for Clinton, that's 8.

For Sanders, that's 1.

Where neither have the Magic Number, 3 (Clinton leads slightly in one, Clinton leads significantly in one Sanders leads significantly in one).

We should be seeing both candidates hit the Non-Magic-Number states hard in the next week, so OK and MI can expect Clinton to be there a lot, and MA will see a lot of Sanders...

Cha

(297,307 posts)
3. Hillary has deep ties to the African American Community and POC.. and President Obama
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 06:38 AM
Feb 2016

has made it clear without an actual endorsement that he wants her to be 45. And, why wouldn't he.. she is the best qualified.

Obama wants all his accomplishments to built on and expanded not pretended like they never existed.. shattered and scattered to the wind.

Gracias William

Response to William769 (Original post)

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Hillary Clinton»Clinton leads in 10 of 12...