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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumDelegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep Climb - NYT - (CLINTON GROUP)
Delegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep ClimbBy PATRICK HEALY FEB. 21, 2016
"...Mrs. Clinton has 502 delegates to Mr. Sanderss 70; 2,383 are needed to win the nomination. These numbers include delegates won in state contests and superdelegates, who can support any candidate. She is likely to win a delegate jackpot from the overwhelmingly black and Hispanic areas in the Southern-dominated Super Tuesday primaries on March 1, when 11 states will vote and about 880 delegates will be awarded.
Since delegates are awarded proportionally based on vote tallies in congressional districts and some other areas, only blowout victories yield large numbers of delegates. And Mrs. Clinton is better positioned than Mr. Sanders to win big in more delegate-rich districts, like those carved out to ensure minority Democrats in Congress, where she remains popular.
She could effectively end the race in less than two weeks time on Super Tuesday, said David Wasserman, a top analyst for The Cook Political Report, who has been closely tracking the delegate race..."
"...By our math, Bernie Sanders needed to win 19 of Nevadas 35 delegates to keep pace for the nomination nationally. Instead, Clinton won at least 19 delegates and possibly 20, Mr. Wasserman said. This is the first contest thats provided real reassurance that shes still the front-runner, and it robs Sanders of the one thing he had going for him recently momentum.
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There is quite a bit more at the link above!
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Delegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep Climb - NYT - (CLINTON GROUP) (Original Post)
Lucinda
Feb 2016
OP
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)1. "She could effectively end the race in less than two weeks’ time"
Yep.
We've been saying that for a while here in the Clinton group!
Hill yes!
Response to Lucinda (Original post)
cyberpj This message was self-deleted by its author.
Ellen Forradalom
(16,160 posts)4. BZZT
The superdelegate system was architected by a Sanders advisor, Tad Devine.
Ellen Forradalom
(16,160 posts)6. Also, who exactly has been caucusing and voting in primaries?
Small furry animals?
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)5. Cha, I don't think this person belongs in the group.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)7. Here is what I believe is one of the key statments in the piece
Last edited Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:10 PM - Edit history (1)
Hillary should have been the nominee in 2008, but Berman was an old-fashioned delegate counter who bested her campaigns approach, said Elaine C. Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who studied the 2008 race for her 2015 book, Primary Politics. She is clearly not making that mistake again.Mr. Berman said Mrs. Clinton had cleared some of the key hurdles in the delegate race, starting with a narrow win in the Iowa caucuses, where she proved she could prevail in the caucus format after losing 13 of 14 caucuses to Mr. Obama in 2008. Mr. Sanders was widely expected to win more delegates than Mrs. Clinton in caucuses because they are driven by the sort of energized voters he has inspired. Instead, she came out ahead.
Note that Hillary has won both of the caucus states contested thus far where the "enthusiasm" of Bernie's supporters are supposed to provide him with an edge.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)8. Yep. She isnt making the same mistake this time around. And hopefully
after Super Tues the supers will just be some nice extra padding.