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Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 08:14 PM Feb 2016

A new set of projections from Nate Silver . . .


South Carolina: Clinton 71.3, Sanders 24.0.
Arkansas: Clinton 71.6, Sanders 25.0.
Georgia: Clinton 74.1, Sanders 22.4.
Massachusetts: Clinton 51.9, Sanders 45.0.
Oklahoma: Clinton 55.7, Sanders 40.8 .
Tennessee: Clinton 68.2, Sanders 28.6.
Texas: Clinton 67.9, Sanders 29.1.
Vermont: Sanders 84.8, Clinton 12.9.
Virginia: Clinton 65.8, Sanders 31.2.
Michigan: Clinton 64.5, Sanders 32.7.
North Carolina: Clinton 64.6, Sanders 31.9.
Ohio: Clinton 64.8, Sanders 32.9.

In all cases, Hillary's numbers have gone up, Bernie's down. The most interesting thing about these updated models is that Bernie's chances of winning Vermont has decreased to 90%.
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A new set of projections from Nate Silver . . . (Original Post) Chichiri Feb 2016 OP
Wow. I'm sure not mad at those numbers! Lucinda Feb 2016 #1
Ha ha! shenmue Feb 2016 #2
Fantastic! yallerdawg Feb 2016 #3
I will be voting in Texas on Tuesday. Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #4
You're so lucky!! BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #6
I voted early in Texas today. okasha Feb 2016 #11
Interesting about Massachusetts, Sanders' neigbhor question everything Feb 2016 #5
Diversity. Treant Feb 2016 #8
I am so jazzed! katmille Feb 2016 #7
That's gotta sting. Treant Feb 2016 #9
Looks like Tuesday is going to be a disaster for Bernie. comradebillyboy Feb 2016 #10

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)
1. Wow. I'm sure not mad at those numbers!
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 08:32 PM
Feb 2016

And I was hoping she'd make some gains in VT too. That is awesome news.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
3. Fantastic!
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 09:06 PM
Feb 2016

We are turning the tide in Vermont!

By Tuesday they'll be splitting the two delegates!

We are breaching the fire wall!

okasha

(11,573 posts)
11. I voted early in Texas today.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 11:25 PM
Feb 2016

Turnout was quite good, steady stream of voters coming and going. It helps that there is a major, hotly contested local race. Good platform planks, too. Equal pay, justice reform, living wage ( which in some places is actually higher than $15/hour,)

question everything

(47,538 posts)
5. Interesting about Massachusetts, Sanders' neigbhor
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 09:38 PM
Feb 2016

I don't know why there are not Minnesota and Colorado - two caucus states that will probably go for Sanders.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
8. Diversity.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:30 PM
Feb 2016

Boston isn't the most diverse city, but it's far more diverse than Colorado is. Minnesota--I'm not sure.

katmille

(213 posts)
7. I am so jazzed!
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:26 PM
Feb 2016

Sitting here in Austin, watching the idiots in Houston yell at one another, knowing that whoever the Republicans nominate can't hold a candle to our candidate Hillary! And after I vote on Tuesday I will join some other Travis County Democrats to celebrate Hillary Clinton winning BIG in Texas.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
9. That's gotta sting.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:32 PM
Feb 2016

So far, only Vermont is in the Sanders column--although I still give him a good shot at MA, CO, and OK.

However, even a four state win will be 3 states that aren't strongly in his favor, while Clinton pulls in seven states, six strongly.

comradebillyboy

(10,176 posts)
10. Looks like Tuesday is going to be a disaster for Bernie.
Thu Feb 25, 2016, 10:35 PM
Feb 2016

Tuesday is my wife's birthday and I'll be taking her to dinner. Desert will be even sweeter when we get home in time to see the outcome.

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