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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 06:20 PM Feb 2016

Some Exit Poll Results from SC...


As always take exit polls with a grain of salt:

Today’s primary is the first to test the Democratic candidates’ popularity among a large number of black voters: Preliminary exit poll results indicate that blacks account for six in 10 South Carolina Democratic primary voters today, possibly on pace to break the state’s record, 55 percent in 2008 – more than in any other state that year. Blacks this year made up 13 percent of voters in Nevada, where Clinton won them by an overwhelming 76-22 percent; 2 percent in New Hampshire; and 3 percent in Iowa.

Many more voters here are moderates, nearly four in 10, compared with 26 to 28 percent in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada; and far fewer are liberals, about half, compared with seven in 10 in the previous states. That said, the share of liberals in South Carolina is on pace to set a new high in the state in what’s been a record year for ideological polarization.

Seven in 10 in these preliminary results want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies, a new high this year and a strong group for Clinton in earlier states. Among blacks, support for continuing Obama’s policies reaches nearly nine in 10. Previous peak support for continuing Obama’s polices was 55 percent in Iowa and 50 percent in Nevada, vs. 40 percent in New Hampshire, where Sanders won on the basis of support from voters seeking a more liberal direction. In South Carolina today just two in 10 want policies more liberal than Obama’s. It was 42 percent in New Hampshire.

Clinton isn’t having as many problems on the honesty front as she’s seen elsewhere. More South Carolina voters think Clinton is honest than say so about Sanders – more than seven in 10 in her case vs. more than six in 10 in his. In New Hampshire, by contrast, twice as many saw Sanders as trustworthy than said so about Clinton.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-south-carolina-democratic-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37241467
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Some Exit Poll Results from SC... (Original Post) book_worm Feb 2016 OP
A few more... book_worm Feb 2016 #1
Wow! If these polls are correct, it's going to be a big night for livetohike Feb 2016 #2
Hillary is going to KICK ASS in SC ! RBInMaine Feb 2016 #3
Enjoy while you can. jknudsen Feb 2016 #7
I do not think time is on his side. riversedge Feb 2016 #11
It seems theore people get to know him, the worse he does. n/t livetohike Feb 2016 #13
Ouch 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #15
Race relations are a huge factor..... giftedgirl77 Feb 2016 #4
lovely to see this riversedge Feb 2016 #12
Which is interesting because that's such a huge part of his purported appeal jmowreader Feb 2016 #14
just going on my gut, 6chars Feb 2016 #5
my gut agrees with your gut... riversedge Feb 2016 #9
hopefully your gut is smaller 6chars Feb 2016 #10
From my twitter feed Gothmog Feb 2016 #6
"More South Carolina voters think Clinton is honest than say so about Sanders" Whow. So the more riversedge Feb 2016 #8
I think some people have not a clue about how savvy jsmirman Feb 2016 #17
K&R. nt. UtahLib Feb 2016 #16
Hillary MSMITH33156 Feb 2016 #18

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
1. A few more...
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 06:22 PM
Feb 2016

In another resume-related question, more than eight in 10 South Carolina Democratic voters want the next president to be someone with experience in politics rather than someone from “outside the political establishment.” It was a 70-26 percent split on this question in New Hampshire, where “experience” voters divided 50-50, while “outsider” voters went for Sanders by a vast 88-8 percent.

Voters under 30, an overwhelmingly strong group for Sanders in earlier contests, account for slightly more than one in 10 South Carolina voters in preliminary exit poll results. That could end up as a new low this cycle; under-30s accounted for 18 or 19 percent in the three previous states, with more than eight in 10 voting for Sanders.

 

giftedgirl77

(4,713 posts)
4. Race relations are a huge factor.....
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 06:31 PM
Feb 2016

More than eight in 10 trust Clinton to handle race relations, while fewer, more than six in 10, trust Sanders on the issues. Among blacks, trust for Clinton to handle race relations peaks at nine in 10, and trust in Sanders falls to half. It’s a concern: nearly half say race relations have gotten worse in the last few years, and eight in 10 say it was an important factor in their vote today.

I'm shocked I tell you. Just shocked.

jmowreader

(50,562 posts)
14. Which is interesting because that's such a huge part of his purported appeal
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 07:07 PM
Feb 2016

However, it goes along with some of the other Sanders results: the only one of Sanders' major issues - the economy, healthcare, education and income inequality - that voters think Sanders is better at than Clinton is income inequality. Noun-verb-Wall Street isn't good when the majority thinks your Wall Street position isn't good.

riversedge

(70,270 posts)
8. "More South Carolina voters think Clinton is honest than say so about Sanders" Whow. So the more
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 06:52 PM
Feb 2016

they get to know Sanders the less honest they think he is. Interesting

jsmirman

(4,507 posts)
17. I think some people have not a clue about how savvy
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 07:35 PM
Feb 2016

the black primary vote is.

Quite differently from all of us excitable white liberals, my thinking is that most black voters know just how hard-won change is and have suspicions about things that simply don't add up.

I'd further guess that they don't think Bernie is fundamentally dishonest or anything - I certainly don't - I just think they are not buying what he is selling.

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