Hillary Clinton

Chichiri

(4,667 posts) Sun Feb 28, 2016, 03:42 AM Feb 2016

Is it possible that Bernie will only win Vermont on Tuesday?

I can't think of any Super Tuesday state in which he has polled ahead of Hillary, at least on anything like a consistent basis. He's slightly behind in Oklahoma and Massachusetts, and while Colorado and Minnesota are still in the black box, earlier polls always showed Hillary comfortably ahead. I personally would be happy to hold Bernie to three states on Tuesday - Vermont, one of the close runners, and one of the caucus states - but could it be that we can hold him to one?

11 votes, 1 pass \| Time left: Time expired
	Bernie will win one state on Tuesday.
	5 (45%)
	Bernie will win two states on Tuesday.
	5 (45%)
	Bernie will win three states on Tuesday.
	0 (0%)
	Bernie will win four states on Tuesday.
	0 (0%)
	Bernie will win five states on Tuesday.
	0 (0%)
	Bernie will win six or more states on Tuesday.
	1 (9%)
	1 DU member did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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21 replies

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Is it possible that Bernie will only win Vermont on Tuesday? (Original Post) Chichiri Feb 2016 OP

The only thing I'm sure of is that he will kill in Vermont. Lucinda Feb 2016 #1

the revolution will in every state with 1000% of the millenial vote nt msongs Feb 2016 #2

Well we can be sure that Clinton will get zero from voters under 17. George II Feb 2016 #16

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #3

If the 4 are close and she wins big elsewhere, she still wins re delegates Rose Siding Feb 2016 #14

Which one of you jokers Treant Feb 2016 #4

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #5

I'm sure! Treant Feb 2016 #9

He may win more than one but the only sure one I know about is Vermont. book_worm Feb 2016 #6

At most two, and I'm not comfortable with giving him Mass jmowreader Feb 2016 #7

Vermont for sure.I voted for two to err on the conservative side okasha Feb 2016 #8

Ditto. Treant Feb 2016 #10

"only" Vermont? 6chars Feb 2016 #11

No disrespect, I think the issue right now is delegates. VT has few Rose Siding Feb 2016 #13

Wht's the weather look like in Minn and Colo? 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #12

Sunny and warm in Colorado. DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #19

He might take Colorado and Mass taught_me_patience Feb 2016 #15

A Gazillion Millenniums Have Moved to CO otohara Feb 2016 #20

Nate Silver's % chance of a Clinton win: George II Feb 2016 #17

Further, RealClearPolitics has Clinton 59-25 in Minnesota and 55-27 in Colorado (but from November) George II Feb 2016 #18

Is it too late to get in on this poll? Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #21

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

1. The only thing I'm sure of is that he will kill in Vermont.

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 03:45 AM

Feb 2016

And that is all i've got for Tuesday.

msongs

(67,462 posts)

2. the revolution will in every state with 1000% of the millenial vote nt

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 03:58 AM

Feb 2016

George II

(67,782 posts)

16. Well we can be sure that Clinton will get zero from voters under 17.

Reply to msongs (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:25 AM

Feb 2016

Response to Chichiri (Original post)

Name removed Message auto-removed

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)

14. If the 4 are close and she wins big elsewhere, she still wins re delegates

Reply to Name removed (Reply #3)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:44 AM

Feb 2016

CO and MN are nerve wracking with no polling info!

Treant

(1,968 posts)

4. Which one of you jokers

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 04:22 AM

Feb 2016

said he'd win 6+ states? I owe you a beer...you owe me a keyboard since I just spit Coke on mine.

Response to Treant (Reply #4)

Name removed Message auto-removed

Treant

(1,968 posts)

9. I'm sure!

Reply to Name removed (Reply #5)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:26 AM

Feb 2016

Reality is not their strong point.

On the up side, Paddypower's revision tonight now has Clinton at 1:14 to win (so you can bet $14 and win $15). Sanders, 7:1 (bet $1, win $8).

Most predictive sites are crawling into the 95% Clinton win range.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)

6. He may win more than one but the only sure one I know about is Vermont.

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 04:29 AM

Feb 2016

jmowreader

(50,567 posts)

7. At most two, and I'm not comfortable with giving him Mass

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:09 AM

Feb 2016

Vermont, no question, and we're certain to hear about the "momentum" and the "inevitability of his winning the primaries" he'll get by a "decisive victory" in his own state.

Mass has WAY too many people who would feel significant pain under a Sanders regime to just hand the commonwealth (if you want a grade-A, Skittles-quality ass kicking, accuse Mass of being a state) over to him. There are twelve Fortune 500 corporations in Mass - the state is thick with insurance companies, banks, medical device manufacturers and defense contractors who would all be significantly fucked under a Sanders regime. But I'll be generous and give him a one-in-five chance of winning that primary.

okasha

(11,573 posts)

8. Vermont for sure.I voted for two to err on the conservative side

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:22 AM

Feb 2016

Treant

(1,968 posts)

10. Ditto.

Reply to okasha (Reply #8)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:27 AM

Feb 2016

Maybe Mass (regardless of the whole Boston and industry issue). Possibly OK. But not both.

6chars

(3,967 posts)

11. "only" Vermont?

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:49 AM

Feb 2016

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vermont_Republic

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)

13. No disrespect, I think the issue right now is delegates. VT has few

Reply to 6chars (Reply #11)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:39 AM

Feb 2016

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)

12. Wht's the weather look like in Minn and Colo?

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 08:09 AM

Feb 2016

DavidDvorkin

(19,495 posts)

19. Sunny and warm in Colorado.

Reply to 72DejaVu (Reply #12)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:34 PM

Feb 2016

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)

15. He might take Colorado and Mass

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:21 AM

Feb 2016

He's certainly all in in Colorado... he's spent over 1MM in advertising there. Mass will be close.

otohara

(24,135 posts)

20. A Gazillion Millenniums Have Moved to CO

Reply to taught_me_patience (Reply #15)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:43 PM

Feb 2016

and they are fired-up ready to Bern.

I recruited 5 neighbors to come to caucus and we're with HER!

Traffic now sucks in Denver - eeek

George II

(67,782 posts)

17. Nate Silver's % chance of a Clinton win:

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:30 AM

Feb 2016

Alabama 99
Arkansas 99
Colorado ?
Georgia 99
Massachusetts 81
Minnesota ?
Oklahoma 77
Tennessee 98
Texas 99
Vermont <0
Virginia 99

Vermont is the only loss so far. Clinton is ahead in the polls in Colorado and Minnesota.

George II

(67,782 posts)

18. Further, RealClearPolitics has Clinton 59-25 in Minnesota and 55-27 in Colorado (but from November)

Reply to George II (Reply #17)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:40 AM

Feb 2016

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

21. Is it too late to get in on this poll?

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 04:55 PM

Mar 2016

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