Hillary Clinton

Chichiri

(4,667 posts) Mon Feb 29, 2016, 07:16 PM Feb 2016

My current prediction for tomorrow

Based on 538's current projections, taking into account the latest polls today showing many of the races narrowing, and assuming a tie in Colorado, Minnesota, and American Samoa, my prediction is:

Hillary will take 518 delegates, Bernie will take 347 (Hillary +171).

This will make the cumulative total of pledged delegates 609 to 412 (Hillary +197), and the cumulative total of all delegates 1,062 to 497 (Hillary +565). Hillary will have 44.6% of the total number of delegates needed to secure the nomination, and 30.1% of the total needed to secure a majority of pledged delegates.

8 replies

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My current prediction for tomorrow (Original Post) Chichiri Feb 2016 OP

A whuppin' Treant Feb 2016 #1

Tryin' to win Minnesota? Chichiri Feb 2016 #3

Sounds good! livetohike Feb 2016 #2

I predicted around 42% or so Stuckinthebush Feb 2016 #4

K&R. nt UtahLib Feb 2016 #5

Mine was close - I figure Clinton will have at least a lead of 200, maybe even higher. George II Feb 2016 #6

The delegate candidate will grow swiftly after March, soon. Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #7

I expect her to be the nominee. PM Martin Feb 2016 #8

Treant

(1,968 posts)

1. A whuppin'

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 07:18 PM

Feb 2016

There's gonna be a whuppin'.

That's my prediction.

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)

3. Tryin' to win Minnesota?

Reply to Treant (Reply #1)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 07:33 PM

Feb 2016

livetohike

(22,163 posts)

2. Sounds good!

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 07:32 PM

Feb 2016

Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)

4. I predicted around 42% or so

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 08:12 PM

Feb 2016

This would be amazing. It would also be the nail in the Bernie coffin.

UtahLib

(3,179 posts)

5. K&R. nt

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 08:18 PM

Feb 2016

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. Mine was close - I figure Clinton will have at least a lead of 200, maybe even higher.

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 08:39 PM

Feb 2016

But there's always the chance (hope) that Saturday's result will tip a lot of people toward her and he win margins will be even bigger.

But the really good thing about tomorrow is that all of Sanders' "strong" states will have voted, and she'll probably win all of the remaining 35 states.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

7. The delegate candidate will grow swiftly after March, soon.

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 08:39 PM

Feb 2016

PM Martin

(2,660 posts)

8. I expect her to be the nominee.

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:57 PM

Feb 2016

Looking at the polls, I do not see a path for Sanders.

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