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vdogg

(1,384 posts)
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:48 PM Feb 2016

I think Bernie *might* win Oklahoma

Not by much, but polling isn't going our way (which is confusing considering the trajectory of all the other states). Not a big loss, but prepare yourselves. Sanders supporters will latch on to that and Vermont like their lives depend on it. We will have won 10 out of 12 states that evening, so don't let them get away with the "horse race" narrative. Hillary was never expected to win big in Oklahoma.

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I think Bernie *might* win Oklahoma (Original Post) vdogg Feb 2016 OP
Isn't there only one poll? DURHAM D Feb 2016 #1
RCP still giver her a slight edge. Lucinda Feb 2016 #2
Two I believe vdogg Feb 2016 #3
Pulling a page from the GD-P, Treant Feb 2016 #4
Oklahoma is purple now vdogg Feb 2016 #6
I see. Treant Feb 2016 #10
Stop using logic vdogg Feb 2016 #11
538 is giving Bernie and 84% chance of a win vdogg Feb 2016 #5
We live in the OKC metro redstatebluegirl Feb 2016 #7
BTRTN is also predicting a Sanders win in Ok vdogg Feb 2016 #8
He probably will if littlebit Feb 2016 #9
Bernie will have won all the states that allow cows to vote. 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #12
PredictWise any good? fleabiscuit Feb 2016 #13
I've heard of them vdogg Feb 2016 #14
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #15
That poll has 29% undecided vdogg Feb 2016 #16
Interesting that the 29% who are undecided are said to be conservative dems book_worm Feb 2016 #17

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
3. Two I believe
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:53 PM
Feb 2016

But relatively little polling before hand. Basically a Nevada situation in reverse. I need to recheck 538 to be sure though.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
4. Pulling a page from the GD-P,
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:54 PM
Feb 2016

We didn't need raggedly old Oklahoma anyway, and the whole place is sour and unpalatable.

I do wonder how they'll swing the concept of a red state going for Bernie when red states apparently shouldn't count.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
5. 538 is giving Bernie and 84% chance of a win
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:55 PM
Feb 2016

They've been fairly accurate this season. There can always be surprises though.

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
7. We live in the OKC metro
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:00 PM
Feb 2016

lots of Bernie signs all over. I am supporting Hillary but I am in the minority on campus.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
8. BTRTN is also predicting a Sanders win in Ok
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:11 PM
Feb 2016

But they also say Hillary will have the nomination sewn up tomorrow. They're even more accurate than 538. Check this site out in you get the chance. This primary is almost over.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/02/super-tuesday-predictions-and-more-why.html

littlebit

(1,728 posts)
9. He probably will if
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:11 PM
Feb 2016

there is a big turnout in OKC. But it's ok the really big awesome state just south of them will get it right.

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)
12. Bernie will have won all the states that allow cows to vote.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:37 PM
Feb 2016

Except Iowa. No matter what they claim.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
14. I've heard of them
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:57 PM
Feb 2016

But haven't really used them so couldn't tell you. People who do use them claim their accurate though.

Response to vdogg (Original post)

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
16. That poll has 29% undecided
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 11:17 PM
Feb 2016

That's a damn near impossible number of undecideds the day before Election Day. I think I saw a similar poll earlier today, might have been this one. Wrote it off as worthless though, no way that's accurate.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
17. Interesting that the 29% who are undecided are said to be conservative dems
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 11:21 PM
Feb 2016

who don't know which way to go--but I certainly can't see them going to Bernie--or Hillary. Maybe they will sit it out or they will vote in the GOP primary. It is a pretty conservative state even among democrats.

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