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Lucinda

(31,170 posts)
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 01:51 AM Mar 2016

What to know about Maine's Democratic caucuses - WMTM.com (CLINTON GROUP)

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25 delegates plus 5 supers (3 Clinton - 1 Sanders - 1 Uncommitted)
15% Threshold for delegate awarding
Absentee ballots have quadrupled over 4 years ago

Video and short article at link



More info:
http://www.mainedems.org/page/caucus-faq

Democratic registration required - Indys can register 1 hr before caucus
Caucus held 1-8 PM
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
What to know about Maine's Democratic caucuses - WMTM.com (CLINTON GROUP) (Original Post) Lucinda Mar 2016 OP
looks like another MASSIVE win for sanders - demographics predict he will win nt msongs Mar 2016 #1
I dunno....absentee ballots would seem to be in Hillarys favor like today in Nebraska Lucinda Mar 2016 #2
Meh. Treant Mar 2016 #3
It's not going to be a Vermont blowout 72DejaVu Mar 2016 #4
She will get delegates. RBInMaine Mar 2016 #6
I'm helping to run our caucus. Sanders will win, but Hillary will get delegates. RBInMaine Mar 2016 #5
Thank you for Caucusing, RB! Cha Mar 2016 #7
https://suburbanstats.org/population/how-many-people-live-in-maine Her Sister Mar 2016 #8
Maine has the highest % of white population in the country. George II Mar 2016 #9
seems like same % as Vermont Her Sister Mar 2016 #10
Please keep us posted SharonClark Mar 2016 #11

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)
2. I dunno....absentee ballots would seem to be in Hillarys favor like today in Nebraska
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 02:03 AM
Mar 2016

Or at least the ones I heard about were overwhelmingly for Hillary!
I guess we will know soon enough!

Treant

(1,968 posts)
3. Meh.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 03:12 AM
Mar 2016

Let's say Clinton fails to meet the viability threshold and gets exactly 0 delegates from Maine tomorrow (and let's ignore the superdelegates).

Clinton, as of tonight, is +11 delegates for the weekend. She gets 0 delegates to Sanders' 25. So she only ends up -14 for the weekend in an absolute worst-case scenario. She's got a margin of almost 200.

That also puts her at -8 delegates in Maine toward her target, or -5 overall this weekend toward her target. Sanders is +8 delegates over his target from Maine, but only +5 over his target for the weekend.

In a complete and utter blowout, the weekend ends up not being that bad.

It isn't going to be a complete and utter blowout.

If she hits target, and she should be close, she'll still be +2 delegates for the weekend and +3 closer to her target overall.

 

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)
5. I'm helping to run our caucus. Sanders will win, but Hillary will get delegates.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 08:07 AM
Mar 2016

Remember, first this is a caucus state and not very diverse at all. It's among the whitest in the nation, and a small state, and a state that's right near Vermont up here in northern New England. So in some ways it's Bernie's "home turf" much like NH was. Hillary's team has been working up here too with many phone calls, a lot of direct mail, etc. Absentee voting could help Hillary's numbers as many older Dems tend toward Hillary at this point in time, and many of them may have voted absentee, they being the more traditional Dem voters. I will credit the Sanders people who have organized strong up here.

So no worries. Sanders wins small, mostly white rural caucus states, but he's barely competing in the larger much more diverse urban states. Hillary will win Michigan on Tuesday and then will wrap this up once and for all on the 15th. *Though for all intents and purposes it is wrapped up now.

 

Her Sister

(6,444 posts)
8. https://suburbanstats.org/population/how-many-people-live-in-maine
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 09:53 AM
Mar 2016

yes you are right! and thank you!!!!

https://suburbanstats.org/population/how-many-people-live-in-maine

website shows all the States' demographics for 2015-2016, just click on the State on the left side of the screen

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