Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumWhat to know about Maine's Democratic caucuses - WMTM.com (CLINTON GROUP)
MORE25 delegates plus 5 supers (3 Clinton - 1 Sanders - 1 Uncommitted)
15% Threshold for delegate awarding
Absentee ballots have quadrupled over 4 years ago
Video and short article at link
More info:
http://www.mainedems.org/page/caucus-faq
Democratic registration required - Indys can register 1 hr before caucus
Caucus held 1-8 PM
msongs
(67,413 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Or at least the ones I heard about were overwhelmingly for Hillary!
I guess we will know soon enough!
Let's say Clinton fails to meet the viability threshold and gets exactly 0 delegates from Maine tomorrow (and let's ignore the superdelegates).
Clinton, as of tonight, is +11 delegates for the weekend. She gets 0 delegates to Sanders' 25. So she only ends up -14 for the weekend in an absolute worst-case scenario. She's got a margin of almost 200.
That also puts her at -8 delegates in Maine toward her target, or -5 overall this weekend toward her target. Sanders is +8 delegates over his target from Maine, but only +5 over his target for the weekend.
In a complete and utter blowout, the weekend ends up not being that bad.
It isn't going to be a complete and utter blowout.
If she hits target, and she should be close, she'll still be +2 delegates for the weekend and +3 closer to her target overall.
72DejaVu
(1,545 posts)Bernie will win around 60-40
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Remember, first this is a caucus state and not very diverse at all. It's among the whitest in the nation, and a small state, and a state that's right near Vermont up here in northern New England. So in some ways it's Bernie's "home turf" much like NH was. Hillary's team has been working up here too with many phone calls, a lot of direct mail, etc. Absentee voting could help Hillary's numbers as many older Dems tend toward Hillary at this point in time, and many of them may have voted absentee, they being the more traditional Dem voters. I will credit the Sanders people who have organized strong up here.
So no worries. Sanders wins small, mostly white rural caucus states, but he's barely competing in the larger much more diverse urban states. Hillary will win Michigan on Tuesday and then will wrap this up once and for all on the 15th. *Though for all intents and purposes it is wrapped up now.
Cha
(297,285 posts)Good Luck for us all!
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)yes you are right! and thank you!!!!
https://suburbanstats.org/population/how-many-people-live-in-maine
website shows all the States' demographics for 2015-2016, just click on the State on the left side of the screen
George II
(67,782 posts)Her Sister
(6,444 posts)95%. Maine does have twice as many people. So yeah, the whitest!!