Okay, so Michigan is going to be closer than anyone thought, and we may lose.
We need to have words, not just with 538 but with all pollsters and numbers wonks about what this means, and how to adjust models in the coming weeks. ALL the polls had Hillary winning by double digits, some by more than 20 or 30. So there's a fundamental assumption or two that is being defied this cycle. Could be that young people are showing up, but a lot of Hillary races would be a lot narrower if that was the case. We'll have to see, but we need to figure out something.
Having said all that, Wayne County just flipped, is currently 53-46 for Hillary with about 19% reporting. Genesee County (Flint) is 64-34 Hillary with 6% reporting. Don't know if it'll be enough, but we'll see.
Recall that Bernie's target is higher than Hillary's, so even if Bernie narrowly wins it may not be enough.
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closer than is comfortable. 
The same things that hurt Hillary badly in NH are working hard to defeat her in MI. They are a) open primary and b) independent voters. The fact that she is still so close show that her Dem base there is still very strong. That is encouraging.
Even if she "loses" - and we're still waiting to see how things will shake out - so long as she gets 63 MI delegates, which looks very possible, she will maintain her current lead over Bernie.
With her delegate count from MS, she will likely extend that lead.
This is what we need to focus on. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/
