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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 05:32 PM Mar 2016

Some Early Voting Stats

More than 1.2 million Floridians have voted early or absentee, about 56% Republican, 44% Democrat. In Broward County more than 81,000 people have already cast absentee or early vote ballots. The total in Miami-Dade County is more than 131,000. In Monroe County, about 2,288 have voted early with about 5,527 having returned their absentee ballots.

Because Florida’s is a “closed” primary, only Republicans and Democrats may vote – independents are left out.

Miami-Dade Elections Supervisor Christina White said the county is on track for a record turnout, with early voting and absentees running about 20% heavier now than at the same time in the 2008 presidential primary.

http://miami.cbslocal.com/2016/03/08/thousands-take-part-in-early-voting-in-south-florida/

According to Survey USA among the 24% of those polled who have already voted in Florida--Hillary Clinton is leading by 69-29 percent.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=378880b5-7bb0-449b-bf41-cfcbde47f2e0

In North Carolina in a SUSA Poll released yesterday 10% of voters said they had already voted and they favored HRC 67-32 percent. See question ten on the link:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=096c4982-8b11-468f-915e-5132f3ddc2e3

More info:
Across the state, nearly half of the 165,951 people who voted Thursday through Sunday were Democrats.

Republicans cast 30.7 percent of the ballots, and unaffiliated voters another 22.8 percent. Libertarians accounted for 0.14 percent of the ballots cast, while Democrats cast 46.3 percent.

That’s about in line with voter registration overall. North Carolina is 40.6 percent Democrat, 30.5 percent Republican, 28.5 percent unaffiliated and 0.4 percent Libertarian.

Read more here: http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article64593007.html#storylink=cpy

In Illinois local issues and races seem to be bringing out early voters in key races:
https://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20160310/portage-park/early-voting-on-far-nw-side-skyrockets-data-shows




12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Some Early Voting Stats (Original Post) book_worm Mar 2016 OP
Excellent numbers! Thankie! Lucinda Mar 2016 #1
Without Independents to come to his rescue kennetha Mar 2016 #2
"independents are left out." What a "revolutionary" concept. Is this determined by the state or.. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #3
K & R SunSeeker Mar 2016 #4
For Florida HappyinLA Mar 2016 #5
For North Carolina... HappyinLA Mar 2016 #6
Also important: no crossover voting jmowreader Mar 2016 #7
Sounds good but I'm still a little poll shy Rose Siding Mar 2016 #9
I don't think any of these polls are accurate jmowreader Mar 2016 #10
SO and I are two of them in FL mcar Mar 2016 #8
Vote early, and most important, vote often. :-) n/t fleabiscuit Mar 2016 #12
Very uplifting info! Thanks! pandr32 Mar 2016 #11

kennetha

(3,666 posts)
2. Without Independents to come to his rescue
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 05:38 PM
Mar 2016

and with his gasp-worthy embrace of Castro and the Sandinistas last night, Sanders is cooked in Florida. Prediction - he stops spending any time or significant money there by tomorrow. A big delegate haul out of Florida then even if Sanders pulls off a surprise elsewhere, like Ohio, a la Michigan, and his campaign is basically dead in the water after next Tuesday.

Here's hoping!

Tarheel_Dem

(31,235 posts)
3. "independents are left out." What a "revolutionary" concept. Is this determined by the state or..
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 05:50 PM
Mar 2016

the parties in each state? Is it decided by referendum on the ballot? Cuz I'm all for it. I think closed primaries alleviate the possibility of dirty tricks by non-party members, motivated by talk radio.

HappyinLA

(129 posts)
5. For Florida
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 06:36 PM
Mar 2016

44% of 1.2million total votes, would be around 538k. That would be roughly 25% of all Democratic voters if they pulled a best in 50 years type primary and had some 45% of all registered Democrats show up.

Right now, if those were the numbers coming in on Tuesday (with 25% in she leads 69-29), they would have already called Florida for Hillary.

Think about that, she's already won the state.

HappyinLA

(129 posts)
6. For North Carolina...
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 06:42 PM
Mar 2016

Georgia was called for Hillary immediately after the polls closed with less than 10% the vote in and her leading by roughly the same amount as 67-32 (she won 72-28).

Again, if this is Tuesday and those number came in, they'd call it already.

jmowreader

(50,560 posts)
7. Also important: no crossover voting
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 07:08 PM
Mar 2016

Not only can't independents go to vote for Bernie, Republicans can't cross over to vote for him either.

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)
9. Sounds good but I'm still a little poll shy
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 10:03 PM
Mar 2016

MI wasn't the only time they were off. One of the Southern states polls were off by 20 also. -In our favor and the margin was large already but....OFF. It will take a few more contests to relax. Wait, better not to relax either way until after Nov.

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