Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumSome Early Voting Stats
More than 1.2 million Floridians have voted early or absentee, about 56% Republican, 44% Democrat. In Broward County more than 81,000 people have already cast absentee or early vote ballots. The total in Miami-Dade County is more than 131,000. In Monroe County, about 2,288 have voted early with about 5,527 having returned their absentee ballots.
Because Floridas is a closed primary, only Republicans and Democrats may vote independents are left out.
Miami-Dade Elections Supervisor Christina White said the county is on track for a record turnout, with early voting and absentees running about 20% heavier now than at the same time in the 2008 presidential primary.
http://miami.cbslocal.com/2016/03/08/thousands-take-part-in-early-voting-in-south-florida/
According to Survey USA among the 24% of those polled who have already voted in Florida--Hillary Clinton is leading by 69-29 percent.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=378880b5-7bb0-449b-bf41-cfcbde47f2e0
In North Carolina in a SUSA Poll released yesterday 10% of voters said they had already voted and they favored HRC 67-32 percent. See question ten on the link:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=096c4982-8b11-468f-915e-5132f3ddc2e3
More info:
Across the state, nearly half of the 165,951 people who voted Thursday through Sunday were Democrats.
Republicans cast 30.7 percent of the ballots, and unaffiliated voters another 22.8 percent. Libertarians accounted for 0.14 percent of the ballots cast, while Democrats cast 46.3 percent.
Thats about in line with voter registration overall. North Carolina is 40.6 percent Democrat, 30.5 percent Republican, 28.5 percent unaffiliated and 0.4 percent Libertarian.
Read more here: http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article64593007.html#storylink=cpy
In Illinois local issues and races seem to be bringing out early voters in key races:
https://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20160310/portage-park/early-voting-on-far-nw-side-skyrockets-data-shows
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)kennetha
(3,666 posts)and with his gasp-worthy embrace of Castro and the Sandinistas last night, Sanders is cooked in Florida. Prediction - he stops spending any time or significant money there by tomorrow. A big delegate haul out of Florida then even if Sanders pulls off a surprise elsewhere, like Ohio, a la Michigan, and his campaign is basically dead in the water after next Tuesday.
Here's hoping!
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)the parties in each state? Is it decided by referendum on the ballot? Cuz I'm all for it. I think closed primaries alleviate the possibility of dirty tricks by non-party members, motivated by talk radio.
SunSeeker
(51,574 posts)HappyinLA
(129 posts)44% of 1.2million total votes, would be around 538k. That would be roughly 25% of all Democratic voters if they pulled a best in 50 years type primary and had some 45% of all registered Democrats show up.
Right now, if those were the numbers coming in on Tuesday (with 25% in she leads 69-29), they would have already called Florida for Hillary.
Think about that, she's already won the state.
HappyinLA
(129 posts)Georgia was called for Hillary immediately after the polls closed with less than 10% the vote in and her leading by roughly the same amount as 67-32 (she won 72-28).
Again, if this is Tuesday and those number came in, they'd call it already.
jmowreader
(50,560 posts)Not only can't independents go to vote for Bernie, Republicans can't cross over to vote for him either.
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)MI wasn't the only time they were off. One of the Southern states polls were off by 20 also. -In our favor and the margin was large already but....OFF. It will take a few more contests to relax. Wait, better not to relax either way until after Nov.
jmowreader
(50,560 posts)There are far too many ways to unbalance one.
mcar
(42,334 posts)Go Hillary!