NY Times voter models for each state (interesting and good)

The Upshot’s estimates of election results include the parts of a state that have not yet reported their votes. We are running several different models for each candidate, using a combination of demographic variables and historical voting patterns. Each line in the charts below represents a different model.


Missouri:
We think Hillary Clinton is up by around 3 points. But she doesn't lead in all of our models.

Ohio:
In Ohio, we think Hillary Clinton is up by around 11 points.

Illinois:
In Illinois, we think Hillary Clinton is up by around 10 points.

North Carolina:
In North Carolina, we think Hillary Clinton is up by around 26 points.

Florida:
In Florida, we think Hillary Clinton is up by around 32 points.



http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/15/upshot/live-model-democratic-primary-results.html?_r=0