Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forum100% reporting in MO--HRC leads by 1531 votes-apparent winner per MSNBC (on edit)
Last edited Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:07 AM - Edit history (8)
Democratic Primary
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/missouri
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)Oh I hate this!!!!!!!!
book_worm
(15,951 posts)than 200 out. HRC has over 70% from the one.
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)For the jumpy ones like me to watch...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/15/upshot/live-model-democratic-primary-results.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fupshot&action=click&contentCollection=upshot®ion=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=0
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)not reported yet.
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)as I was expecting. I'm hoping that's due to the precincts counted.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)is that most of Bernie's areas have reported in and most of the votes to be counted are in St. Louis and KC where HRC is leading. The question is if it's enough for her to overcome his current 1.7% lead.
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)That's pretty close, considering the spending disadvantage.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)True that
Light63
(233 posts)Wow!
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)As of 12:10 AM EST, here's what we have
Bernie is up 4,779 votes.
The ONLY votes outstanding.
40 precincts in St. Louis County - Hillary is currently up about 10% here.
95 precincts in St. Louis City - Hillary is currently up about 11% here.
34 precincts in Jackson County - Hillary is up about 8% here.
That's all that's left. Everything else is reported. This is going to be so close.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)ABC News Politics Retweeted
ABC News ?@ABC 2m2 minutes ago
.@ABC News projects that both races in Missouri will be too close to project. http://abcn.ws/1SRGaUg
Light63
(233 posts)Hillary is coming back!
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)And the lead narrowed further.
Bernie is up 2,285 votes.
Still some votes left in Jackson and St. Louis Counties. Those have been big winners for Hillary, but this could literally come down to 100 votes.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)If the trend continues in St. Louis and Jackson Counties in terms of vote shares with the outstanding precincts, Hillary would net roughly 2,000 votes out of those counties, so that's just short of the current difference.
Of course, votes don't come in uniform so it won't be exactly 2,000. We're literally going to have to wait for every vote to be counted.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)SunSeeker
(51,574 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)be a recount in a normal election, but since it actually doesn't matter who wins a state, I don't know if they'll bother this time.
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)The outstanding vote in St. Louis County were more pro-Hillary than the rest of St. Louis County. And the only outstanding vote is in a pro-Hillary county. I think we're going to do this!
book_worm
(15,951 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)made a big difference. Still some KC out.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)Hillary is up 1,199 votes.
1 precinct is out in St. Louis County.
34 precincts in Jackson County.
Both are heavily pro-Hillary counties. Hard to see Sanders making up the ground...BUT (there's always a but)
There is a possibility that the remaining precincts are Bernie leaning precincts in Hillary counties. With margins this close, anything is possible.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)Thanks for your analysis. I would love for her to win this and be 5/5 tonight.
Princess Turandot
(4,787 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)Thanks for the info.
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)DarthDem
(5,256 posts)I'm sure we'll want to be celebrating in November . . .
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)which is Kansas City.
Hillary's lead slightly down, now at 1,122 votes.
But only 20 precincts left in Jackson County. There is still 1 random precinct apparently out in St. Louis County.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)Jackson County is all in. Hillary is up 1,321.
I see one precinct left. St. Louis County has 532 of 533 precincts. Everything else in Missouri looks in.