Looking ahead at the contests in the next month...

We had a very good Tuesday and HRC is the presumptive nominee. However, Bernie is going forward and now the map for the next month favors him. There are a lot of smaller states and HRC will get lots of delegates, too, so it will not change the race. And once we get over this semi-rough patch we will have a series of races in big delegate states that have closed primaries. Here's a look at what's ahead:

March 22

Arizona: (85 delegates) This might be our best chance because its a closed primary. HRC won it handily in 2008. But we can't take anything for granted.

Idaho: (23 delegates) is an open caucus and as we know Bernie does best in caucuses and in states where Indpendents and Republicans can vote in the Democratic race.

Utah: (37 delegates) This is a semi-open caucus and while I think Bernie is favored we might be able to make a contest out of it as HRC has good organization and the support of the popular Mayor of Salt Lake City.

March 26

Alaska: (16) is a closed caucus but has a reputation for supporting insurgent candidates.

Hawaii: (25) is a semi-closed caucus--I have no real idea who will prevail here. President Obama is very popular in Hawaii and if people see HRC as his political heir then she might have a shot.

Washington: (118) is a open caucus--and in 2008 Barack Obama won it easily. I think that HRC will be more competitive this time, but I see it as likely a Bernie state.

April 5

Wisconsin: (96) is an open primary. This is the big primary election in the next few weeks and will be heavily competed in by HRC and Sanders. The election also includes an important Supreme Court election which will bring out lots of voters, imho. The key for HRC is to do well in Milwaukee and its suburbs. Bernie is going to easily win Madison, home of the University of Wisconsin. I think she also might be able to do well in working class cities like Kenosha and Janesville. But again Bernie wil be helped by indies and republicans who vote in the Democratic primary.

April 9

Wyoming: (18) is a closed caucus but I still give Bernie the edge.

Now the good news:

April 19

New York: (291) lots of delegates in a state where HRC is very popular--and best of all is a closed Democratic primary.

April 26

Connecticut: (71)--closed Democratic primary

Delaware: (31)--closed Democratic primary

Maryland: (118)--closed Democratic primary

Pennsylvania: (210)--closed Democratic primary

Rhode Island: (33)--semi-closed Democratic primary

These are all states that HRC should do well especially in PA, MD, & DE. CT & RI would be Bernie's best shots imo, but I still think HRC has a good chance because those New England states are more like Massachusetts (which HRC narrowly won) than upper New England where Bernie performed best.