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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumMSNBC: Democratic race nears its end point after Clinton’s sweep (HRC Group)
The problem for Team Sanders isnt just the fact that Clinton won all five of yesterdays contests. Thats certainly discouraging the campaign believed it had a real chance of success in two or three of these primaries but the far greater problem is the margins and the increasingly brutal delegate math.
Because Democrats allocate delegates proportionally, Clintons double-digit wins in Ohio and North Carolina, coupled with her landslide victory in Florida (the days biggest delegate prize), means she took a major step towards the nomination, effectively positioning herself as the presumptive nominee.
The Sanders campaign has long realized that catching up to Clinton among pledged delegates was going to be very difficult, but the senator and his team believed they could nevertheless shift the momentum in their direction. If Sanders started racking up wins even close ones in big states, exposing Clintons weaknesses in key regions and with important Democratic constituencies, he believed could plausibly tell the partys superdelegates that hes the stronger national candidate, Clintons lead among pledged delegates notwithstanding. The senator would ride a wave of momentum into the early summer.
That no longer appears to be an option. The Democratic frontrunner has more votes, more states, more delegates, and more superdelegates. Sanders could, in theory, win each of the remaining contests by 16 points, but anything short of that means he will not win the nomination.
Because Democrats allocate delegates proportionally, Clintons double-digit wins in Ohio and North Carolina, coupled with her landslide victory in Florida (the days biggest delegate prize), means she took a major step towards the nomination, effectively positioning herself as the presumptive nominee.
The Sanders campaign has long realized that catching up to Clinton among pledged delegates was going to be very difficult, but the senator and his team believed they could nevertheless shift the momentum in their direction. If Sanders started racking up wins even close ones in big states, exposing Clintons weaknesses in key regions and with important Democratic constituencies, he believed could plausibly tell the partys superdelegates that hes the stronger national candidate, Clintons lead among pledged delegates notwithstanding. The senator would ride a wave of momentum into the early summer.
That no longer appears to be an option. The Democratic frontrunner has more votes, more states, more delegates, and more superdelegates. Sanders could, in theory, win each of the remaining contests by 16 points, but anything short of that means he will not win the nomination.
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MSNBC: Democratic race nears its end point after Clinton’s sweep (HRC Group) (Original Post)
Algernon Moncrieff
Mar 2016
OP
riversedge
(70,243 posts)1. "has more votes, more states, more delegates, and more superdelegates"
ITS THE MATH SIMPLE AS THAT.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)2. Math Counts!
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)3. this!
http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/democratic-race-nears-its-end-point-after-clintons-sweep?cid=sm_fb_maddow
"That no longer appears to be an option. The Democratic frontrunner has more votes, more states, more delegates, and more superdelegates. Sanders could, in theory, win each of the remaining contests by 16 points, but anything short of that means he will not win the nomination."
Need we say more?
"That no longer appears to be an option. The Democratic frontrunner has more votes, more states, more delegates, and more superdelegates. Sanders could, in theory, win each of the remaining contests by 16 points, but anything short of that means he will not win the nomination."
Need we say more?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)4. Nope ... nothing more needs to be said. (But we'll repeat it often anyway.)
Sanders could, in theory, win each of the remaining contests by 16 points, but anything short of that means he will not win the nomination.
That sums it up right there ... and such a thing is not at all likely to happen.