Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumWhy no one here should be concerned about the upcoming contests in western
Last edited Wed Mar 16, 2016, 08:29 PM - Edit history (1)
and northern state primaries and caucuses.
First, none of these contests involve large numbers of delegates.
But even if Bernie takes every single delegate from the March 22 April 9th primaries and caucuses (most of which are closed), he still wouldnt close the 300+ gap in delegates that hes facing now.
If, more realistically, he did as well as Obama in 2008, hed pick up about 60 delegates more than Hillary in the March 22 April 9 primaries/caucuses (leaving him more than 250 delegates behind) before entering the large, diverse, primary states like New York, where she is extremely well positioned . . . though with her current delegate lead, she has a large cushion to protect against unexpected losses.
In the list below, the last pair of numbers for each primary/caucus shows how many pledged delegates went to Obama/Clinton in 2008. (By the time of these races all the other candidates had dropped out, so it was a two-candidate race.)
Tue, Mar 22 Arizona Closed 25/31
Tue, Mar 22 Idaho Caucus Closed 15/3
Tue, Mar 22 Utah Closed 14/9
Sat, Mar 26 Alaska Caucus Closed 9/4
Sat, Mar 26 Hawaii Caucus Closed 14/6
Sat, Mar 26 Washington Caucus Closed 52/26
Tue, Apr 5 Wisconsin Open 42/32
Sat, Apr 9 Wyoming Caucus 7/5
http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/#yf2PE6zmimgdBLW4.99
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008
Stand and Fight
(7,480 posts)SunSeeker
(51,574 posts)Her Sister
(6,444 posts)edit: again here in NY we are ready and raring to go!!
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)People just don't trust Hillary .... her unfavorables are too high
Coolest Ranger
(2,034 posts)its time posts like these go to the greatest page
riversedge
(70,243 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)and, as you mention, not much of a delegate bump even if he does.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)Spending several hours in a room full of purists doesn't appeal . . . .
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)He'll vote for Hillary though, in the GE.
We just pass kitty videos and nonsense now on FB and ignore each others political posts. Ah well. At least he isn't a Trump junkie!
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)Wouldn't you?
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)don't want anyone to get demoralized by the events in the next month.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)I know Bernie will be toast by that time and Obama will have already started to campaign for Hillary in the General but... a little piece of me hopes Bernie will drag his ass this far so I can vote for Hillary! I have a really great GOTV group in my area and we would be psyched to have the practice!