Bernie Sanders Now Needs Landslides to Gain Ground on Hillary Clinton

The trio of elections Tuesday demonstrated just how difficult it is for Bernie Sanders to wrest the Democratic nomination from front-runner Hillary Clinton.

Looked at in isolation, Mr. Sanders had a good night. He won two states; she carried one. But in the end, Mr. Sanders came away with six more pledged delegates on the night than his rival.

That is not enough to significantly dent Mrs. Clinton’s lead and reach a goal the Sanders campaign has set for itself: persuading superdelegates that he is surging and they should abandon Mrs. Clinton.

Mr. Sanders could score several victories in Western states and beyond. But because delegates are awarded proportionately, narrowing Mrs. Clinton’s delegate lead will require him to notch landslides—not merely wins—to garner big shares of available delegates.

An examination of the 25 contests stretching from now until mid-June shows opportunities for Mrs. Clinton to hold her lead or even build on it. As a presidential candidate in 2008, she faced then-Sen. Barack Obama in each of those states. She won 11 contests; Mr. Obama won 14.

But her 11 victories came in states and one territory, Puerto Rico, that in the 2016 primaries account for a whopping 1,342 delegates. By contrast, the 14 contests she lost in her last campaign offer only 547 delegates this year.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/bernie-sanders-now-needs-landslides-to-gain-ground-on-hillary-clinton-1458750919

And some upcoming states which have primaries that favored Barack Obama in 2008 such as Kentucky, Maryland and DC are probably solid for HRC.