Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumNew Marquette University Poll: Sanders 49% (+5) Clinton: 45% (+2) in WI
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In the Democratic race, Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton 49 percent to 45 percent. Seventy-seven percent of Democratic voters said Clinton is most likely to win the Democratic nomination while 19 percent said Sanders.
http://www.wisn.com/politics/todays-marquette-law-school-poll-shows-cruz-sanders-in-lead/38764592
Some tweets from Marquette University Polling:
MULawPoll
@MULawPoll
Among Democratic voters, Sanders lead is strongest in Madison and north and west, other areas closely competitive. #mulawpoll
In the city of Milwaukee, Clinton leads 51-42 among registered voters, Sanders leads 47-46 among likely voters. #mulawpoll
Sanders supported by 83% of those 18 to 29, by 59% of those 30 to 44, by 43% of those 45 to 59, 31% of those over 60. #mulawpoll
Clinton supported by 12% of 18 to 29 year olds, 37% of 30-44, 51% of 45-59, and 63% of over 60. #mulawpoll
Among Dem voters, Clinton supported by 48% of women and 40% of men. Sanders supported by 46% of women and 54% of men. #mulawpoll
Sanders lead Clinton among white likely primary voters, 51-42. Clinton leads 58-42 among non-white voters. #mulawpoll
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)its a victory for Hillary, don't forget.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Sanders would net fewer delegates than he did from Alaska or than he will from Wyoming.
Treant
(1,968 posts)and more or less the gold standard for WI. Barring massive GOTV efforts, I'd call WI as a win for Sanders, about 55-45 by the time all's said and done--the Marquette trend is firmly in Sanders' direction.
Looking at the demographics in WI, that's not surprising. So now call, volunteer, and get out every Clinton voter we can there.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)scheduled appearances were Monday and Tuesday. I hope she comes back to Milwaukee. If she can boost the Milwaukee vote she has a chance to win.
otohara
(24,135 posts)so it makes total sense Senator Sanders is spending so much time in Madison.
peggysue2
(10,832 posts)St Bernard needs record blowouts in the remaining primaries to even tie Hillary Clinton. Nate Silver ran a piece, running the unlikely numbers in the contests ahead. If you're into magical thinking, Silver's numbers are for you.
Win or lose Wisconsin, Hillary's got this.
CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)Despite Nate Silver prefacing the entire thought exercise with the phrase, "To repeat, these are not predictions. On the contrary, they describe a rose-colored-glasses scenario for Sanders that I consider to be very unlikely."
still_one
(92,219 posts)against Johnson
WI will be close. Nate Silver still gives the advantage to Hillary
FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)I hope she does too. This will be a close one
Wonder about the rual areas do those areas lean Hillary?
Don't think the Bern is there all week either going to NY too
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Region
Clinton
Sanders
Milwaukee City and County
45 (Clinton)
49 (Sanders)
Rest of Milwaukee Media Market
48 (Clinton)
46 (Sanders)
Madison Media Market
42 (Clinton)
52 (Sanders)
Green Bay Media Market
48 (Clinton)
46 (Sanders)
Rest of the state (north and west)
42 (Clinton)
54 (Sanders)
still_one
(92,219 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)still_one
(92,219 posts)tells me both are within MOE, and I value WI_DEM's insight.
Of course we will know soon enough
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and still HRC only got ten fewer delegates than he did--and if it's closer than that this time--Bernie will net very few delegates.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)in the last two days where she spoke out on the Supreme Court, Gun violence, & college affordability in Madison, Milwaukee, La Crosse and Green Bay.
jmowreader
(50,560 posts)It's got a lot of rural area, it's majority white, and they reelected Scott Walker, AKA "God's payback for inventing Miller Lite." Bernie doesn't need Michigan redux. He needs voters to break for him like they broke for Hillary in Louisiana, and that isn't going to happen.