They did a poll the other day that had Hillary ahead.

since earlier in the weekend.
Their "Polls-plus" forecast shows her with a 52% chance of winning tomorrow.
Seems almost certain to be a nail-biter, either way.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/wisconsin-democratic/

the SDs and the Big Dog will be working very hard in WI today, while Hillary is in NY. This is one reason why Nate's rating her higher in the poll-plus forecast. She has so many known good Wisconsinites who are campaigning on her behalf.

The silver lining from surprise results like MI is that, if ever anyone took anything for granted about Hillary winning, they learned they should not do so and thus drop the ball, especially where open primaries are concerned.

This is also one reason why I am glad to see Hillary's lead not as stratospheric as it once was in NY, even though I wonder whether those polls account for the fact that only registered Dems can vote in the primary there. Whatever, just so she wins there! But it would very nice for any win in NY to be in double-digits and that's what I'm personally hoping for.

He's been consistently ahead in most polls there recently, and it's an open primary.

But I also think it will be close. Which is fine. As long as it's close, he's not catching up in delegates. Which is all that matters at this point.

I will be working the polls.

than cross voting for Bernie. This is why the polls are probably not going to be very accurate.

Two weeks ago HRC was up by 6. I'm somewhat skeptical of this poll since it shows a much bigger Bernie lead than all the other polls.

and the history of that state.

Maybe she'll make it closer than against Obama, and that will be form of victory.

but not by much. I expect it'll be close. She still gets pledged delegates, win or lose.