Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumBe prepared. Tonight will be bad for Hillary.
Keep in mind, this is a delegate race, not a states race. If Hillary meets her target of 38 delegates, she wins.
Sanders is a blow hard, but like all blow hards, he will run out steam. If Hillary wins NY, then the race will be over. It will be officially over on the 26th.
My advice to you is to remain calm. Stay off GDP tonight. Binge watch something on Netflix and get prepared to party on the 26th.
Gman
(24,780 posts)However I think it'll be close and HRC just might eke out a win, although 38 is a win.
CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)...what vote percentage she needs to get the 38?
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)38 HRC ~48 BS Delegates
BlueMTexpat
(15,372 posts)Anything close is as good as a win.
But I can still hope that enough of Bernie's "luster" will have dimmed in time. There is - at long, long last - some vetting being done.
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)Am in NY so am ready! Will enjoy my night tonite!
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)I'm making fajitas for the family and we're watching 'Room.' I've heard that the two leads are phenomenal.
George II
(67,782 posts)Even if Clinton loses by five or six percent (that's what it looks like now), Sanders will only get 4 or 6 more delegates.
I've been wrong before, but I think it will be even closer than that, maybe even a win for Clinton.
...really good at bullying, aren't they?
What is it about 'fighting against oppression' that turns you into an oppressor?
George II
(67,782 posts)cosmicone
(11,014 posts)52-48 Bernie
Bernie falls further behind and his targets for remaining state reach astronomical levels.
Satch59
(1,353 posts)Thought there was an article posted about early voting in Milwaukee was up 800% and that is a Hill strong hold?
Waiting for reports of college kids being turned away because of Voter ID law trouble? That may play into the story...not wishing trouble on anyone but you needed to be informed early.
Thinking all the BS'rs in NY might not know it's a closed primary and deadlines have passed to do anything about it. He might get big crowds there but I'll guess they can't turn into votes.
JustAnotherGen
(31,869 posts)Five Thirty Eight weighted the ARG poll up there with Emerson - That one has her winning by +1.
I don't think it's a blowout for Sanders.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)I think Bernie will come up short of the 50 delegates he needs.
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)this is a good thing! means I won't be watching/listening anything
DanTex
(20,709 posts)The latest stretch of Bernie wins isn't a new shift in momentum, it's just a stretch of low-diversity states that are favorable to him demographically.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)1. The early voting was very high, and Hillary has so far benefitted from early voting
2. College IDs are not accepted as valid ID to vote. This will cut into Sanders typically overwhelming Indy vote. Other voter suppression tactics instituted by Scott Walker will effect both candidates equally.
3. The polls have been fluctuating, which tells me that Sanders' momentum is once again grinding to a halt. Sanders had a clear lead a few weeks ago, but Hillary has led in a few recent polls. Poor attendance figures at his latest rallies confirm that Sanders' momentum is soft.
4. Hillary is very strong in Milwaukee, while Sanders is strong in Madison. But Madison is a real college town, see #2 above. And there are more votes in the Milwaukee area.
5. Unknown - will Indies who can vote opt to cast their vote in the R primary to stop Trump, rather than voting for BS?
Worst case scenario is Sanders squeaks out a win, but his net delegates aren't enough to make a difference.
I think so too. I'm feeling a Hillary win here. Something feels good. Maybe he's gonna concede :0)
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)beaglelover
(3,488 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)We dealt with New Hampshire and the western caucuses, and tonight will be even closer.
I'm not confident it will be a Hillary win, but it's going to be close enough that the delegates will be split evenly.
Treant
(1,968 posts)Win or lose, meet his target or not, it doesn't matter. Wyoming will be a blowout for Sanders.
Then comes New York, and Pennsylvania. And Maryland. These three form the rock on which the SS Sanders founders for the last time.
CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)...of this interview and the subsequent shitstorm comes too late to really affect the primary taking place today. Imagine how WI would have voted if they'd known just two days ago how poorly prepared Sanders is for the Oval Office.