Hillary Clinton

jmowreader

(50,560 posts) Sun Apr 10, 2016, 09:41 PM Apr 2016

Update to my Pledged Delegate analysis

In this thread:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/110795734

I came up with a projection that put Hillary's pledged delegate count 108 short of what she'd need to outright capture the nomination without any superdelegates. We just had our first contest since then, so...

I said:
Wyoming: 14 pledged delegates available, she should take 4. 1099 to go.

She took seven of them. Now she's down to a 105-delegate deficit.

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Update to my Pledged Delegate analysis (Original Post) jmowreader Apr 2016 OP

Thanks for the update! DemonGoddess Apr 2016 #1

I would love for the magic number of pledged delegates to be reached shortly. Thinkingabout Apr 2016 #2

Yes shenmue Apr 2016 #6

From the link: "He's not quite as fucked as fucked can be, but he's pretty fucked. " Kaleva Apr 2016 #3

And he gets slighty more fucked as the contest goes on. jmowreader Apr 2016 #4

Except for that he really is. People are being far too nice to BS. The race between HRC and Obama... Liberal_Stalwart71 Apr 2016 #5

K&R (...but he's pretty fucked.) fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #7

He's FUBARED, AFAIC. Cha Apr 2016 #8

DemonGoddess

(4,640 posts)

1. Thanks for the update!

Reply to jmowreader (Original post)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 09:51 PM

Apr 2016

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

2. I would love for the magic number of pledged delegates to be reached shortly.

Reply to jmowreader (Original post)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 09:52 PM

Apr 2016

I would bet all of the dirty nasty thingsb said about the super delegates would resolve into begging. In other words it not be a path without getting lots of super delegates. It's probably over. I would expect more endorsements from super delegates to happen after the NY primary.

shenmue

(38,506 posts)

6. Yes

Reply to Thinkingabout (Reply #2)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 11:20 PM

Apr 2016

Kaleva

(36,312 posts)

3. From the link: "He's not quite as fucked as fucked can be, but he's pretty fucked. "

Reply to jmowreader (Original post)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 09:59 PM

Apr 2016

jmowreader

(50,560 posts)

4. And he gets slighty more fucked as the contest goes on.

Reply to Kaleva (Reply #3)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 10:26 PM

Apr 2016

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)

5. Except for that he really is. People are being far too nice to BS. The race between HRC and Obama...

Reply to Kaleva (Reply #3)

Sun Apr 10, 2016, 10:59 PM

Apr 2016

....was much closer at this stage and people weren't telling either candidate to leave the race.

BS has NO PATH to the nomination unless he wins well over 50% of every single remaining contest. And that's not happening unless something major transpires.

fleabiscuit

(4,542 posts)

7. K&R (...but he's pretty fucked.)

Reply to jmowreader (Original post)

Mon Apr 11, 2016, 02:02 AM

Apr 2016

Cha

(297,323 posts)

8. He's FUBARED, AFAIC.

Reply to fleabiscuit (Reply #7)

Mon Apr 11, 2016, 04:28 AM

Apr 2016

flea~

Reply to this discussion