Why A 'Hollowing Out' Of Democracy Could Happen If Brazil Elects Jair Bolsonaro
To our immediate south, President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador is set to take office in Mexico in December. Amlo, they call him, rose to prominence by promising to crack down on corruption, despite fears that his ideas about privatization and law enforcement might come with considerable dangers. Now, political observers are raising concerns about the rise of retired military Capt. Jair Bolsonaroa, a seven-term congressman from Rio de Janeiro, who courts the rich and the military as much as he courts controversy. He has said things like hed prefer a dead son to a gay one, or that he wouldnt rape a congresswoman because she was ugly. Bolsonaro is leading the polls in the race for Brazils presidency, and the vote is just two weeks away.
Kurt Weyland, professor of government at the University of Texas at Austin says concerns about Bolsonaro are justified. Thats because he says in Latin America, populist leaders often use their authority to gradually hollow out democracy from the inside. During that process, they can concentrate power, dismantle checks and balances, put pressure on the opposition and fight to bring more hegemony over public opinion. Based on what hes heard from Bolsonaro so far, Brazil could be on that path should Bolsonaro be elected.
Weyland says Bolsonaros deep connections and support from the military could help him weaken democracy in Brazil. However, he says a total military coup and dictatorship, which happened in 1964, is unlikely.
What is much more likely is this gradual hollowing out of democracy
that we saw from a populist era in Venezuela, in Ecuador and in Bolivia in recent years, Weyland says.
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