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Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
Thu Mar 7, 2019, 03:14 PM Mar 2019

Mauricio Macri's long odds

In his bid to win a second term, Argentina’s president is defying history

Mar 7th 2019

These have been difficult days for Mauricio Macri, Argentina’s president, and not just because his father, a businessman from whom he was often estranged, died on March 2nd. The previous day he had delivered his annual message to congress, in which he was forced to eat his words. A year ago he had told Argentines that “the worst is over”. Since then the peso has lost half its value, inflation is close to 50% a year, interest rates have soared and the economy has fallen into recession. In return for a $57bn bail-out from the imf, an institution reviled by many Argentines, Mr Macri has pledged austerity to eliminate the primary fiscal deficit (ie, before interest payments) this year. “Many are going to think, ‘I am worse off’…and they are right,” the president admitted.

Despite all this, Mr Macri, a reformist of the centre-right, is poised to seek a second term at an election in October. That looks quixotic. Even if the economy starts to pick up, as officials insist it will, it will be a while before the average voter feels the benefit. While accepting responsibility for the setback, in his speech the president laid much of the blame on the mess he inherited from Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, a populist Peronist, and on circumstances. A rise in interest rates in the United States prompted investors to jib at financing Mr Macri’s gradual fiscal adjustment. To cap it all, drought last year cut Argentina’s exports of farm goods—its mainstay—by some 20%.

More:
https://www.economist.com/the-americas/2019/03/09/mauricio-macris-long-odds

Sorry, I hit the paywall, but this snippet at least offers a glimpse of the shoddy premise Macri will be using as his reason for his shocking impact on the economy. Surely hope it simply won't work for the people who count.

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sandensea

(21,639 posts)
1. Macri's debt bubble, like Bush's, burst a lot earlier than he expected.
Thu Mar 7, 2019, 07:45 PM
Mar 2019

But around the very time anyone paying attention thought it would, frankly.

Macri's answer? The same one the dictatorship resorted to: railroad and extort opponents - and sometimes totally unrelated people, just for the money.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/113323509

Thanks for posting this, Judi. It's good to see The Economist make a mea culpa of sorts, given their gushing endorsement of Mr. Macrisis not that long ago.

Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
2. Had not seen this article: "Extortionist linked to pro-Macri prosecutor indicted, jailed"
Sat Mar 9, 2019, 02:23 AM
Mar 2019


The prosecutor???? He doesn't look all that scholarly, does he?

He looks like a "collector" for a capo, doesn't he?

"This looks like a very nice message board. You wouldn't want to see anything happen to it, would you?"




The extortionist?

THE COUNTRY
February 14, 2019

Mansions, luxury cars and motorcycles, collection watches in the second leveling
The hidden fortune of Marcelo D'Alessio
The procedure, ordered by the judges Ramos Padilla and Villena, was done in the mansion that the operator has in the country Saint Thomas. They found cars, motorcycles and other values ​​of which D'Alessio still could not explain their origin.

By Irina Hauser and Raúl Kollmann

In the case of extortion involving the prosecutor Carlos Stornelli, two judges ordered an interminable raid yesterday at the home of operator Marcelo D'Alessio, a measure that continued at the close of this edition and could be extended throughout the night. The magistrates found a huge fortune that, at least for now, has no explanation. D'Alessio has a mansion in the country Saint Thomas, an apartment in Puerto Madero, another property in the Chaco, ten luxury cars, two very high-capacity motorcycles, a yacht, a collection of 50 high-value watches, including a Double Tourbillon that, if original, is worth around 200,000 dollars. The joint raid was carried out by the judge of Dolores, Alejo Ramos Padilla, He has the cause for the extortion against businessman Pedro Etchebest in the framework of the photocopies of the notebooks, and his pair of Lomas de Zamora, Federico Villena, who investigates D'Alessio for money laundering originated in drug trafficking. The operator tried to defend himself with a judicial declaration that he presented at dawn alleging that he asked for money on behalf of Stornelli to advance an investigation that was requested by two agents of the Federal Intelligence Agency (AFI).

. . .

Washed.
The cause for money laundering drug trafficking began, as often happens, with an anonymous stranger. "Mr. judge. I want to tell you that there is a person who is a mobster who extorts and handles money from drug trafficking, who says he is a criminal lawyer in Canning, who has relations with judges, prosecutors, with Patricia Bullrich, has a spa, cars, motorcycles, race cars , a house in Miami with heliport, the Savia bowling, a company ". The prosecutor requested the realization of measures, but it turned out that there was a leak, so that judge Villena opened a case against the police. In the AFIP, D'Alessio was spending more than 2,500,000 pesos a year, without explaining the income.

More:
https://www.pagina12.com.ar/174678-la-fortuna-oculta-de-marcelo-d-alessio





Salta mayor, Gustavo Sáenz, the bagman, with Macri. What?????


It really looks as if Macri and company brought over a lot of Mafia guys from Europe to help Macri run his organization, doesn't it?

I wonder if this new information is going to take Macri down, or if he is actually still too bullet-proof!

Thank you for this information, I had missed reading it earlier.

Fascinating.

It's interesting, too, seeing that other countries have also named various political scandals after Nixon's very own beloved Watergate! It brought the US good luck. Hope Cuadernogate might bring Argentina a little luck, too!

sandensea

(21,639 posts)
3. Thanks for digging all that up, Judi. Quite a little outfit they had going there, that's for sure.
Sat Mar 9, 2019, 07:17 PM
Mar 2019

Basically: Round up anyone with money - whether they were involved in politics or not (Etchebest, for instance, is an organic farmer with no gov't/political activity at all).

Threaten them ruining their reputations and businesses if they don't a) claim to have witnessed some Kirchner-era official do something really scandalous ("this, that, this, that, this and that," as d'Alessio put it) and/or b) hand you $300,000 as a ransom (sometimes more).

And they could do this because a) a federal judge and prosecutor were behind the extortion ring and with Macri's blessing (per d'Alessio's own boasts, plus evidence they all worked closely together), and b) Clarín's judicial affairs writer Daniel Santoro was in on it too (again, per d'Alessio).

Anyone who refused to pay d'Alessio, had a nasty story run on them by Santoro - and of course repeated ad nauseum by Clarín and TN news.

But there's one thing they didn't count on: that one of the victims would turn the tables on them (Etchebest, with his 22 hours of tapes); and that d'Alessio would have such a BIG mouth.

I certainly someone makes a Netflix movie out of all this soon, because it's got everything.

Thanks again for your time, research and thoughts, Judi. We'll see where this goes.

Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
4. Reading through these items last night I ran across a play on words, focused on the word "extortion"
Wed Mar 13, 2019, 06:25 AM
Mar 2019

which was so clever, and it really cracked me up, but I just looked for it again, scanning, and couldn't see it anywhere.

If you happen to think of it at some point, as it was just an "Easter egg" thrown into some very serious subject matter, don't hesitate to mention it.

I wanted to comment on its delightful cleverness, didn't take the time, and now I forgot.

Did someone call the prosecutor "Extornelli?" It was something like that.

Anyway, thanks for the new information you bring which just doesn't show up in our own corporate "news" fare.

sandensea

(21,639 posts)
5. That's the guy alright.
Wed Mar 13, 2019, 09:40 AM
Mar 2019

Federal Prosecutor Carlos Stornelli - whom the journalist who broke this story, Horacio Verbitsky, refers to as 'Extornelli' on account of how he uses (and abuses) his power.

Verbitsky noted that everyone in the Comodoro Py (Buenos Aires) Courthouse refers to him as such, for that very reason.

Macri certainly can't claim not to know Stornelli, as he worked for Macri as head of security for the Boca Juniors football team in the 2000s.

Stornelli has also been with Macri's hard-right PRO since its founding in 2003, and at Macri's request almost ran for Congress that year on the PRO ticket - then known as 'Republican Proposal'.

Fortunately, Stornelli ran the extortion ring out of his seaside home in Pinamar (apparently bought with proceeds from the extortion ring, and with his wife as the realtor). This home happens to be in the federal court district headed by the uncompromising Judge Alejo Ramos Padilla.

That's the one thing Stornelli - and Macri - didn't count on.

And today, Judge Ramos Padilla is due to testify in front of Congress. Stay tuned!

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