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sandensea

(21,674 posts)
Sun Oct 27, 2019, 08:30 PM Oct 2019

Ruling liberal candidate Daniel Martinez leading Uruguay election

Ruling liberal coalition candidate Daniel Martínez is leading the Uruguay election but a determining second round will be needed, according to exit polls.

The liberal Frente Amplio (Broad Front) coalition has run Uruguay for more than 14 years; but Martínez, a former mayor of the capital Montevideo, faced a significant challenge from a resurgent conservative right.

Martínez polled 40% to rival Luis Lacalle Pou’s 29%, polls suggested. If no candidate gets over 50% of the vote, the two with the most votes will meet in a run-off on November 24.

At: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-uruguay-results/ruling-liberal-candidate-martinez-leading-uruguay-election-media-polls-idUSKBN1X700B



Daniel Martínez of the ruling, center-left Broad Front, after voting in today's elections.

Martínez touted the record of economic growth and reduced inequality during the last 15 years under the Broad Front, while right-wing opponent Lacalle hammered at rising crime rates.

They face each other in a November 24 runoff.

“A few powerful people seem to dislike the way the country is heading,” Martínez noted, warning that Lacalle might push Uruguay into the same crisis afflicting neighboring Argentina since the hard-right Macri - who was defeated today - was narrowly elected in 2015.
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Ruling liberal candidate Daniel Martinez leading Uruguay election (Original Post) sandensea Oct 2019 OP
I wonder if the passage of time allows people who remember the most of previous dictatorships to die Judi Lynn Oct 2019 #1
Sure. Voter fatigue is a very real factor in electoral politics. sandensea Oct 2019 #2

Judi Lynn

(160,632 posts)
1. I wonder if the passage of time allows people who remember the most of previous dictatorships to die
Mon Oct 28, 2019, 12:06 AM
Oct 2019

and younger people who have not experienced fascists first hand simply get bored by the progressives who follow the deposed fascists?

If everyone knew the aftermath of fascist victories, they could NEVER get elected. NEVER. Common morality and sensibility would not allow it, but awareness of fascism has to be there in the first place.

If that's the problem, education is going to need to be better and better, and fascist control of public perception is going to have to be shaken off.

Hope there are enough informed people left in Uruguay to keep Martínez in the forefront through the election.

Thanks for the information.

sandensea

(21,674 posts)
2. Sure. Voter fatigue is a very real factor in electoral politics.
Mon Oct 28, 2019, 12:35 AM
Oct 2019

Voters, as you know, tend to get tired of the same party in government after a decade or so - even if the tenure was relatively mistake and scandal-free, and even if things are going well.

Human nature, I suppose.

After 15 years - positive as they may have been - convincing voters to give the Broad Front another 5 is going to be a tough sell for Martínez.

Could still happen though.

And his best selling point may not be in Uruguay itself but in neighboring Argentina: Martínez has been effectively tying Lacalle to the failed Macri administration, and this point (which is only a slight exaggeration) may just push him over the top.

Evo Morales in Bolivia used the same tactic against Carlos Mesa to great effect (a little unfairly, since Mesa's on the center-left).

His point was that Mesa, while more akin to Morales himself in policy than Macri, could easily be controlled by right-wing interests (big business, the U.S. Embassy, etc.). And it worked.

There's been some question as to whether his win was legitimate (it was just 0.6% over the requisite 10% threshold to avoid a runoff). The OAS should, of course, send their auditors to Bolivia - as Morales asked them to do - or acknowledge the results.

They could send some to Argentina while they're at it.

Fernández, as you know, won tonight - but there's still the manual count, which may yield a considerably wider margin of victory than the preliminary results (which are all we've seen thus far).

The preliminary results are nothing more than a summary of all 100,000 precinct table summaries. They can easily be manipulated (as happened in the 2017 mid-terms).

The manual count of all ballots, thankfully, cannot.

The day Macri failed in his bid to switch to all-electronic voting (late 2016 sometime), is the day I knew he would not be "re-elected."

Certainly not with those Bush-style policies of his.

Thanks as always for your time, trouble, and thoughts, Judi. Have a nice night, and a great week ahead.

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