Economy
Related: About this forumWeekend Economists Deck the Halls Christmas Day 2013
Christmas Eve!
Time to imagine the kind of Christmas you always wanted....
Unemployment at 3%.
Minimum wage of $20
Universal single payer
6 months of paid maternity leave and paternity leave, regardless!
Public State and Federal banks (banking as utility)
Free college for all (minimum GPA standards) with work study
Marginal tax rates of 90% on excess income
Marginal tax rates of 90% on excess inheritances
Distributed renewable energy / public utilities
Peace on Earth, Good Will to All Peoples
Demeter
(85,373 posts)At the moment, I'm dreaming of weather that resembles Detroit's latitude, not Helsinki's.
And while I have resumed some of my daily duties, I'm still feeling weak after whatever foul virus attacked.
But I have hopes for 2014. I really think they've gone too far, at last.
May the Season bring you joy unsought, health abounding, and success undreamt!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)As Washington empties out for the holidays, a final budget fight will play out in the nearly empty Capitol building as congressional staffers parcel out more than $1 trillion to fund everything from cybersecurity to student loans.
Unlike the knock-down budget battles that paralyzed government for much of the year, this debate will largely take place within what one lobbyist calls a "cone of silence" with Republicans and Democrats aiming to minimize discord as they race to set spending levels for thousands of individual government programs. It's a chance for Congress to demonstrate that it is capable of doing its job after two years in which lawmakers let the government run on automatic pilot when they weren't shutting it down or imposing indiscriminate spending cuts. It has also touched off a lobbying blitz as defense contractors, hospitals, day-care providers and thousands of other groups push to maximize funding for the programs that affect them most directly.
Business groups will push to fund job-training programs, while advocates for the elderly will fight for increased Alzheimer's disease research and teachers' unions will argue to restore money that has been cut from education. There may be only so much they can do to influence the process as lawmakers retreat into their chambers to write the complex spending legislation.
"They absolutely know what our priorities are," said Beth Felder, a lobbyist for Johns Hopkins University, the largest academic recipient of U.S. research money. "At this point I don't think their phones need to be ringing off the hook."
For some, it's a chance to restore funding that fell victim to across-the-board "sequester" cuts that took effect in March. For others, it's a chance to launch new initiatives that have been sidelined for years as Democrats and Republicans have opted to renew old spending plans through temporary "continuing resolutions," rather than write new ones...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)In his speech on inequality earlier this month President Obama proclaimed that the government could not be a bystander in the effort to reduce inequality, which he described as the defining moral issue of our time. This left millions convinced that Obama would do nothing to lessen inequality. The problem is that President Obama wants the public to believe that inequality is something that just happened. It turns out that the forces of technology, globalization, and whatever else simply made some people very rich and left others working for low wages or out of work altogether. The president and other like-minded people feel a moral compulsion to reverse the resulting inequality. This story is 180 degrees at odds with the reality. Inequality did not just happen, it was deliberately engineered through a whole range of policies intended to redistribute income upward.
Trade is probably the best place to start just because it is so obvious. Trade deals like NAFTA were quite explicitly designed to place our manufacturing workers in direct competition with the lowest paid workers in the world. The text was written after consulting with top executives at major companies like General Electric. Our negotiators asked these executives what changes in Mexico's law would make it easier for them to set up factories in Mexico. The text was written accordingly. When we saw factory workers losing their jobs to imports from Mexico and other developing countries, this was not an accident. In economic theory, the gains from these trade deals are the result of getting lower priced products due to lower cost labor. The loss of jobs in the United States and the downward pressure on the jobs that remain is a predicted outcome of the deal.
There is nothing about the globalization process that necessitated this result. Doctors work for much less money in Mexico and elsewhere in the developing world than in the United States. In fact, they work for much less money in Europe and Canada than in the United States. If we had structured the trade deals to facilitate the entry of qualified foreign doctors into the country it would have placed downward pressure on the wages of doctors (many of whom are in the top one percent of the income distribution), while saving consumers tens of billions a year in health care costs. In other words, the government quite deliberately structured our trade to put downward pressure on the wages of much of the labor force, while protecting doctors and other highly paid professionals from similar competition. Trade is just one of the many ways in which the government has redistributed income upward over the last three decades.
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Demeter
(85,373 posts)When you think of NSA critics, you probably think of crusading reporters like Glenn Greenwald, whistleblowers like Edward Snowden, left-leaning ACLU types and libertarian Ron Paulites.
Certainly, an image of aging lawmen from the Dixie south probably isnt the first thing that pops into your mind. And yet, it was none other than the Louisiana Sheriffs Pension Fund aka retired Bayou State cops that last week jumped to the front of the throng thats been criticizing tech companies all-too-close relationship with the NSA.
Of course, many of the headlines surrounding the sheriffs shareholder lawsuit against IBM overstated what the suit is really all about. Yes, their case is generally about the tech sectors work with the NSA, but no it is not necessarily criticizing that work unto itself.
Instead, the lawsuit more narrowly focuses on the companys longtime association with the NSA and its lead role publicly lobbying for a federal law that would likely expand data sharing between tech companies and the spy agency. Citing that as background, the suit claims that IBM management knew Edward Snowdens revelations about the NSAs international spying would almost certainly damage the companys technology business in China a country that is already paranoid about corporate-shrouded NSA infiltration. Yet, as the lawsuit alleges, IBM management nonetheless kept issuing positive pronouncements about its business prospects in China even as the Snowden revelations coincided with both a decline in its Chinese revenues and a Chinese government investigation into the company.
As summed up by the pension funds legal team in an interview with Pando, the Louisiana sheriffs argue that the companys positive pronouncements were deliberately misleading and that therefore the fund and other IBM shareholders were defrauded....
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Introduction
Three of the authors are general practitioners who see many patients and couples who lead unnecessarily stressful lives by wanting to be right rather than happy. Mathieu encourages her psychotherapy clients to try to live in the gray. There are a million shades of gray (although a recent erotic novel suggests there are only 50) on the spectrum of white to black, and each provides a much richer telling of a story that is hardly ever as clear as this or that. So, when we looked a bit more closely, we saw that right versus happy was not so much about getting crowned the winner or loser, a genius or fool; it was more about flawed thinking and a desire to want to feel being in control.1 This might be the first study to systematically assess whether it is better to be right than happy; a Medline search in May 2013 found no similar articles. Our null hypothesis was that it is better to be right than happy.
Participants, setting, and design
To be eligible participants had to be part of a couple and willing to take part in the study. We carried out a parallel trial with one man and one woman in their own home. It was decided without consultation that the female participant would prefer to be right and the male, being somewhat passive, would prefer to be happy.
The male was informed of the intervention while the female participant was not (this form of pre-randomisation is known as the Zelen method2). The female participant was blind to the hypothesis being tested, other than being asked to record her quality of life.
Intervention
The intervention was for the male to agree with his wifes every opinion and request without complaint. Even if he believed the female participant was wrong, the male was to bow and scrape...
YOU'LL HAVE TO READ THE REST TO FIND OUT WHAT HAPPENED!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Surge in cancers among young in Fukushima, but experts divided on cause ... experts are divided about whether their illness is caused by nuclear radiation[from Fukushima Daiichi. ... At a meeting hosted by Japans Environmental Ministry and the prefectural government on Saturday, most experts were not convinced ... Among those who voiced alarm was Toshihide Tsuda, a professor of epidemiology[... In the Chernobyl disaster of 1986, it was not until four or five years after the accident that thyroid cancer cases surged.
Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 22, 2013: Experts differ over nuclear accidents effect on cancer rate in children ... Experts were divided over whether radiation from the Fukushima nuclear accident affected the thyroid cancer rate among children in Fukushima Prefecture, in which 59 young people have been diagnosed with or suspected of contracting the disease of 239,000 tested. Most of the experts dismissed the possibility that effects from radiation from the accident at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant could appear so soon in children...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)YVES SMITH OPINES THAT THE RATS ARE LEAVING THE SHIP...
http://news.yahoo.com/democratic-senator-says-obamacare-could-39-meltdown-39-172125028.html
President Barack Obama's healthcare law could have a "meltdown" and make it difficult for his Democratic Party to keep control of the U.S. Senate next year if ongoing problems with the program are not resolved, a Democratic senator said on Sunday. Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia, who has urged delaying a penalty for people who do not enroll for health insurance in 2014 under the law, told CNN that a transitional year was needed for the complex healthcare program, commonly known as Obamacare, to work.
"If it's so much more expensive than what we anticipated and if the coverage is not as good as what we had, you've got a complete meltdown at that time," Manchin told CNN's "State of the Union" program.
"It falls of its own weight, if basically the cost becomes more than we can absorb, absolutely."
The White House has been scrambling for months to control the damage from the botched October 1 launch of the law, formally called the Affordable Care Act, which aimed at making sure that millions of Americans without health insurance are able to receive medical coverage. There have been complaints from consumers about higher premiums than they previously had to pay for health insurance after their old plans were canceled because of new standards under the law, as well as lingering problems with the main web portal used to sign up for insurance, HealthCare.gov.
Manchin said Senate Democrats who are up for re-election next year are "feeling the weight" of the program's woes and could have trouble keeping their majority in the chamber. Republicans have been highlighting the healthcare law's difficulties as they seek to gain the six seats they would need to win control of the 100-member Senate.
"It needs to turn around," Manchin said of Obamacare. "I'm not going to say that I think we will lose it (the Senate). It's going to be extremely challenging. We have some very good people who are truly there, I believe, for the right reason. They're going to be challenged for the wrong reason."
Demeter
(85,373 posts)And in a genius PR move, the White House describes Obamas act of successful shopping avoidance as symbolic. As indeed it is, although not in the way the White House thinks, or could be said to think. WaPo has the details:
The Bronze? The metal for losers who can barely scrape together the meagre coin to avoid being forced onto Medicaid? WTF?
My Canadian friends tell me that in Canada they have a single payer plan up there that covers everybody; they call it Medicare medical services that are covered by Medicare cannot be covered privately (leaving profit-mongers to sell cosmetic surgery, for example, to the wealthy, and a very fine thing that is, too). That way, the Canadian Prime Minister and the lowliest prole all have the same incentive to make Medicare work well; they all have the same skin in the game; their own.
But Obama, as you see, has no skin in the game at all; not himself, and not his family. Yet oddly, or not, Obama places great emphasis on others having skin in the game. (Troll prophylactic: Before anybody raises the argument that Obama couldnt legally go on the Federal Exchange, or wasnt eligible for the exchange because of income, remember that Obamas the same guy who whacked a U.S. citizen with a drone strike without due process. Lets also remember that ObamaCare is a hot mess of triaged requirements, slipped statutory deadlines, abandoned mandates, and rewritten regulations that reinterpret the law so loosey-goose-ily that the law might as well have been a ginormous stack of This page intentionally left blanks. In short, if Obama had wanted to put himself and his family on his wonderful Exchanges, like the rest of us, he could have. Lets not kid ourselves here.*)
Ha ha. How I wish I had staff! And if the DC Exchange was really crash-proof, do you really imagine that the White House PR operation would have passed up the chance to make a YouTube of tech savvy Obama signing up on his own laptop from the Oval Office? And then propagating the YouTube to the young invincibles? No way. No, instead the White House operation has the staff go over the weekend, and then releases the news of our glorious leaders enrollment on Monday of Christmas week, which is about the same as burying it at 5:00 on Friday.
But let us pass on from the pleasant duty of calling bullshit on Obamas imperial prerogatives, which let him slide out from under the shopping experience hes mandated for the rest of us at least, those of us without staff because theres a larger point that Id like to approach by way of example. Let us pass on, that is, from the airing of the grievances to the feats of strength. Heres a report from the field (hat tip, BC) of one person trying to work the Federal Exchange in Missouri with the help of a Navigator:
Aaron Swaney, the certified application counselor [Navigator] based out of the Family Health Center, first helped [Jeannie Wyble] make an account on the marketplace on Nov. 15. By the second of week of December, her account still says in progress. They made another appointment to see each other the next day, hoping the sixth time would be the charm.
Shop til you drop! And now the key point:
This is a system that lends itself very well to people who are organized and follow up. If youre the kind of person who just sits back and expect everything to fall into place (as, for example, with Canadian-style single payer Medicare for all) youre more likely to run into problems.
In other words, ObamaCare is optimized for shoppers; thats really what what patience, persistence headline means when you think in systemic, as opposed to characterological, terms. In fact, given that statistically at least, lives are at stake, we might consider the ObamaCare marketplace as a Darwinian environment where those who do not display adaptability to the shopping environment I hate shopping, since its a massive time sink are more likely not to get the health care they need, and hence more likely to get sick, and hence more likely to die; some people call that a nudge, but Id call it more like shooting the wounded. Because and this is the most important point the neoliberal market solution is always about that truly transcendent human endeavor shopping isnt it? Supposing for the moment that we consider the non-elite human, of course. As Corey Robin wrote (quoted by Yves):
As did Jeannie Wyble, thereby giving productive employment, except not, to Aaron Swaney.
And so do Preznits!
If ObamaCare is permitted to entrench itself, the next step will be to have a Retirement Marketplace, with Social Security as the public option, so that the rentiers can run the 401(k) scam a second time for more fees, because shopping.*** Does anybody really believe that wont happen?
Thats not a bug. Its a feature.
Indeed. A social order where the rich have staff to do their shopping for them, Presidents slide out from under the mandate to shop that they impose on others, and the rest of us Well, heres what were expected to do:
Were mandated to keep that tapeworm fat, happy, and well-fed. By shopping for a defective product with time we have to steal from what wed really rather be doing than shopping for insurance, and that means almost anything. The Canadians dont have to crap around with any of this. Why should we? Bush famously said I encourage you all to go shopping more. Leave it to Obama, not to encourage, but force us to shop!
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NOTE * If I elected, my family and I will purchase health insurance on the exchanges together would be a great campaign promise for a populist campaign, especially when followed by until such time as we pass Medicare for All, which I expect to do in my first term. Bernie? Brian? No, not you, Elizabeth.
NOTE ** Theres also the argument that Obama would have had difficulty signing up because of Experians identity validation software might not have been able to handle his special case. Really? So have Obama get on the phone with support, like the rest of us. Symbolism, ya know. Symbolism. And dont tell me he doesnt have time; hes on his way to a vacation in Hawaii!
NOTE *** We might consider making the experiment of mentally replacing because free markets or because liberty, when encountered, with because shopping. Could be interesting!
NOTE The Republican reaction is priceless:
Im glad he did it, Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) said in an interview Monday. Im not going to take a cheap shot at him for signing up. . [It's a tough job, but somebody has to do it!] Chaffetz added: Hes the president of the United States. His health care is a little different than the rest of us.
Not in Canada!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)... Earlier this month, a U.S. district court heard arguments in Halbig v. Sebelius, a legal challenge to the Affordable Care Act brought by plaintiffs who live in states that didnt set up health care exchanges. Its a fairly simple argument. The Affordable Care Act stated that individuals who are identified by an Exchange established by the State would be eligible for subsidies when they bought health care. People living in the many exchange-free states were getting subsidies (and becoming subject to fines) anyway, seemingly contradicting the letter of the law. So shouldnt those states be denied the subsidies? Sure, it would devastate all the insurers expecting new customers, and it would bring down the law, but a state is a state.
One Halbig plaintiff is a Republican consultant, another is a Bush administration veteran, and the intent of the lawsuit is extremely hard to miss. Its also hard to find a sympathetic expert on the law who buys into the theory. That this is a drafting error is obvious to anyone who understands the ACA, wrote Washington & Lee law professor Timothy Jost two years ago. Section 1311 of the ACA requests the states to establish American Health Benefit Exchanges and sets out the duties of the exchanges. Section 1321 of the ACA, however, provides that if a state elects not to establish an exchange or fails to do so, HHS must establish and operate an exchange in such a state and take such actions as are necessary to implement the other requirements of title I of the ACA, which includes section 1401.
See? If the state chooses not to participate, the federal government steps in to serve individuals trying to buy health insurance, subsidies and all. Easy. Unless youre a conservative who wants to scrap the Affordable Care Act, in which case Jost must be wrong, and an argument born in a contrarian Cato Institute research paper is obviously right.
The plain text of the statute contradicts the way the Obama administration has implemented it, Cruz told me when I asked about Halbig. The law is clear that the individual mandate and the accompanying subsidies only apply if a state sets up an exchange. The Obama administration simply said, were not following that part of the law. Were going to apply it without a state exchange. In our constitutional system, if a president doesnt like a law, theres a mechanism to address that. You go to Congress, and you change the law.
....................
The law is written that way, that people who live in states that are getting insurance through a federal exchange, not a state exchangenone of them are eligible, said Wyoming Sen. John Barrasso, a medical doctor often called on by the GOP to shape anti-Obamacare messaging.* Its an interesting question, about when a law is passed, what it actually says, what power a president has to change it without going back to Congress.
This worries supporters of the law. Several times now, theyve laughed off a legal or constitutional challenge to their work as the moonlight raving of tricorner-hat-wearing kooks. Several times, they have watched these challenges rise to high courts and impact the law. Last years Supreme Court rulings rescued the individual mandate while allowing states to opt out of the Medicaid expansion. The result has been more than 4 million people in red America tumbling into a Medicaid gap. As Alec MacGillis has reported, the Cato Institutes Michael Cannon spent much of the Obamacare era lobbying red states not to build exchanges. He wasnt alone, but he was unusually explicit: He said in May 2012 that he wanted to maximize the number of states in a position to drive a stake through the heart of this very bad law.
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THE ECONOMICS WILL GET IT, LONG BEFORE THE LEGAL WRANGLING IS COMPLETE
BUT IT KEEPS A LOT OF GOP TIME AND MONEY OFF OTHER ISSUES...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)...
I suspect the neoliberals beliefs are somewhat different: that markets are so inherently wonderful at solving problems that they can take over a lot of the problems and issues that were formerly fought over in the political arena. And people like shopping, right?
Well, Im one of those people who hates shopping and regards it as a tax on my time, even in settings where effort has been made to make it pleasurable. When the stores are well organized and the wares are narrowly focused and attractive (as an example, Im thinking of a small store that sells attractive occasion and greeting cards), its a tolerable exercise. By contrast, who enjoys buying financial products? Even in the best of circumstances, you are making a bet on your future in some way (what do I think the markets will do? How much of this risk should I insure). Unless you have nerves of steel or a crystal ball, its hard to suppress the feeling of anxiety that events can play out in a way that will prove your choice to have been a lousy one.
And Obamacare is proving to be a very costly shopping experience, if you think your time has any value. And this isnt a matter of website glitches, although those make matters worse....
BLOW BY BLOW ACCOUNT FOLLOWS
Demeter
(85,373 posts)The left must organize around clear goals, or else we will be sidelined. As readers are no doubt aware, since 2011 there have been numerous urban uprisings across the globe. A recent tweet from a BBC Newsnight presenter , Paul Mason, asserted that in a year there will be "2 categories: riot news and other news." While the optics of people marching the street may be similar all over the world, the actual circumstances are often very different. The purpose of this article is to examine three social uprisings in the US, Brazil and Egypt. The focus will be on the number of participants, class composition, political programs and the role of the security services.
Number of Participants
During 2011, there were over 600 Occupy protest sites in the United States. Estimating the total number of participants is of course difficult. However, large marches and/or camps were found in New York, Boston, Chicago, Washington, D.C., Pittsburgh, Oakland, Los Angles, Davis, San Francisco, Portland, Tampa and Seattle. Thousands participated in marches, with numbers reaching into the tens of thousands in New York, Oakland, Portland and Boston. The population of the United States in 2010 was approximately 308 million...
Class and Demographic Analysis
Although comprehensive survey data for overall US participants in Occupy is hard to come by, researchers at CUNY interviewed and surveyed participants in New York City during 2012. They found that participants were "disproportionally highly educated, young and white, with higher than average household incomes," especially among those who considered themselves actively involved. Significant numbers were enrolled at or had graduated from elite institutions. Despite their elite educational attainment, at least a third had experienced job loss, and high debt loads. Overwhelming numbers had participated in the Obama campaign during 2008 by phone banking, donating money and knocking on doors.
In other words, they were disaffected members of the bourgeoisie.
Anecdotally, there was also significant participation in the Occupy camps by homeless people and low level street criminals, people at the very margins of society. In the author's experience in Oakland, these individuals were able to sustain a high level of involvement because they had no day job and found meaning and inclusion in the camp community. While Occupy was not a union organized event, the various Occupy camps did see significant actions of solidarity and support from organized labor (the Oakland teachers' union funded portable toilets at the camp), and in some cases, (Seattle/Oakland) worked synergistically with the longshoreman's union in their disputes with management....
Political Programs
Unlike the Egyptian Revolution of 2011, Occupy famously had no demands, but participants often stated that they were motivated to support Occupy because of economic issues. The top three listed in the CUNY study were inequality/the 1%, money in politics/frustration with D.C., and corporate greed. Although various groups were involved with the first protest site in New York City, the dominant political ideology within Occupy was a highly horizontalist anarchism. Operating in General Assemblies with a consensus process, complete with the easily copied hand signals, Occupy proved flexible enough to gain traction across the United States. A formally leaderless movement presents some analytical problems, in that it is always difficult to say what politics dominate. While there may not have been formal leaders, it was always clear that some people wielded more influence than others. In the author's experience, many people influential in the movement believed that the consensus based process that governed the encampments prefigured the world that we wanted. Politicians and journalists often asked "what is the endgame?" If they had been listening, they would have understood that for many, the desired endgame was revolution. In practice, this proved operationally difficult, and in the end, the security services successfully dispersed the encampments....
Security Services
While Occupy (oh so thankfully) did not end in a coup, the security services nonetheless played a significant role. We know now that the Police Executive Research Forum helped mayors co-ordinate raids by state and city law enforcement in 18 cities during Occupy. Typically, the major Occupy sites faced heavy police presence as well as routine arrests and abuse. There were also agents provocateur within the camps; for example, at Occupy Austin, undercover officers organized an action that led to the arrests of the participants.
At the Federal level, the Department of Homeland Security provided intelligence via its nationwide network of Fusion Centers that combine information from various state and federal agencies. For example, journalist Beau Hodai found that the fusion center in Arizona heavily monitored Occupy Phoenix, with information collected to include names, addresses, social security numbers and other identifying information. The Center tracked social media as well. There is also evidence that fusion centers delivered intelligence briefs to some private companies. In light of Edward Snowden's disclosures about widespread NSA wiretapping, it seems highly likely that NSA also directed analysts to monitor electronic communications among Occupy participants...
Conclusion
Political action requires definable goals, whether those goals are as small as stopping a fare hike or as large as removing a sitting president. Moreover, the Egyptian experience illuminates very clearly that post-Revolution, the most organized forces prevail. The security services will do everything possible to undermine or stonewall any true regime change. The lesson for the American left is clear -- be organized or be crushed.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Credit reports have little to do with how good or trustworthy an employee will be. Go sign the petition to support the Equal Employment for All Act: http://my.elizabethwarren.com/page/s/creditreportbill?source=20131217em2
SENATOR WARREN:
There are a lot of different reasons, but a lot of people just caught a bad break. They got sick. Their husband left or their wife died. They lost their job.
Problems only got worse after the financial crisis. Shrinking home prices made it impossible to sell or refinance a home. People lost their small businesses. Smaller savings left people without much cushion to ride out the tough times. People missed a payment or went into debt.
Most people recognize that bad credit means they will have trouble borrowing money or they will pay more to borrow. But many don't realize that a damaged credit rating can also block access to a job.
It was once thought that credit history would provide insight into someone's character, and many companies routinely require credit reports from job applicants. But research has shown that an individual's credit rating has little or no correlation with his ability to succeed at work. A bad credit rating is far more often the result of unexpected personal crisis or economic downturn than a reflection of someone's abilities.
Today, along with Senators Blumenthal, Brown, Leahy, Markey, Shaheen, and Whitehouse, I am introducing a bill to stop employers from requiring prospective employees to disclose their credit history or disqualifying applicants based on a poor credit rating...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Senator Charles Schumer is one of the more successful saboteurs of progressive policy in the Democratic Party. His tactic is tried and true pretend to agree with a progressive reform, get on the inside of the group of supporters, undermine and destroy it, then walk to a battery of cameras to lament the failure and collect contributions from the industries who benefited from the death of the bill. Schumer has perfected this when it comes to progressive financial reform which is why no one in the Senate or elsewhere trusts him on it. His strongest supporters and biggest contributors are from Wall Street which is, after all, a legitimate segment of his constituency as an elected representative from New York.
So now that Americas record inequality is up for debate inequality due largely to the dominance of Wall Street over the real economy Schumer is concern trolling the issue to death. Surprise. In an interview with Buzzfeed Senator Schumer says he supports fixing inequality in theory but doesnt think anyone should mention inequality.
Right Chuck, lets not talk about class lets just jargon off about technicalities. One dare not mention class, people might realize we have classes and then gulp might understand Ronald Reagan was wrong about the economy and wealth doesnt trickle-down.
What will do then Chuck? What-will-we-do-then?
Schumer said the best way to encapsulate the wage rhetoric is with a push to raise the minimum wage.
Schumer would rather speak Republican on class issues: America has no class, we just have a slew of singular topics like raising the minimum wage, poverty, unemployment, and immigration that exist completely independent of each other and a wider context or narrative. What a coincidence. Because thats how you win political battles buying into your opponents frame and reinforcing it while asking for things that make no sense from the perspective you just validated. If we dont have class, if inequality isnt a problem and people can get ahead if they just work harder who cares about unemployment insurance, a minimum wage, poverty, or helping immigrants that are being treated like property? Let the market sort it out.
Thanks but no thanks Senator Schumer. No one wants your view on talking about inequality and class. If we want your view, well just go to the source Goldman Sachs PR department.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)But, they're fantasies in my lifetime.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)The foundation of a true People's Party. The next step after Occupy.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)THIS TOWN AIN'T BIG ENOUGH FOR THE BOTH OF US--A LIE OF THIS MAGNITUDE NEEDS ITS OWN ORBIT IN OUTER SPACE...
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/susan-rice-on-60-minutes-nsa-officials-didn%E2%80%99t-lie-they-%E2%80%98inadvertently-made-false-representations/
ANOTHER BLOWHARD NEWS/GOSSIP WHITEWASH: FACE THE NATION:
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/former-cia-deputy-director-nsa-is-not-spying-on-americans/
THESE PEOPLE ARE AT LEAST 6 MONTHS BEHIND THE TIMES....
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Three American Express Co. subsidiaries have agreed to pay about $75 million in restitution and penalties for a variety of illegal practices involving hundreds of thousands of credit-card customers, regulators said Tuesday. American Express Travel Related Services Co. Inc., American Express Centurion Bank and American Express Bank were accused of unfair billing practices and deceptive marketing of add-on products, such as payment protection and credit monitoring.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau ordered the companies to return $59.5 million to more than 335,000 customers. The American Express subsidiaries are also paying $16.2 million in penalties to three regulatory agencies: the CFPB, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and Comptroller of the Currency.
We first warned companies last year about using deceptive marketing to sell credit card add-on products, and everyone should be on notice of this issue, said CFPB Director Richard Cordray. Today we are refunding thousands of American Express customers who were harmed by these illegal practices. Consumers deserve to be treated fairly and should not pay for services they do not receive.
American Express said in a statement that it has canceled the programs in question and made much of the restitution to customers. The canceled programs include Identity Protect, Account Protector and Lost Wallet Protector, which was marketed in Puerto Rico.
"American Express continues to conduct internal reviews designed to identify issues, correct them and ensure that its products and practices meet a high standard of quality," the company said.
The CFPB alleged that from 2000 to 2012, the subsidiaries and their vendors and telemarketers engaged in misleading and deceptive tactics to sell some of the companys credit card add-on products. One such product, a payment protection product called Account Protector, allowed consumers to request that 2.5% of their outstanding balance, up to $500, be canceled if they encounter certain life events like unemployment or temporary disabilities. American Express also marketed its Lost Wallet product as being able to assist card members in Puerto Rico with canceling and replacing lost or stolen credit cards, including non-American Express cards, and providing other services, such as recovering lost or stolen documents. The regulators said the companies misled consumers about the benefits of the products, the length of coverage and the costs.
The companies were also accused of unfair billing practices related to identity protection products. The company charged many consumers for these products without written authorization, the regulators said. In addition, the companies were accused of unfairly charging card holders interest and fees. Some unfair monthly fees pushed account balances past their limits, causing additional unfair fees and interest, the regulators said.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)THOSE WHO CANNOT LEARN FROM THE PAST.....HERE WE GO AGAIN!
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2013/12/financial-engineering-wildest-since-2007-bubble.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+NakedCapitalism+%28naked+capitalism%29
Financial engineering had a glorious year in 2013. The last time we had this much crazy fun had been in 2007. Back then, Merger Mondays were hot on CNBC. Deals, no matter how large and how insanely leveraged, were announced with great hoopla. Rational people were seen shaking their heads at incongruous moments. Stocks were defying gravity. That was the last time we had this much fun because the bubble collapsed, and some of its detritus was skillfully heaped on the Feds balance sheet or on the taxpayers shoulders.
But now finally, after five years, the crazy fun is back, and the good thing is: this time, its different. This time, the smart money is selling!
In total, 229 IPOs were priced in the US in 2013, up 58% from last year, raising $61.3 billion, the highest amount since 2007, according to Dealogic. Stocks of companies that went public this year saw their prices soar on average 61.6%, compared to the already dizzying 38% of the Russell 2000 Growth index and the 27% of the S&P 500 (Renaissance Capital, chart).
In terms of dollars raised not hype generated the largest deal was Houston-based pipeline outfit Plains GP Holdings LP, which raised $2.9 billion in October. Who was selling? The smart money! Among them, Occidental Petroleum, The Energy and Minerals Group, Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors, and of course the smartest of them all, the executives...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)President Barack Obama's push to raise the minimum wage will almost certainly fail due to stiff Republican opposition, but analysts and Democratic strategists say the issue could help Democratic Congressional candidates in the 2014 midterm elections.
Focusing on an apparently quixotic effort to raise the minimum wage in 2014 allows the president to show support for working people and could help Democratic candidates change the subject from the disastrous rollout of the Affordable Care Act.
And a Republican rejection of the proposal to boost the federal minimum wage from $7.25 per hour to $10.10 would help Democrats portray them as unconcerned with the plight of working Americans and siding with the wealthy.
"It has an appeal with a broad segment of the public," said Carroll Doherty of the Pew Research Center. "And it draws very strong support within his own partisan base. This is something that his party cares deeply about."
PASS THE EGGNOG, PLEASE
Demeter
(85,373 posts)'Twas the night before Christmas so few joined the fray
The lack of concerted leadership did its part, keeping both buyers and sellers at bay.
The volume was light and trading ranges were tight
In fact, the New York Stock Exchange had less than 300 million shares in its holiday sight.
That marked a multi-year low, but did little to stop the glow
As the S&P added just over five points to a year-long bull show.
Stocks climbed through the session with cyclical groups serving up the lead
To be sure, consumer discretionary (+0.3%) and industrials (+0.5%) padded their status as this year's elite.
The two sectors extended their yearly gains to 39.5% and 36.2%, respectively
With their influence being felt on all the indices due to their 22% share of the S&P, collectively.
Like Rudolph, the influential industrials led Santa's aerial charge
While discretionary shares, like Dasher or Dancer, paced the convoy of the bearded airborne man at large.
Among commodities, energy (+0.6%) and materials (+1.1%) were boosted by rising oil and gold shining for once
Specifically, crude climbed (+0.3%) to $99.21 per barrel while gold (+0.5%) ended at $1203.30 per troy ounce.
On the downside, consumer staples (+0.1%), health care (-0.1%), and financials (+0.2%) lagged modestly
But despite their underperformance, the session went off swimmingly.
There were some standouts in the heavyweight sectors, but some few big names found a coal or two
On that note, Twitter (TWTR 69.96, +5.42) was boosted by continued momentum, Nike (NKE 77.66, +0.55) climbed on prospects of increasing market share and revenue while Apple (AAPL 567.67, -2.42) shed 0.4% because after yesterday's 3.8% jump, a pullback was simply due.
Over on the bond side, steady selling ensued
But despite the five-basis point gain (to 2.99%), the volume remained subdued.
A flurry of data did little to upset the mood
Most notably, the Durable Orders report revealed that in October, a solid increase in capital goods orders (+4.5%) was accrued.
There will be no data tomorrow and the exchange will be under lock and key
So we'd like to take this opportunity to send you and your family warm Christmas wishes from the Briefing.com family.
Nasdaq +37.6% YTD
Russell 2000 +36.8% YTD
S&P 500 +28.6% YTD
DJIA +24.8% YTD
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)...In this spirit of Holiday absurdity and frustration, Im cutting loose. Im going to just pretend Im the most ruthless Emperor ever to sit in the cockpit of state of this absurd 21st Century Imperium Im calling The Corporate and Imperial States of America C.I.S.A. for short. I sit on a throne made by a homeless designer out of a dozen broken parts from a dozen pieces of thrift shop furniture. A line of correspondents waits to ask me a question. (Weve cut off Fox News until they learn better how to grovel for access in this new regime.) The correspondent from MSNBC asks the first question. In fact, its the only question weve allowed this afternoon:
What are the first ten things youre going to do?
1) First we will be releasing Bradley/Chelsea Manning and dropping any legal actions against Julian Assange. We are announcing an amnesty program for Edward Snowden, who will, if he accepts, become a consultant as part of a major re-vamping of the entire US intelligence system. Yes, heads will have to roll. Like they say, you cant make an omelet without breaking a few eggs. While we dont want to throw anybodys baby out with the bathwater, we may have to throw somebodys baby out for the good of the larger whole. It will not be without some bumps, and my newly formed Peoples Guard is ready to monopolize on any violence that breaks out. We support the Second Amendment, and all over the country we are establishing and training chapters of a well-armed militia known as the Smedley Butler Brigades made up of disgruntled unionists, the unemployed and the homeless. These are things that have to be done. We are not allowing change to be quashed any longer. The status quo ends here.
2) The most powerful purely symbolic thing we can do as a nation is, after holding it at virtual gunpoint for over 100 years, we will be relinquishing any and all ownership rights to our military base at Guantanamo, Cuba. We will move all prisoners to a well-designed prison in Oklahoma. Absent any significant criminal evidence, captives will be released on an expedited basis. Most important, we will no longer hold Cuban territory illegally.
3) Tomorrow, we will be eliminating the Affordable Care Act (AKA Obamacare) and, as we should have done in the first place, we will be expanding Medicare (which everyone loves!) to cover American citizens from cradle to grave. Citizens will still have plenty of things to worry about, but basic health care will not be one of them. We will simplify and streamline record keeping. Immortality will remain unachievable, but a reasonable, basic level of health care will be guaranteed to all Americans. Luxury-level medicine will continue to be available. For those who are dying to know, yes, we will be raising taxes. But dont worry, they will be heavily skewed so they bleed only the rich.
4) We will be launching a major new program to break the addiction in America to Police, Courts and Prisons as a solution to the misuse and abuse of a whole range of drugs and intoxicants. If your police department is strung out on arrests of young black males for drug-related crimes, we have the equivalent of a methadone program for you. All your resources will be re-directed to fighting white-collar crime. Bonuses and medals will be given for bagging the biggest, most crooked fat cats. We will try to restrain over-aggressiveness and beatings, but you know being a cop is hard and working places like Wall Street can be very stressful. As far as legal and illegal drug use, we will be assuming a Harm Reduction approach and our courts will be re-vamped to direct the most egregiously addled drug takers to effective therapy. If you have a heroin habit and are functioning fine at the job you do, then were fine with you. We will look at you like a diabetic in need of insulin. But when you become a drag on society, we will take our role as societys guardians seriously and haul your pitiful self before a judge to straighten you out.
5) We will naturally have a Truth Commission. Theres so much to talk about. (See the more detailed explanation in our 400-page handout.) Every American kid will be taught from Howard Zinns The Peoples History of the United States. Students will be free to read Bill OReillys Killing Famous Liberals series. Debate is great; bullying is not. The curriculum will be centered on real history and on overcoming human inequality and caring for the Earth. Media and internet resources will be employed with a host of other venues to kick off The National Dialogue, conceived like the old Chautauqua circuit, which Teddy Roosevelt called the most American thing in America. The full pageant of American history bullying wealth, dirty wars, warts and all will be emphasized at all levels. The point is not to denigrate the truly good things about America; the point is to no longer officially hide the rotten things behind a veil of secrecy or censorship. Were going to have a free, public airing of lots of bad stuff. Oppositional voices will be encouraged but nonsensical blocking of discussion will be treated harshly.
6) Hand-in-hand with this dialogue, we will be launching a program to improve the education of our children nation-wide known by its acronym PADLOCK. (The Peoples Action Division for Liberating Our Childrens Knowledge.) The point is to move beyond test scores, family status and economic power to encourage education as practical engagement with the real. Well even inject a little Paolo Freire and some liberation theology and the preferential option for the poor. There are no stupid questions. Excelling is encouraged. Cliquish bullying will be discouraged. In conjunction with the above-mentioned Truth Commission, a major part of the PADLOCK Program will be a national effort to deconstruct The Myth of American Exceptionalism and replace it with The Myth of American Competence, a myth based on humility and compassion.
7) Yes we will be beginning the overdue and necessary process of re-distributing wealth in America. Redistribution is not a dirty word. Its also not class warfare. Or at least its not the opening volley. The poor did not shoot first. Its needed as a corrective action to balance a long period of the accumulation of government-protected greed based on a free market that doesnt exist and an unregulated drive for profit. The movement of wealth upward needs to be turned around. The Supreme Counsel has decided to do it. So, the important next step is to figure out how to do it as painlessly as possible emphasis on as possible. It isnt an easy task to strip people of wealth theyre certain is theirs. This is America, so we certainly dont want to get Leninist and bolsheviky and run roughshod. The more self-re-distributing we can encourage the better. We really dont want to put anybody up against a wall. We dont want to nationalize anyones wealth. We want to be cordial. But its important for people to know the free ride is over. My imperial staff and I will not be Mister Nice Guy when it comes to weeping sob stories from billionaires.
8) These things tend to logically unfold. So next we will be encouraging the resurrection of unions in America. People who work hard for a living need to be represented against the accumulated power of Capital. That should not be such a scary concept to grasp. From now on all workers in businesses and industry across the nation will have the right to organize expressed unambiguously in an Executive Order. Our first goal will be to obtain an amicable top-down/bottom-up dialogue in which neither Labor nor Capital overpowers the other. We want to re-fit a tough, pragmatic union movement to balance the runaway, top-down oppressive power of Greed.
9) We cant forget our natural environment and our aging infrastructure. Were a speed-oriented society that thinks its un-cool to repair old things. With resources tight, spending to maintain systems becomes less important than investing in spiffy, profitable future ventures. From now on, we fix up the stuff we have before we invest in new dreams. And we in the developed world, we spend more resources and practice more restraint in order to save the planet from ourselves. Does that sound politically correct? Great!
10) Last but certainly not least, theres The Monster In the Room. The Really Big Show. The Pentagon. The Military-Industrial Complex. Those who rule the behemoth I miraculously sit atop as a fluke Emperor. Closing this down is my challenge....
Tansy_Gold
(17,868 posts)Recognizing the legitimacy of the Cuban government and re-establishing full and open contact with the people of Cuba.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)none of anyone's lists could be comprehensive...you can play too by adding your Xmas wishes!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)In this season of good will to all and general cheer let us talk of The Undeserving.
They are an emotive topic. They divide people. Do they exist or are they a political scapegoat? I personally do not feel anyone is born undeserving. But some people achieve it. Some seem to take a cruel and degenerate delight in causing harm. Others become so out of weakness. They are faced with moral decisions in life and they take the easy path of closing their conscience to the harm they do others. We have all seen them. It may not be politically correct to label them for what they are but I do not like political corectness.
So let us be honest. The feckless and irresponsible exist. They are people who think the state is there to look after them and clean up their mess. Who think nothing of spending other peoples money and then brazenly asking for more. They are people who make other peoples lives, honest and hard working peoples lives, a misery but laugh because they know the police can do little to them and the courts will just give them a slap on the wrist, if that, and then let them go. Free to walk straight back to do again whatever they feel like.
They are a plague. The State, however, not only does little to stop them, it takes money from the pockets of the deserving and the honest in order to give it to these people.
What I find oddest about the Undeserving is how the papers and politicians only ever seem to talk about the undeserving poor and never, ever the undeserving rich. Yet if we are keen to identify the one, then it is pure hypocrisy and worse, to not recognize the other...If the undeserving poor exist and deserve to be despised, then so do the undeserving rich. If we should loathe and vilify the one group then we should feel free to despise the other. If we feel free to make generalizations about one group then no one should complain if we do the same with the other as well. It cuts both ways...Everything that is levelled at the Undeserving Poor is true of the Undeserving Rich. The feckless and irresponsible exist in both. Both look to others to bail them out. Neither has any intention of changing. Both prey on the rest of us. But which of the Undeserving are the greater danger? Which causes the greater suffering? Which group laughs most at the burden they expect your children and mine to carry for them?
And most importantly which group has the power to change things but chooses not to? Is it the poor who have the power and wealth to transform their lot and yours, or the wealthy?
MORE
Demeter
(85,373 posts)The fall of Adam and Eve is a metaphor for the demise of our hunter-gatherer lifestyle. Eden is the recollection of an oppressed peasantry of the more humane world of their happier ancestors. Before we bit the apple, we lived off the fat of the land. Hunter-gatherers lived longer, ate better, and worked less than their agriculturalist descendants. Average adult height, an excellent proxy for childhood nutrition did not return to levels seen in the Palaeolithic until a mere 150 years ago.
Archaeologists tell us the invention of farming may well have been the greatest calamity to befall our species. Kings and slaves, property and war all were by-products of agriculture. Even today, even when forced onto marginal lands, hunter-gather tribes often prefer to retain their old ways rather than till the soil. Why work hard when god made so many mongongo nuts? ask the !Kung of southern Africa.
The lifestyle of hunter gathers is much more easygoing than that of serfs and peasants. Subsistence agriculturalists worked from sunup to sundown. Hunter-gatherers worked a few hours a day. That was enough to feed and clothe and house their families. The rest of the time they could socialize, play games, tell stories. And work back then was hunting antelope with your mates or strolling through the savannah looking for nuts and berries. Farmers overwhelmed hunter-gatherers, not because their lives were more pleasant but because farming makes land so much more productive....
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)The Paul Ryan budget, happily accepted by the Senator Patty Murray on behalf of the Vichy party, frees up vast sums for war, while imposing new burdens on the 99% who dont benefit from wars. It cuts the pay of federal workers by making them pay more for their pensions, deletes unemployment insurance for 1.3 million long-term unemployed, and hikes user fees on air travel. It doesnt raise taxes on the filthy rich, and it certainly doesnt raise taxes on their corporations, trusts, endowments, foundations and other tax dodges designed to push the burden of taxation onto whats left of the middle class. In other words, its a total win for the rage-filled Republicans and their Democratic allies, who happily embrace the suck.
We now have a bipartisan agreement that we shouldnt raise taxes on the filthy rich, now, or ever. How did we get to the point that the idea of taxing the oligarchy is so disgusting we cant even mention it in public? We know the Republicans are controlled by the rich, but Democrats used to favor taxation as a proper tool of good government. And the Establishment used to see it the same way.
At the end of the Second World War, then Fed Chairman Beardsley Ruml gave a speech to the American Bar Association, which was turned into an article in American Affairs in 1946 under the title Taxes for Revenue are Obsolete. Ruml begins with the observation that sovereign nations eliminated conversion of currency into gold. As long as nations had to borrow to finance debts, they were dependent on lenders, who were free to jack up interest rates and impose conditions on loans. By refusing to lend, they could force nations to finance themselves solely with taxes. Once a nation goes off the gold standard, it is free from the constraints of the domestic money market. It can just print the money that it needs. This has direct implications for tax policy.
Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen cant talk like their Commie predecessor. Can you imagine the howls of outrage from the crazy right wing if they were to say this? And even worse, what would the spineless democrats do? They would rise up more in sorrow than in anger and throw the miscreant out of power faster than Barack Obama backtracking on a progressive idea.
Well, it only gets worse. Ruml continues:
1. As an instrument of fiscal policy to help stabilize the purchasing power of the dollar;
2. To express public policy in the distribution of wealth and of income, as in the case of the progressive income and estate taxes;
3. To express public policy in subsidizing or in penalizing various industries and economic groups;
4. To isolate and assess directly the costs of certain national benefits, such as highways and social security.
The Fed Chair asserts that it is a legitimate goal of taxation to change the distribution of wealth and income to suit public purposes. Public purposes are the subject of politics. They are not axioms of economics. The economy doesnt dictate them. There is no economic bible that lays out public purposes, no stone tablets, no 230 year old Constitution of economics. They are proper subjects for argument in the public square. In fact, Ruml goes on to argue that we shouldnt tax corporations at all, because it is bad policy; it is an evil tax, and it should be abolished.*
Somehow, that insight got transformed in the public sphere to handbag economics: the idea just as individuals cant spend more than they earn, neither can sovereign nations. This idea is turned into a parable by Mary Mellor:
There is a shed, though, at the end of the garden beyond her reach. This shed has a printing press and every time the private sector-breadwinner runs out of funds he asks the gardener-central banker to crank it up. Despite this, handbag economics denies that the public household should have any access to this money, even though it has a monopoly on producing coin and its garden shed has the monopoly on producing banknotes.
This piece is brilliant, and I hope it is widely read, especially by liberal economists, who continue to argue from frameworks that will only hurt the 99%. For example, Krugman and Bernstein flog the idea that we need more inflation to solve our current problems. Perhaps they prefer fiscal solutions, but they would finance those fiscal solutions with more debt, leading to more interest burdens on society in the future. You can be sure the rich wont be paying taxes to cover those interest payments; you will. The fantastically rich with their $90 million pied-a-terres, and their servants are in the public square arguing that taxes should be used to benefit them at the expense of everyone else. Krugman, DeLong, Bernstein and other economists will not publicly say that the goal of the oligarchs is to grab all the money and limit government spending to things that they like. There is no one, no economist, no liberal politician, no think tank, no advocacy group, saying loudly and forcefully that we should tax the rich at levels that will make this a decent society.
The hyper-rich intend to screw the 99%. Its us or them.
=========
* In fairness, Ruml says that we cant get rid of the corporate income tax until some method is found to keep the corporate form from being used as a refuge from the individual income tax and as a means of accumulating unneeded, uninvested surpluses. Some way must be devised whereby the corporation earnings, which inure to the individual stockholders, are adequately taxed as income of these individuals.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Since the 1990s, the outsourcing of what were once considered to be public services has grown exponentially, while the size of the federal workforce has fallen significantly. The rationale for these deep reductions in the public sector is that private companies are more efficient. The privatizers claim that they can render the same services as civil servants for less, even after making a profit.
Pulitzer prize-winning journalist David Cay Johnston, author most recently of The Fine Print: How Big Companies Use Plain English to Rob You Blind, takes a skeptical look at these claims in an article for Newsweek
What gets lost in the increasingly caustic rhetoric is just how inefficient the US government is when it spends, especially when it is outsourcing tasks to hugely profitable private companies.
Fortunately, the budget deal just worked out between the White House and Capitol Hill will prevent a government shutdown and all of its attendant global financial inconveniences. But it does nothing to curtail wasteful spending on companies that are among the nations richest and most powerful from Booz Allen Hamilton, the $6 billion-a-year management-consulting firm, to Boeing, the defense contractor boasting $82 billion in worldwide sales.
In theory, these contractors are supposed to save taxpayer money, as efficient, bottom-line-oriented corporate behemoths. In reality, they end up costing twice as much as civil servants, according to research by Professor Paul C. Light of New York University and others has shown. Defense contractors like Boeing and Northrop Grumman cost almost three times as much.
Read the whole thing at Newsweek: http://www.newsweek.com/us-government-paying-through-nose-private-contractors-224370
Demeter
(85,373 posts)It's a frosty 10F outside at 9 PM.
For contrast purposes, it's 41F in Helsinki, Finland, and it's 4 AM there.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)To the lovelorn, and the lost, and the suffering, and the lonely during this holiday season, listen to me now:
Although you may feel that you have nothing, yet trust me that you do have something, and keep that thought in your heart to cheer you through these days and the days to come.
Whatever your situation, you still have faith. Faith not in the religious sense, rather in the confidence that the characteristics of the good that you possess, whether it be empathy for others, a commitment to better the world, or just the fact that you've made another person's life a little bit better by being there; this faith can sustain you.
And yet more important, you have hope, and hope will never abandon you if you allow it to live in your heart. Hope will sustain you through the dark days and years, and will reward you in the end for keeping it quietly within you. Have hope, and you will persevere. Have hope, and your perseverance will be its own reward. No matter the final outcome, you will be the better for having persevered; the struggle contains its own nobility and worth.
Charity, much like faith and hope, rewards and honors both the giver and the recipient. If you feel that your life is not as it should be, do please sacrifice just one day to volunteer in a soup kitchen. The gratitude expressed by those who are genuinely less fortunate than you, unless you are of granite heart, will provide an invaluable lesson in perspective.
And if you are so unfortunate that you find yourself in the necessity of being a client at a soup kitchen, note the generosity of the volunteers who do not go to work there for any profit to themselves, but rather have a genuine desire to make some small part of your life better, for only one simple reason: Because they care. Make a vow then if you will, that when your station in life rises above its current level, that you will pass their generosity along to others who may then be where you were today, there in that soup kitchen.
Faith and hope are all, and charity is its own reward.
If you wonder why I write this tonight, it's this: Whoever you are, I have been you.
I have known poverty. I remember the taste of Government Surplus food. I have known the shame of walking to school in the morning, knowing that my mended clothes would be noticed and remarked upon. I have known adult poverty as well, hoping that the fifty dollars I squirreled away for my son's Christmas presents would be enough that he'd be happy on Christmas morning.
I have worked the crappy, dead-end jobs; driven the taxi, endured the 100-degree temperature while nailing the shingles to the roof, sweated in the cardboard-box factory for little wages and less respect.
I have know pain and sickness, being at the very brink of death at the ages of fourteen, nineteen, and again at twenty-four; each time with the calm acceptance of the inevitable followed by the amazement of survival. To this day, my first awareness each morning upon awakening, and my last awareness each night upon going to sleep, is of pain. And that will never change. Ever.
I have known heartache, losing loved ones far too early, surviving an inadvisable marriage to a woman afflicted with mental illnesses which she would not even acknowledge, much less seek treatment for, and bore the brunt every day of her rage and incapacity for rational thought. I took the beating for over four years, for the sake of my son, and went through a hideous divorce that depleted every financial resource I had built, including every cent of my retirement account, to ensure that my son would not have to suffer his mother's madness.
I tell you this not to ask for sympathy, because I deserve none. I have a wonderful life now, and nothing to complain about. I am, truly, one of the fortunate ones, and not a single day passes that I do not remind myself of that. Rather, I tell you these true stories so you may understand that it's true when I say, I have been you.
But I had faith.
I never lost hope.
And on those Thanksgiving and Christmas days when I was alone and missing my son and my other family, I worked at the soup kitchen, and returned home more content than I would have been if I had spent the day in self-pity.
So listen to me, please because I've been where you are: Have faith. Do not give up hope.
Yell for help if you need to, because depression is not anything to be ashamed of; if your knee hurt, you'd go to the knee doctor, wouldn't you? So if your mind is in pain, visit someone who knows about helping people's minds feel better. Please.
And, in the end, no matter how lonely you may feel, remember this: Because you are a DUer, you are never alone.
You're one of us.
Your participation makes you a part of this wonderful community, and somebody will be here for you whenever you need someone. Trust me on this. I have not the slightest doubt that, were I in need, even the DUers with whom I have had the most bitter disagreements would rush to my aid. I believe this. I do.
If even one of you finds even a small comfort from this post, I will consider the words to have been well worth writing.
Do not lose faith. Have hope. Be happy.
That's my holiday wish for all.
Redstone
Demeter
(85,373 posts)See you all in the morning! Merry Christmas!
xchrom
(108,903 posts)xchrom
(108,903 posts)Detroit reached a new settlement in a bid to end interest-rate swap contracts with UBS AG (UBSN) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC), cutting the termination amount to about $165 million from $230 million.
The settlement was presented to a mediator, U.S. District Judge Gerald Rosen, yesterday in federal court in Detroit, according to a transcript. The agreement still requires bankruptcy court approval. The next hearing in the case is scheduled for Jan. 3.
This is an important development for the city and its residents because it means we can start moving forward on implementing needed investments in public safety and services, Kevyn Orr, Detroits emergency financial manager, said in a statement.
U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Steven Rhodes on Dec. 18 suspended a trial over the original settlement, under which the city would have paid UBS and BofAs Merrill Lynch unit $230 million to terminate interest-rate swaps that have cost the city about $202 million since 2009.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)xchrom
(108,903 posts)xchrom
(108,903 posts)The final version of the Volcker Rule was challenged in a lawsuit over claims that requiring small banks to divest their holdings in some collateralized debt obligations will cause them about $600 million in losses.
The American Bankers Association, which represents mostly community banks, objects to a portion of the rule that will force lenders to get rid of CDOs backed by trust-preferred securities, according to the complaint filed yesterday in federal court in Washington. The association seeks a court order blocking the rule from taking effect before the end of the year.
Without the requested relief, hundreds of community banks across the nation will be required to recognize unexpected and, in many cases, significant earnings and capital losses on or before December 31, 2013, according to the complaint.
The rule named for former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, who championed it as an adviser to President Barack Obama, was included in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Law that overhauled U.S. financial regulation as a way to restrict banks proprietary trading and other risky bets after the 2008 credit crisis. The Fed has given banks a delay until July 21, 2015, to comply.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)Chinas stocks climbed the most in three weeks, spurred by a second-day drop in benchmark money-market rates after the central bank injected cash into the financial system. The yuan held near a 20-year high.
The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) rose 0.6 percent to 2,106.35 at the close, the biggest advance since Dec. 4. Volumes were down 40 percent as most Asian markets shut for the holidays. Oil producer PetroChina Co. and technology companies advanced. The seven-day repurchase rate, a gauge of funding availability in the banking system, slid 86 basis points to 5.58 percent.
Chinas central bank conducted its first reverse-repurchase operation in three weeks yesterday, stepping up efforts to provide lenders with cash after the biggest surge in borrowing costs since 2011 sparked a sell-off in Chinese shares traded in Shanghai, Hong Kong and New York.
Lower interest rates have helped calm the market, Gao Hui, an analyst at Founder Securities Co., wrote in a note today. Funding costs will be controlled with the help of fiscal fund transfers before the year-end.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)Japans Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average closed above 16,000 for the first time in six years as the weaker yen boosted earnings prospects for exporters. The Turkish lira gained after two ministers resigned amid a graft probe.
The Nikkei 225 climbed 0.8 percent, adding to a 54 percent rally this year, the most among major developed markets tracked by Bloomberg. Japans currency fell 0.2 percent at 9:37 a.m. in London, weakening for a third day. The lira gained 0.7 percent against the dollar following the resignations of the economy and interior ministers, whose sons are jailed on allegations of corruption that have roiled Turkish politics. Chinas seven-day repurchase rate fell for a second day after the central bank injected funds into the financial system. Most global markets are closed for the holidays.
Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda told a business lobby group today the nations economy is on a smooth recovery path this year. U.S. reports showed orders for durable goods and new-home sales rose more than forecast in November, underscoring economic confidence expressed by the Federal Reserve this month when it said it will begin reducing stimulus.
The yens depreciation is due to a stronger U.S. economy and the logic of buying into Japanese stocks is clear -- a weaker yen is good for Japans export-oriented economy, said Wang Weijun, a strategist at Zheshang Securities Co. in Shanghai. The funds injection by Chinas central bank is pretty symbolic.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)American Express Co. (AXP) has agreed to pay $75.7 million to settle claims from U.S. financial regulators that it used deceptive marketing practices to sell protection services to credit-card customers.
The company must pay $59.5 million in restitution to more than 335,000 harmed customers, according to the deals announced today by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. The biggest credit-card issuer by customer purchases violated the law when it misrepresented the costs and benefits of its add-on products, the agencies said.
We first warned companies last year about using deceptive marketing to sell credit card add-on products, and everyone should be on notice of this issue, Richard Cordray, director of the consumer bureau, said in a statement. Today we are refunding thousands of American Express customers who were harmed by these illegal practices.
The agencies also assessed New York-based AmEx $16.2 million in penalties for misleading customers from 2000 to 2012 and billing them for services they never received, according to the regulators orders. The deal also requires the company to fix its practices, including its relationships with third-party vendors. The company didnt admit or deny wrongdoing, according to the orders, which focused on multiple AmEx units.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)Gold gained for the second time in three sessions on speculation that this months price drop may spur more physical buying and as violence escalated in South Sudan.
Bullion closed at $1,193.60 an ounce on Dec. 19, the lowest settlement since August 2010, after the Federal Reserve said it will reduce economic stimulus. Prices are down 3.8 percent in December, heading for the fourth straight monthly decline. Trading today was 69 percent lower than the average for the past 100 days for this time of day, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Fighting in South Sudan has killed at least 500 people.
Expectations of some physical demand after the huge drop is helping prices on this very thinly traded day, Frank McGhee, the head dealer at Integrated Brokerage Services in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. Also, the violence in Sudan is supportive, boosting demand for the metal as an investment hedge, he said.
Gold futures for February delivery rose 0.5 percent to settle at $1,203.30 at 12:38 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Prices have tumbled 28 percent this year, set for the worst annual drop since 1981, as equities rallied and the Fed said it will cut monthly asset purchases to $75 billion from $85 billion.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Security Footage Reveals Violent And Terrifying Criminal Stunt At JP Morgan More Of A Musical Presentation Than Previously Thought
http://dealbreaker.com/2013/12/security-footage-reveals-violent-and-terrifying-criminal-stunt-at-jp-morgan-more-of-a-musical-presentation-that-previously-thought/
Last October, Reverend Billy (AKA Billy Talen) made his second appearance at JP Morgan. The first time the Reverend showed up at the House of Morgan, he protested the banks practices by putting a holy hex on the building. This time, he was there to draw attention to the House of Morgans financing of mountain top removal, dirty coal, fracking, and other types of fossil fuel extraction, which he did by entering 270 Park, along with members of his Stop Shopping choir who were dressed as frogs, heading up to the third floor (where wealth management offices are located), and belting out a tune on the subject. The Reverend delivered a sermon about JP Morgans role in climate change (via its investments), and his flock passed out informational pamphlets to clients and employees. Shortly thereafter, while waiting for the F train, Billy and his choir director Nehemiah Luckett were arrested and charged with riot in the second degree and menacing in the third degree, facing up to one year in prison a piece.* But earlier this week, God intervened:
Thats a big shift from how the case was presented at their arraignment in October. Then, a prosecutor accused Talen of engaging in a violent and terrifying masked criminal stunt, which demonstrates his utter disregard for the law. On Monday, the prosecutor termed the action a musical presentation.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)Reverend Billy is no stranger to the law. Recognizable by his trade-mark attire: a white suit, black shirt and clerical collar, the activist performer known as Bill Talen has been arrested alongside his activist choir group, The Church of Stop Shopping, more than 70 times in his decade-long crusade against consumerism, corporate commercialism and militarism. The Reverend has graced sidewalks, banks, parks and businesses world-wide passionately preaching political satire since he moved to New York in the 1990s upon where his character Reverend Billy was born - a hybrid of a street evangelist preacher and Elvis Presley. Talen appeared as a sole performer preaching anti-consumerism in Times Square, before expanding his one-man performance act in 1999 to a 40-person choir and 5-person band.
Since then, Talen has written extensively on economic systems and environmental practices, has been featured in Morgan Spurlocks film, What Would Jesus Buy?, and built a performance empire on community action and catchy gospel hymns performed by The Church of Stop Shopping's choir such as We are the 99%, Revolution and End of the World.
In recent years, the group has shifted its focus away from consumerism and towards large corporate banks which Reverend Billy argues are responsible for global warming, based on a five-year study by BankTrack.Org. The research found that big banks such as JP Morgan Chase, UBS, Deutsche Bank and HSBC create climate change by actively paying money to companies that pour carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Reverend Billy and The Stop Shopping Choir's latest show, The Extinction Resurrection Campaign, which premiered in New York in November, projects a pretty straightforward yet powerful message: the banks are destroying the earth and thus must be held accountable. The Reverend weighed in on his latest environmental crusade to AlterNet following his performance.
Were trying to invent a new kind of activism that comes right from Sandy and Haiyon and tornados, droughts and fires. Were trying to take the earths message into our bodies and souls by venturing into the banks and going into the corporations that are creating climate change which our research indicates includes Chase, HSB and Citibank. There are also big hedge funds that are more mysterious that we cant get at right now, but well find out who they are. The bottom line is we have to go there in person. We have to educate the people who work there. We have to rise up and invent a new type of activism, he said.
Rev. Billy and his 'Church of Earthalujah' are intent on stopping these banks through this campaign, alerting people to the climate crisis and the destruction of diversity by haunting the big banks through extinct animals, specifically by staging a number of demonstrations where group members perform as various extinct animals, thereby connecting biodiversity to the banks and the climate change crisis on earth.
Coal-fired power is responsible for about 40 percent of greenhouse gases. New power plants costs billions and so are dependent on banks. Banks are business partners in Big Coal and Big Oil. Beyond the fracking, tar sands, deep sea-drilling and leaky pipelines, are the aluminum smelters, the hydro-dams, copper and gold mines. Throughout the earth, carbon dioxide emissions increase each month, as the storms, droughts and fires grow more and more tragic as the extinction of life forms grow worse, Reverend Billy stated in his performance pamphlet.
MORE
Watch Reverend Billy invade Chase bank with his audience on Nov 24:
xchrom
(108,903 posts)Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday the final pieces were in place for the 2015 launch of an economic union with Belarus and Kazakhstan that Moscow hopes can also be joined by Ukraine.
Putin promised following talks with Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev and Belarussian leader Alexander Lukashenko that the so-called Eurasian Economic Union would turn into a new source of growth for all involved.
The alliance would replace a much looser Eurasian Customs Union that Russia formed with the two ex-Soviet nations in an effort to build up a free trade rival to the 28-nation EU bloc.
Government representatives of the troika (Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus) have developed the draft of the institutional part of the Eurasian Economic Union agreement, Putin said in televised remarks.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)He is going to be the leading figure of this century.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Swaddled in Baby Gap, little Jesus appears to be crying. Mary tries to gently rock him in her hands, certainly a great moment to remind viewers that you are in good hands with Allstate. The carpenter Joseph is trying to protect Mary and Jesus, he could certainly use the system he just won from our sponsor ADT. The cow you see behind them is brought to you by ConAgra, the donkey by Halliburton. The angels on high in the sky, magnificent 3D computer generated imagery, are from Pixar. Walt Disney has remixed the angel songs so they sing praise to the shopping opportunities this event has created.
Earlier, there were reports of shepherds in the area but ICE agents stopped and frisked them and are now herding them on your right into the Fox News freedom of expression fenced off area. Some appear to be singing a protest song about peace on earth. Over on the left, a panel of MSNBC experts are talking about the shepherds and talking about the shepherds and talking about the shepherds. In front of us you can see the Republicans, decked out in Brooks Brothers, who have brought gifts of big cutbacks in food stamps to make this couple and others like them more independent and self-reliant. Democrats, clad in casual elegance from Ralph Lauren, are doing their part tonight by firing drones all over the Middle East and Africa and snooping on the private communications of the family all the while assuring the family this is for their own protection...Oh look, here come representatives of the rich and powerful! Both Republicans and Democrats are bowing down to them. They promise the next time Jesus is born they will provide a better site in Davos, Switzerland so he can get his message out to those who really matter.
Finally, the church people arrive, clerics from Christianity, Judaism, and Islam decked out in fine clothing. They quickly start arguing among themselves over the importance of the event and who is more closely related to the family. UN Peacekeepers pry them apart and send them to separate parts of the country so they can pray in their own separate peace. All the while, representatives from Apple are pushing Iphones on the lovely parents. Microsoft assures Jesus he can be happy with his own Xbox. Amazon mini-drones hover with books, groceries, clothing, and jewelry. While Walmart and Costco assure everyone they have all the same stuff at guaranteed lower prices.
Wait. Mary and Joseph have picked up baby Jesus and are stepping over the piles of presents. They are leaving the spotlights and the microphones and the piles of presents. Where on earth are they going? What is wrong with them?
Well, that is all for Christmas 2013. Tonights good cheer brought to you by Budweiser.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)http://angrybearblog.com/2013/12/the-real-reason-healthcare-insurance-companies-are-now-encouraging-obamacare-enrollment-fear-of-a-pro-public-option-or-pro-single-payer-political-juggernaut.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Hzoh+%28angrybearblog.com%29
Greg Sargent, Washington Post, December 17, 2013
Sargent goes on to say that these plans were long in the works but were delayed because of the dysfunction of the federal website. I assume thats accurate, but elsewhere in Sargents column, in the form of two new polls are hints of why this project has taken on real urgency. One poll, by Pew, published today in USA Today, shows a dramatic drop in support for Obama and Obamacare among 18- to 29-year-olds, results similar to those in another recent poll. Undoubtedly, although this wont occur to most pundits, this drop reflects fallout from the Snowden revelations and also anger at Obamas less-than-progressive (and certainly less-than-energetic) agenda. But there also is this: Only 41% of members of this age group approve of his signature health care policy, while 54% disapprove. But also there is this, from the other poll released this morning, taken for the Associated Press:
Sixty-nine percent say their premiums will be going up, while 59 percent say annual deductibles or copayments are increasing.
Each time I read something of that sort I am struck momentarily by dismay that Obama has failed to tell the public, as often as is necessary to halt the effect of the disinformation, which as it happens is coming mainly from employers and insurance companies. Something along the lines of: Gosh, folks, listening to these people, youd almost think that your employee contributions, co-pays and deductibles had remained steady and fine until the fall of 2013. Maybe a few statistics would drive home the point. But we are after all talking about Obama, not, say, a normal president. And Obama just doesnt do refutations, much less refutations citing actual statistics. But one of these days a genuine progressive who has been fighting in the congressional trenches for progressive legislationSherrod Brown, I hope, or maybe Jeff Merkleywill show signs of interest in running for president in 2016. Andwho knows?the press might even begin paying attention to what he (Elizabeth Warren is not going to run) says. And what he says will include specific refutations to employer and insurance company claims that Obamacare is to blame for what Obamacare is not to blame for. And then hell propose the public option or even single-payer, leaving Obamacare in place until one of these now-quite-real options begins. And this time there will not be an absurdly long four-year delay before implementation. I expect that the experience with Obamacare as sabotaged by Republican state legislators and governors and unremitting campaigns of disinformation, and by shortsighted insurance carriers engaged in their own campaign of deception and trickery toward their current premium holders, will make possible (in fact, likely) what was not possible when Obamacare was being drafted and negotiated.
Republicans and, almost certainly, nearly all mainstream pundits see the 2014 and 2016 political debate as between Obamacare repeal and Obamacare fixes. They dont consider that the public will recognize a failure of Obamacare for what it is: a failure of federalism and, like the pre-Obamacare system, a failure also of the free market regarding healthcare. And they certainly dont consider that many, many of the people who have turned against Obamacare now in large part because of the gamesmanship of employers and insurance companiesyoung people, and employees whove seen their employer-based insurance benefit deteriorate annually in key respectsare likely to elect candidates who propose to change the system dramatically, to add a public option or to convert the system to single-payer. They now know, after all, that the system really can be dramatically changed. Employers would benefit from single-payer, if not from a public option, so their concerted scapegoating of Obamacare might serve their interest. But the insurance companies are drastically overplaying their hand. The Democrats have no competent spokesperson right now; thats certainly true. But that is temporary; they likely soon will. Once this epiphany occurs to the insurance industry, they might start reining in their members in order to give Obamacare some chance to succeed. By then, though, it may well be too late, and the previously impossible will be on its way to fruition.
UPDATE: In light of some of the comments to this post, I want to make clear that by single-payer I do not mean Medicare-for-all. Single-payer would be, in essence, the public option extended to everyone rather than limited to the 5% of people who have private healthcare insurance through the non-group (i.e., non-employer-provided) market. It is not tax-funded identical-for-all healthcare insurance, which is what Medicare is. I do think that eventually this country will have Medicare-for-all-type healthcare insurance, but not in the nearterm. If single-payer works well, then of course that would be the longterm solution, with no need for Medicare-for-all. I also want to make a point, in light of EMichaels comment, about federalism as it relates to Medicaid and, for that matter, any other federal social-safety-network program. Federalism has been a disaster for Obamacare, and the only reason it works under current pre-Obamacare Medicaid is that that program came into being and was effectuated before the hard-right turn of the Republican Party. The really weird but successful argument by rightwing governors and state attorneys general to the Supreme Court in the ACA litigation on the Medicaid-expansion provision in the ACA is that, well, yknow, now that traditional Medicaid has been a part of each states law for decades, and is popular, it would be politically impossible for state legislators to end that programthe result under the ACA as the statute was written, if a state refused to agree to the ACA Medicaid expansion. This, they arguedsuccessfully!meant that the ACA was effectively coercive of state legislators and therefore infringed upon state sovereignty. On that ground, the Supreme Court struck down that part of the Medicaid portion of the ACA. Thats also known as the conservatives-having-their-cake-and-eating-it-to theory of constitutional law. The argument was so deeply hubristic that its actual success is stunning and outrageous. But I have no idea why anyone would think that federalism must be a part of a national healthcare insurance law. It does not.
As for whether or not the public will catch on that the main problems with the Obamacare-exchanges-and-private-policies part of the Act is a failure of the healthcare insurance market and of the healthcare market itselfa question that several commenters raisedwell, that was what my post was about. Yes, the public will catch on, once the Dems have a smart, committed, knowledgeable and articulate spokesperson with a high enough national profile to educate them about it. I expect that that will happen fairly soon.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)The 7 Most Important Things Congress Did:
The 25 Most Important Things Congress Talked About, but Did Not Do:
I THOUGHT JANET YELLEN WAS ALL SET TO GO...MUST CHECK
Demeter
(85,373 posts)what is the matter with these people?
Demeter
(85,373 posts)By now, we've heard from tech companies such as Facebook, Google and Cisco Systems that the National Security Agency's spying poses a threat to their international business and, in Cisco's case, is already hurting it. So what does that threat look like, exactly, at ground level?
Some companies are apparently so concerned about the NSA snooping on their data that they're requiring - in writing - that their technology suppliers store their data outside the U.S.
In Canada, a pharmaceutical company and government agency have now both added language to that effect to their contracts with suppliers, as did a grocery chain in the U.K., according to J.J. Thompson, chief executive officer of Rook Consulting, an Indianapolis, Indiana-based security-consulting firm. He declined to name the companies, which are using Rook to manage the segmentation and keep the data out of the U.S.
Thompson said the language began appearing in contracts over the past couple weeks, and could be an early indicator of things to come as businesses adapt to a landscape altered by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden's leaks. Documents leaked by Snowden indicate that the NSA has tapped fiber-optic cables abroad, circumvented or cracked encryption and is massively collecting telephone records and Internet traffic. Facebook, Google, Apple and Yahoo were among 15 technology companies that asked President Barack Obama Dec. 17 to restrain the spy programs. Cisco said Nov. 13 that NSA spying has caused delays to networking equipment orders...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Here is a Wall Street Journal article http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303330204579250582491040034 about how the Federal Reserve is experimenting with reverse repo agreements as a tool of monetary policy. "The Fed traditionally has managed short-term interest rates by shifting its benchmark federal-funds rate, an overnight intrabank rate," but the reverse repo mechanism wouldn't be limited to banks. In the reverse repos, counterparties would lend the Fed money -- secured by Treasuries -- at a rate determined directly by the Fed. (In the experimental reverse repos the Fed is currently conducting, that's 5 basis points.)
There's some stuff on the substance of monetary policy and the Fed's plans for future tightening,1 but I feel like that's the least interesting part. The more interesting part is that "The reverse-repo program extends the Fed's reach beyond traditional banks to Fannie, Freddie and others, and in theory should give the central bank more control over interest rates." Right now, to hear the Fed describe it, banks are in a weirdly lucrative place. The Fed's interest on excess reserves program pays them 25 basis points per annum for depositing money overnight with the Fed. In an efficient competitive market you'd expect them to borrow in size at around 0.25 percent: If they could borrow at 0.24 percent, they'd do that all day long, borrow at 0.24 percent (from whomever) and lend at 0.25 percent (to the Fed), and make riskless profit, which should drive the price of borrowing up to 0.25 percent.
But in fact the fed funds rate -- the rate at which banks borrow reserves -- is around 8 or 9 basis points these days. The reason has to do with who lends the fed funds. It's not banks: Banks can get 25 basis points, so why settle for 8? A New York Fed blog post last week explains that something like 75 percent of fed funds lending comes from the Federal Home Loan Banks, which aren't eligible for interest on excess reserves and so have to lend their excess cash in the fed funds market:
The predominant lending role of the FHLBs helps explain why the fed funds effective rate has largely printed below IOER. As the FHLBs arent eligible to earn IOER, they have an incentive to lend in the fed funds market, typically at rates below IOER but still representing a positive return over leaving funds unremunerated in their Federal Reserve accounts. Institutions have an incentive to borrow at a rate below IOER and then hold their borrowed funds in their reserve account to receive IOER and thus earn a positive spread on the transaction.
The Journal article cites a speech from last week by Simon Potter, the executive vice president of the New York Fed's markets group. Here's Potter on why those rates are so different:
Contrary to the dynamics one would expect of an idealized perfect market, however, short-term rates have consistently traded at levels below the IOER rate, and Treasury bill and repo rates have occasionally gone negative, particularly when financial stresses increase the demand for very safe assets. Since IOER is available only to depository institutions holding balances at the Fed, many other money market participants cannot access it, either because they dont earn interest on Fed account balances (like government-sponsored enterprises, or GSEs) or dont have Fed accounts at all (like money market funds). Without such access, these institutions may have less bargaining power and may have to leave funds unremunerated at the Fed or place funds in the market at sub-IOER rates. This creates a potential arbitrage opportunity for banks, which can earn a spread between their costs of funds and their earnings on reserves, but not for other cash lenders. However, uncertain or rising balance sheet costs likely related to new regulatory changes, including higher capital requirements, leverage ratio and liquidity requirements, and changes in the FDICs insurance fee assessment scheme may have altered banks cost-benefit evaluations and tempered their willingness to arbitrage the differences in rates. Additionally, banks are reportedly unable to attract substantial funds because of lenders concerns regarding credit risks associated with uncollateralized lending and because lenders often distribute their investments among several banks, making their supplies of funds relatively insensitive to the interest rates offered by individual banks. Thus, while banks take some advantage of the arbitrage opportunity, competitive conditions in the unsecured money markets havent proven strong enough to narrow the spread between the fed funds rate and the IOER rate to very small and stable levels, and the floor on rates that IOER is meant to provide appears soft.
That is: The Fed is having trouble influencing short-term rates because banks are not the seamless transition mechanism you might once have expected. Nobody trusts the banks, so they can't increase their borrowing in the unsecured market just by raising the price. Regulation makes the banks so creaky and complicated that they actually don't want to make risk-free money by borrowing all they can from the fed funds market and lending to the Fed at IOER rates, because it would mess them up for capital or whatever. Also: Banks are jerks, and keep the spreads wide by borrowing from lenders with "less bargaining power."
MORE--WHAT A MESS!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)A US judge has approved a $5.7bn (£3.5bn) class action settlement against credit card firms Visa and MasterCard. The two firms were accused of fixing the credit card fees charged to merchants each time a credit or debit card was used. It is believed to be the largest settlement of an antitrust class action suit ever.
Some retailers objected, claiming the terms weren't satisfactory. Merchants first sued Visa and MasterCard in 2005. An initial settlement of $7.2bn was agreed on, but the amount was lowered after around 8000 retailers, including Amazon and Target, opted out of the agreement.
Many of those retailers have subsequently filed their own lawsuits.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)France will avoid a recession this year, according to the country's statistics body.
INSEE said the economy will grow 0.4% in the last three months of the year, after contracting 0.1% in the third quarter.
President Francois Hollande has been under pressure to revive the economy as other eurozone nations start growing and show signs of recovery.
The body predicted growth of 0.2% for the whole of 2013.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)Turkey is in turmoil.
Last week, the children of top Turkish policymakers were arrested as part of a massive corruption investigation. Today, three top ministers resigned.
And one of those ministers is now calling for Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan to step down.
Not surprisingly, this political uncertainty is sending shock waves through the stock market.
Here's a look at Turkey's Borsa Istanbul National 100 index, which is now down by 3%.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/turkish-stocks-falling-2013-12#ixzz2oUoQgt40
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)Demeter
(85,373 posts)The long, lonely voyage of the Japanese ghost ship is over. A U.S. Coast Guard cutter unleashed cannon fire on the abandoned 164-foot Ryou-Un Maru on Thursday, ending a journey that began when last year's tsunami dislodged it and set it adrift across the Pacific Ocean. It sank into waters more than 1,000 feet deep in the Gulf of Alaska, more than 150 miles from land. The crew pummeled the ghost ship with high explosive ammunition and, soon after, the Ryou-Un Maru burst into flames, began to take on water and list, officials said.
A huge column of smoke could be seen over the gulf.
The Coast Guard warned mariners to stay away, and aviation authorities did the same for pilots. A Coast Guard C-130 plane crew monitored the operation. In about four hours, the ship vanished into the water, said Chief Petty Officer Kip Wadlow in Juneau.
Officials decided to sink the ship, rather than risk the chance of it running aground or endangering other vessels in the busy shipping lanes between North America and Asia....
The ship was at Hokkaido, Japan, and destined for scrapping when a magnitude-9.0 earthquake that struck the country in March 2011 triggered a tsunami. The waves dislodged the vessel and set it adrift. In total, about 5 million tons of debris was swept out to sea. The boat did not have any cargo aboard, Webb said. He said he didn't know who owned the Ryou-Un Maru, which had been traveling about 1 mph in recent days.
MORE
Demeter
(85,373 posts)When petitioner had not yet been placed in custody or received Miranda warnings, and voluntarily responded to some questions by police about a murder, the prosecutions use of his silence in response to another question as evidence of his guilty at trial did not violate the Fifth Amendment because petitioner failed to expressly invoke his privilege not to incriminate himself in response to the officers question.
A lay translation: If the police ask you questions, before you have been arrested or read your rights, your silence can and will be used against you in court.
I could go on for thousands of words about why Salinas v. Texas was wrongly decided, but that wont help in an interaction with the police.
I have a simpler and perhaps even effective course of action, the Salinas Card.
I invoke my right against self-incrimination and refuse to answer any and all questions, verbal, written or otherwise communicated.
I invoke my right to counsel and cannot afford counsel. I request counsel be appointed and to be present for any questioning, lineups or other identification procedures, and/or any legal proceedings.
I do not consent to any searches of my person, my immediate surroundings or any vehicles or structures that I may own, rent or otherwise occupy.
Date: ___________________________
Police Officer ______________________
Get a local criminal defense attorney to approve the language for your state (some states have more protections than the U.S. Constitution). Print the card up on standard 3? x 5? index card stock.
When approached by the police, read your Salinas Card to them, date it and ask for their signature on it. (Keep the original, give them a copy.)
Personally I would keep four (4) or (5) 2-card sets on hand at all times.
PS: This is not legal advice but a suggestion that you get legal advice. Show this post to your local public defender and ask them to approve a Salinas card.
Silence being a confession of guilt is the substance of the first scene of the fourth act of Aida.
The priests accuse, Radames remains silent and the priests sing traditore then Amneris and the orchestra break into the most glorious sound of fury and damnation.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Robert W. Wilson, a retired New York hedge-fund founder who committed his life to giving the fortune he made from investing to charities, has died. He was 87.
He died Dec. 23 after leaping from his 16th-floor residence at the San Remo apartment building on Manhattans Central Park West, according to a person with knowledge of the incident who asked not to be identified because family members hadnt been notified. Police said an 87-year-old man was found in a courtyard at the rear of the building and pronounced dead from an apparent suicide. He suffered a stroke in June, Gary Castle, his accountant, said yesterday in a telephone interview.
Wilson, whose Wall Street career spanned five decades, started Wilson & Associates, a hedge fund, in 1969 after working as a securities analyst. He retired in 1986 and, by 2000, his net worth peaked at about $800 million, Castle said. By then, he had already begun to give most of his money away, donating more than $500 million to charities, primarily to conservation groups, Castle said...
In 1949, Wilson got his first job in New York, as a trainee at First Boston Corp., which was later acquired by Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group AG. He was drafted into the U.S. Army in 1951 and returned to First Boston in 1953.
He moved back to his hometown that year to become a securities analyst in the trust department at National Bank of Detroit. He returned to New York in 1958 to work as an analyst, and eventually as a vice president, at General American Investors, a closed-end investment trust, and went to A.G. Becker & Co. four years later, where he remained until founding his hedge fund.
Wilsons career as an investor was almost tripped up in 1978 by what Forbes magazine described as the most catastrophic short play in modern times. In May of that year, he created a short position of 200,000 shares of Resorts International at an average price of $15 each, according to a 1979 account in Forbes. The company had just opened the first gambling casino in Atlantic City, New Jersey, and Wilson was betting the stock would fall. Instead, the shares rose to $20.
Im getting crucified, but I may short more, Wilson said, according to Forbes. He then set out on a six-month vacation to Europe, Asia and Australia.
The shares continued to rise and by September, Wilson was in Taipei and they reached $190. By then he was covering his short position, buying back the stock at appreciated levels, costing him millions of dollars in losses.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)This month marks the fifth anniversary of Bernard Madoff shocking the world by confessing to running a Ponzi scheme that was eventually tallied up to represent $17 billion in actual losses and $65 billion in paper losses fictitious amounts shown on customer statements. It may also mark another ignoble first the first time a Wall Street bank is criminally charged by the U.S. Department of Justice.
The Trustee in charge of recovering funds for victims of Madoffs decades-long Ponzi scheme, Irving Picard, may have forced the hand of the U.S. Department of Justice to bring criminal charges against JPMorgan Chase for the banks enablement of the fraud. The New York Times is reporting ... that criminal charges against JPMorgan and a deferred prosecution agreement related to its actions in the Madoff case may be announced before the end of this month by the Justice Department, together with a $1 billion penalty. Other Federal agencies may impose additional monetary penalties for broader lapses in money laundering controls at the bank. While the actual charges may be coming from the Justice Department, as Wall Street On Parade has previously reported, it is Picard who has exquisitely presented JPMorgans wrongdoing in a manner easily understandable to the public. Last month Picard asked the U.S. Supreme Court to review an appellate courts ruling that would bar him from suing JPMorgan and other banks for aiding the Madoff fraud in order to recover additional funds for victims. In his petition for review, Picard filed a scorching outline of his case against JPMorgan. Picard told the Supreme Court that JPMorgan stood at the very center of Madoffs fraud for over 20 years. Picard bases this claim on his lower court filing that showed JPMorgan was well aware that Madoff was claiming to invest tens of billions of dollars in a strategy that involved buying large cap stocks in the Standard and Poors 500 index while simultaneously hedging with options. But the Madoff firms primary bank account at JPMorgan, which the bank had intimate access to review for over 20 years, was devoid of evidence of stock or options trading. The petition to the Supreme Court reads:
Picard told the Court that employees inside JPMorgan were well aware of the suspicions surrounding Madoff. Its own Chief Risk Officer, John Hogan, had warned his colleagues 18 months prior to Madoffs revelation of his Ponzi scheme that there is a well-known cloud over the head of Madoff and that his returns are speculated to be part of a ponzi scheme. In a lower court lawsuit, Picard wrote:
Not only did JPMorgan provide the bank account through which Madoff perpetrated his decades-long fraud, but JPMorgan, despite its serious suspicions, invested over $250 million of its own money with Madoff feeder funds while it simultaneously created structured investment products that allowed its own investors to make leveraged bets on the returns of the feeder funds invested with Madoff. In September 2008, just two months before Madoff would confess to running an unprecedented investment fraud, JPMorgan conducted a new round of due diligence and decided it was time to get out of its $250 million investment involving the feeder funds to Madoff. The following month, on October 28, 2008, JPMorgan Chase sent a suspicious activity report not to its U.S. regulators but to the United Kingdoms Serious Organized Crime Agency (SOCA). The document reads:
Because JPMorgan was still on the hook to pay the leveraged returns on the structured investments tied to the performance of Madoff funds that it had sold to investors, the Trustee expressed the belief that by redeeming its own $250 million hedge on this payout, JPMorgan demonstrated further evidence of its knowledge of the Madoff fraud.
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kickysnana
(3,908 posts)Other than the grumbling snow shovelers on Facebook things seem pretty good today.
Season's Greetings.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)It warmed up to 23F (windchill of 16F) and left a dusting of snow.
I cooked a big breakfast, and coq au vin is stewing for dinner. Put the Kid on anti-biotics...she has a secondary infection, after 3 weeks. I still sneeze and cough, but in general, am making a recovery. It's STILL warmer in Finland: 39F in Helsinki.
Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)once again, without too many scars.
Here's a parable 'on greed' from George Monbiot:
The two hired men dug for four months without success: with high pressure hoses they scoured great pits into which the trees collapsed; they turned the clear waters of the forest stream they excavated red with clay and tailings; they winnowed the gravel through meshed boxes; they dissolved the residues in mercury and burned it off; but they produced almost nothing. Then they hit one of the richest deposits ever discovered in Roraima: in one day they extracted 4kg.
If you find a lot of gold in the garimpos you keep quiet very quiet. A single shout of triumph can amount to suicide. You gather it up, hide it in your bag and explain to anyone who asks on your way out that months of work have brought you nothing but disease and misery. But first it must be divided.
The two men who owned the stake began to comprehend, for the first time, the implications of the deal they had done. "We risked our lives to establish this stake. We spent every cent we had and plenty we didn't travelling here, buying the equipment and the diesel, hacking out a clearing in the forest, hiring these men. And now we have to split the gold equally with people who are no more than manual labourers, who would normally be paid a few dollars a day." They told the two workers that they wanted a special meal that night, and sent them to the nearest airstrip to buy the ingredients.
As the two workers walked they began to ruminate. "We've nearly killed ourselves in that pit. We've been up before dawn every day and have worked until dusk. We've had malaria, foot rot, screw worm, sunstroke, while those two bastards have done nothing but lie in their hammocks shouting instructions. Now we're expected to give them an equal share of the gold that we and we alone found." When they reached the store, they bought cachaça, rice, beans, a packet of seasoning and a box of rat poison. They mixed the poison into the seasoning and set off back to the camp. Before they reached it, they were ambushed by the two owners and shot. The owners then picked up the bags and went back to the camp to celebrate over the first hot dinner they had had in weeks.
Some time later a party of men moving through the forest to look for new stakes walked into the camp. They found two skeletons over which vines were already beginning to creep. And 4kg of gold.
/... Source and background to the story: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/dec/23/gold-guns-greed-rat-poison-brazilian-jungle-miners
Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)The UK will be in a position to overtake Germany as Europe's largest economy, according to the think tank the Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR)...
... The CEBR in its report added that in addition to the UK's population growth boosting economic expansion, that "lesser dependence on other European economies" would also aid progress, as well as "relatively low taxes by European standards."
However, as far as Germany, the group said that should the euro "break up", that "Germany's outlook would be much better."
As for France, The CEBR said it will be one of the "worst performing" of the Western economies, and will be overtaken by the UK by 2018. This is because of slow growth due to "high taxation" in addition to the general issues of eurozone economies.
/... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-25519110
The thing about taxation is that it's not just the overall level of taxation that matters but also the way it's targetted (and then what's done with the taxes raised). Taxing production, even especially destructive production, and consumption, even especially destructive consumption surely does more to depress economies than would taxing the capital of the super-rich, where most idle wealth is stored (and then putting that capital to work towards useful ends).