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Tansy_Gold

(17,860 posts)
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 05:44 PM Jul 2015

STOCK MARKET WATCH -- Monday, 20 July 2015

[font size=3]STOCK MARKET WATCH, Monday, 20 July 2015[font color=black][/font]


SMW for 17 July 2015

AT THE CLOSING BELL ON 17 July 2015
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Dow Jones 18,086.45 -33.80 (-0.19%)
[font color=green]S&P 500 2,126.64 +2.35 (0.11%)
Nasdaq 5,210.14 +46.96 (0.91%)


[font color=green]10 Year 2.35% -0.01 (-0.42%)
[font color=red]30 Year 3.08% +0.01 (0.33%) [font color=black]


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[font size=2]Market Conditions During Trading Hours[/font]
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(click on link for latest updates)
Market Updates
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[font size=2]Euro, Yen, Loonie, Silver and Gold[center]

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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Market Data and News:[/font][/font]
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Economic Calendar
Marketwatch Data
Bloomberg Economic News
Yahoo Finance
Google Finance
Bank Tracker
Credit Union Tracker
Daily Job Cuts
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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Essential Reading:[/font][/font]
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Matt Taibi: Secret and Lies of the Bailout


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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Government Issues:[/font][/font]
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LegitGov
Open Government
Earmark Database
USA spending.gov
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[font color=red]Partial List of Financial Sector Officials Convicted since 1/20/09 [/font][font color=red]
2/2/12 David Higgs and Salmaan Siddiqui, Credit Suisse, plead guilty to conspiracy involving valuation of MBS
3/6/12 Allen Stanford, former Caribbean billionaire and general schmuck, convicted on 13 of 14 counts in $2.2B Ponzi scheme, faces 20+ years in prison
6/4/12 Matthew Kluger, lawyer, sentenced to 12 years in prison, along with co-conspirator stock trader Garrett Bauer (9 years) and co-conspirator Kenneth Robinson (not yet sentenced) for 17 year insider trading scheme.
6/14/12 Allen Stanford sentenced to 110 years without parole.
6/15/12 Rajat Gupta, former Goldman Sachs director, found guilty of insider trading. Could face a decade in prison when sentenced later this year.
6/22/12 Timothy S. Durham, 49, former CEO of Fair Financial Company, convicted of one count conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, 10 counts of wire fraud, and one count of securities fraud.
6/22/12 James F. Cochran, 56, former chairman of the board of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and six counts of wire fraud.
6/22/12 Rick D. Snow, 48, former CFO of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and three counts of wire fraud.
7/13/12 Russell Wassendorf Sr., CEO of collapsed brokerage firm Peregrine Financial Group Inc. arrested and charged with lying to regulators after admitting to authorities he embezzled "millions of dollars" and forged bank statements for "nearly twenty years."
8/22/12 Doug Whitman, Whitman Capital LLC hedge fund founder, convicted of insider trading following a trial in which he spent more than two days on the stand telling jurors he was innocent
10/26/12 UPDATE: Former Goldman Sachs director Rajat Gupta sentenced to two years in federal prison. He will, of course, appeal. . .
11/20/12 Hedge fund manager Matthew Martoma charged with insider trading at SAC Capital Advisors, and prosecutors are looking at Martoma's boss, Steven Cohen, for possible involvement.
02/14/13 Gilbert Lopez, former chief accounting officer of Stanford Financial Group, and former controller Mark Kuhrt sentenced to 20 yrs in prison for their roles in Allen Sanford's $7.2 billion Ponzi scheme.
03/29/13 Michael Sternberg, portfolio mgr at SAC Capital, arrested in NYC, charged with conspiracy and securities fraud. Pled not guilty and freed on $3m bail.
04/04/13 Matthew Marshall Taylor,fmr Goldman Sachs trader arrested, charged by CFTC w/defrauding his employer on $8BN futures bet "by intentionally concealing the true huge size, as well as the risk and potential profits or losses associated."
04/04/13 Matthew Taylor admits guilt, makes plea bargain. Sentencing set for 26 June; faces up to 20 years in prison but will likely only see 3-4 years. Says, "I am truly sorry."
04/11/13 Ex-KPMG LLP partner Scott London charged by federal prosecutors w/passing inside tips to a friend in exchange for cash, jewelry, and concert tickets; expected to plead guilty in May.
08/01/13 Fabrice Tourré convicted on six counts of security fraud, including "aiding and abetting" his former employer, Goldman Sachs
08/14/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout charged with wire fraud, falsifying records, and conspiracy in connection with JP Morgan's "London Whale" trade.
08/19/13 Phillip A. Falcone, manager of hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners, agrees to admit to "wrongdoing" in market manipulation. Will banned from securities industry for 5 years and pay $18MM in disgorgement and fines.
09/16/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout officially indicted on charges associated with "London Whale" trade.
02/06/14 Matthew Martoma convicted of insider trading while at hedge fund SAC (Stephen A. Cohen) Capital Advisors. Expected sentence 7-10 years.
03/24/14 Annette Bongiorno, Bernard Madoff's secretary; Daniel Bonventre, director of operations for investments; JoAnn Crupi, an account manager; and Jerome O'Hara and George Perez, both computer programmers convicted of conspiracy to defraud clients, securities fraud, and falsifying the books and records.
05/19/14 Credit Suisse, which has an investment bank branch in NYC, agrees to plead guilty and pay appx. $2.6 billion penalties for helping wealthy Americans hide wealth and avoid taxes.
09/08/14 Matthew Martoma, convicted SAC trader, sentenced to 9 years in prison plus forfeiture of $9.3 million, including home and bank accounts







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[font size=3][font color=red]This thread contains opinions and observations. Individuals may post their experiences, inferences and opinions on this thread. However, it should not be construed as advice. It is unethical (and probably illegal) for financial recommendations to be given here.[/font][/font][/font color=red][font color=black]


30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
STOCK MARKET WATCH -- Monday, 20 July 2015 (Original Post) Tansy_Gold Jul 2015 OP
Why America Is Not The Next Greece Demeter Jul 2015 #1
Greek banks to re-open Monday as Tsipras eyes new start Demeter Jul 2015 #2
In Greek crisis, one big unhappy EU family Demeter Jul 2015 #3
Little-Known History of the Euro: Crisis Was Baked In from the Start Demeter Jul 2015 #5
Greece, Europe, and the United States By James K. Galbraith Demeter Jul 2015 #6
Celebrities and world's rich lining up to snap up Greek islands Demeter Jul 2015 #7
Greece looks to offshore oil and gas Demeter Jul 2015 #19
JPMorgan reaches $388 million settlement in mortgage securities case Demeter Jul 2015 #4
Wells Fargo wins dismissal of predatory lending lawsuits Demeter Jul 2015 #11
It's a jungle out there! Fuddnik Jul 2015 #8
It is disturbing Demeter Jul 2015 #9
AIIB membership has costs and privileges Demeter Jul 2015 #10
Tusk: Europe was 'close to catastrophe' over Greece Demeter Jul 2015 #12
200 coal plants announced to retire since 2010 in US! That's almost 40% of the country's coal plants Demeter Jul 2015 #13
Lockheed to buy United Tech's Sikorsky for over $8 billion DemReadingDU Jul 2015 #14
Originally from Kiev... MattSh Jul 2015 #27
No Growth, No profit, No problem by Wolf Richter Demeter Jul 2015 #15
Governments Worldwide Will Crash the First Week of October ... According to 2 Financial Forecasters MattSh Jul 2015 #16
Possible, but not likely the reason or the timing Demeter Jul 2015 #17
Back in January, I felt that this year would be a turning point... MattSh Jul 2015 #20
Makes perfect sense--and that's far more likely Demeter Jul 2015 #22
It seems to me the chess pieces are moving into position DemReadingDU Jul 2015 #28
Don't forget Cuba! MattSh Jul 2015 #30
The Darth Vader of the Euro: Wolfgang Schäuble Demeter Jul 2015 #18
Dr Schäuble’s Plan for Europe: Do Europeans approve? – Yanis Varoufakis Demeter Jul 2015 #25
Dollar hits three-month high on rate view, pans gold Demeter Jul 2015 #21
France’s Hollande Proposes Creation of Euro-Zone Government Demeter Jul 2015 #23
Banks reopen, first repayments start as Greece aims for return to normal Demeter Jul 2015 #24
Duty Calls--and I'm sick of Greece Demeter Jul 2015 #26
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: We Need a Crash to Sort the Wheat from the Chaff MattSh Jul 2015 #29
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
1. Why America Is Not The Next Greece
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 08:48 PM
Jul 2015

BECAUSE THEY HAVE DONE AND ARE DOING HERE ALREADY--TAKE DETROIT, PUERTO RICO, AND CHICAGO, FOR EXAMPLE...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/why-america-is-not-the-next-greece_55a814c5e4b04740a3df6b11?utm_hp_ref=business&ir=Business&section=business

The key difference is that the United States has its own central bank -- the most powerful one in the world...

POWERFUL? ONLY IN THEIR MINDS. UBIQUITOUS, EXTRAVAGANT, FRIVOLOUS AND PANDERING, BUT NOT POWERFUL.

Watching the battle play out between Greece and Europe's financial leadership, observers in the United States might wonder how it is Greece got itself into this mess. Could such a thing ever happen here?

No, it could not. The reason lies in the different structure of the United States and the European Union, and has led to much confusion in the United States, as politicians have warned that if this or that policy isn't enacted, America could become “Greece on steroids.”

The key difference is that the United States has its own central bank -- the most powerful one in the world. Greece, meanwhile, does not. And while the states of the United States are genuinely united -- a common banking system, common federal budget and common political system -- the eurozone is a federation of countries with a common currency that, in the face of crisis, must largely fend for themselves.

When countries’ economies slow down, they have two sets of tools at their disposal: monetary policy (adjustment of the money supply) and fiscal policy (adjustment of government expenditures). Central banks fill the demand gap of a recession by printing currency, and governments do it by spending more than they save.

YES, AND IF THESE TOOLS ARE MISUSED, DUE TO IGNORANCE, BLIND IDEOLOGY, OR CORRUPTION, THE RESULT IS THE SAME. DON'T THINK THERE'S ANY SAFETY HERE...THEY TOOK THE SAFETY OFF WHEN THEY STARTED FINANCIALLY RE-ENGINEERING THE PLACE....FOR THE NEW OWNERS.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
2. Greek banks to re-open Monday as Tsipras eyes new start
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 08:51 PM
Jul 2015

THE ON-AGAIN, OFF AGAIN BANKS ARE ON, AT THE MOMENT...WE WILL SEE WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENS MONDAY.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/18/us-eurozone-greece-idUSKCN0PR29W20150718?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews

The Greek government ordered banks to open on Monday, three weeks after they were shut down to prevent the system collapsing under a flood of withdrawals, as Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras looked to the start of new bailout talks next week.

The decree to re-open the banks came hours after new ministers were sworn in following a cabinet reshuffle in which Tsipras replaced dissident members of his ruling Syriza party following a revolt over the tough bailout terms.

In a move that marked a split with the main leftist faction in the ruling Syriza party, Tsipras sacked hardline former Energy Minister Panagiotis Lafazanis and two deputy ministers following a party rebellion in which 39 Syriza lawmakers withheld support from the government over the package.

Panos Skourletis, a close Tsipras ally who left the labour ministry to take over the vital energy portfolio, said the reshuffle marked "an adjustment by the government to a new reality".

NEW REALITY, SAME AS THE OLD REALITY....

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
3. In Greek crisis, one big unhappy EU family
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 08:57 PM
Jul 2015
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/19/us-eurozone-greece-family-analysis-idUSKCN0PT05W20150719?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews

The latest paroxysm of Greece's debt crisis has exposed growing rifts in the euro zone which, unless addressed soon, could lead to the break-up of European monetary union, the EU's most ambitious project.

The most worrying sign for European leaders is that public opinion and domestic politics are pulling them increasingly in opposing directions - not just between Greece and Germany, the biggest debtor and the biggest creditor, but almost everywhere.

Germans, Finns, Dutch, Balts and Slovaks no longer want taxpayers' money to go to bail out Greeks, while the French, Italians and Greeks feel the euro zone is all about austerity and punishment and lacks solidarity and economic stimulus.

With central and east European states growing more assertive and the Dutch and Finns facing mounting domestic constraints, a compromise between euro zone leaders Germany and France, increasingly hard to find over Greece, is no longer sufficient to settle the problems.

There are so many stakeholders with divergent views that crisis management is becoming ever more difficult. A far-reaching reform of the 19-nation currency area's flawed structure seems a remote prospect...

MORE
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
5. Little-Known History of the Euro: Crisis Was Baked In from the Start
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 09:12 PM
Jul 2015
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-17/little-known-history-euro-crisis-was-baked-start

You’ve heard that the Euro was created to provide two benefits for Europe:


    1. Unite Germany, France and other countries in a peaceful political situation, to prevent repeats of World War I and II

    2. Create a macro-zone to compete against the economic strength of the U.S.


So how did we get to this … austerity and meanness of spirit, as typified by the grim expressions sported by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble in talks with Greece? Because the Germans don’t view the Euro as a utopian idealistic way to help promote peace and prosperity for all of the EU nations. Instead, Germany sees the Euro as a way to weaken its currency to increase exports. As Ben Bernanke notes today:

Germany has benefited from having a currency, the euro, with an international value that is significantly weaker than a hypothetical German-only currency would be. Germany’s membership in the euro area has thus proved a major boost to German exports, relative to what they would be with an independent currency.


Moreover – in a little-known slice of history – the Euro was really created for very different purposes than peace in Europe or competition against the U.S. Specifically, this guy – a North American named Robert Mundell – is the father of the Euro:



Mundell is not the least bit European. Born in Canada, Mundell taught at the University of Chicago for 7 years, and has since taught at Columbia University in New York for more than 40 years. But didn’t Mundell create the Euro to help Europe? Not according to Guardian, Independent and BBC investigative journalist Greg Palast, who explained in his book Vulture’s Picnic:

Who spawned this cruel little bastard coin?

I called its parent, Professor Robert Mundell. Mundell is known as the Father of the Euro. The Euro is often spoken of as a means to unite post-war Europeans together emotionally and politically and to give this united Europe the economic power to compete with the U.S. economy.

That’s horseshit.

The Euro was invented in New York, New York, at Columbia University. Professor Mundell invented both the Euro and the guiding light of Thatcher-Reagan government: “Supply Side Economics” or, as George Bush Sr. accurately called it, “Voodoo Economics.” Reagan-Thatcher voodoo and the Euro are two sides of the same coin. (Ouch! Some puns hurt.)

Like the Iron Lady and President Gaga. the Euro is inflexible. That is, once you join the Euro, your nation cannot fight recession by using fiscal or monetary policy. That leaves “wage reduction, fiscal constraints (cutting government jobs and benefits) as the only recourse in crisis,” The Wall Street Journal explains with joy—and sell-offs of government property (privatizations).

Why the Euro, Professor? Dr. Mundell told me he was upset at zoning rules in Italy that did not allow him to put his commode where he wanted to in his villa there. “They’ve got rules that tell me I can’t have a toilet in this room. Can you imagine?”

I couldn’t really. I don’t have an Italian villa, so I cannot really imagine the burden of commode placement restriction.

The Euro will eventually allow you to put your toilet any damn place you want.

He meant that the only way the government can create jobs is to fire people, cut benefits, and, crucially, cut the rules and regulations that restrict business.

He told me: “Without fiscal policy, the only way nations can keep jobs is by the competitive reduction of rules on business.” Besides bowl location, he was talking about the labor laws, which raise the price of plumbers, environmental regulations, and, of course, taxes.

No, I am not making this up. And I am not saying the Euro was imposed on the Old Country just so the professor could place his toilet at a place of maximum pleasure. The Euro is fashioned as an anti-regulation straitjacket that would eliminate gallons-per-flush laws, flush away restrictive banking regulation, and all other government controls.


Now does the destruction of Greece’s sovereignty make a little more sense? As Palast pointed out in the Guardian:

The idea that the euro has “failed” is dangerously naive. The euro is doing exactly what its progenitor – and the wealthy 1%-ers who adopted it – predicted and planned for it to do.

***
For him, the euro wasn’t about turning Europe into a powerful, unified economic unit. It was about Reagan and Thatcher.

***
And when crises arise, economically disarmed nations have little to do but wipe away government regulations wholesale, privatize state industries en masse, slash taxes and send the European welfare state down the drain.

***
Far from failing, the euro, which was Mundell’s baby, has succeeded probably beyond its progenitor’s wildest dreams.


In other words, the Euro was intended to impose a Shock Doctrine straightjacket on Europe, where the big banks are stripping Greece and other countries of their public assets, pillaging, plundering and looting them of their natural resources and wealth.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
6. Greece, Europe, and the United States By James K. Galbraith
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 09:17 PM
Jul 2015
http://harpers.org/blog/2015/07/greece-europe-and-the-united-states/

COMMENTARY ON CURRENT CONDITIONS IN EUROPE


How Germany Reconquered Europe: The euro and its discontents


http://harpers.org/archive/2014/02/how-germany-reconquered-europe/

A Deeply Integrated Europe: The euro and its discontents

http://harpers.org/blog/2015/07/a-deeply-integrated-europe/

THIS ARTICLE IS ONLY AVAILABLE JULY 20TH! READ IT NOW!
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
7. Celebrities and world's rich lining up to snap up Greek islands
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 09:54 PM
Jul 2015
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/celebrities-worlds-rich-lining-snap-greek-islands-162929228.html

Johnny Depp has reportedly become the latest celebrity to take advantage of Greece’s plunging economic woes to score a deal and gift himself a small private island. According to the Athens Macedonian News Agency, Depp is said to have purchased a piece of uninhabited land in the Aegean Sea spanning about 0.2 km for 4.2 million euros. Likewise it was reported last month that Brad Pitt and wife Angelina Jolie-Pitt were eying up Gaia Island to possibly snap it up and add it to their real estate portfolio which already includes a French castle...Aside from wealthy celebrities, it’s reported that affluent Russian and Chinese investors are also lining up to pick up Greek properties...

As part of Greece’s bailout plan, the government will have to sell off €50 billion in assets. And much of that will likely come from selling off some of their 1,200 to 6,000 islands...If you’re in the market for a private getaway in the Mediterranean, privateislandsonline.com has a directory of islands for sale with prices starting at €3 million, including Gaia Island which, according to the site, has yet to be snatched up.

Described as “the perfect millionaires’ playground,” Gaia spans 43 acres and is part of the Echinades. The waters are also said to present prime conditions for water sports, sailing, fishing, deep sea diving and swimming.

Other celebrities who already own property in Greece include Sean Connery and Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
19. Greece looks to offshore oil and gas
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:31 AM
Jul 2015
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2015/07/18/greece-offshore-oil-gas-oilprice/29951299/

Greece is in an economic depression. Whether or not it agrees to the ruinous terms imposed upon it by its creditors in order to obtain a bailout, or if Greece opts for a much more uncertain route out of the Eurozone, Greece has years of hardship ahead of it.

The government is turning to offshore oil and gas as a potential source of revenues. Greece has almost no oil and gas production to speak of, and has failed in the past to make any major discoveries. But it still holds out hope of large potential reserves located offshore.

Under the previous government, Greece proposed tax cuts for oil and gas exploration in order to attract more investment. It also conducted extensive 2D seismic surveying of offshore tracts in the Ionian and Mediterranean Sea between 2012 and 2014, in an effort to improve data on its reserves.

On Tuesday, the Greek government said that it had received three bids for offshore oil drilling, to the west in the Ionian Sea and south of Crete in the Mediterranean. There were over 20 blocks up for bid accounting for over 200,000 square kilometers. The Greek government had invited Russian and Chinese companies to bid, but so far the Energy Ministry has not revealed which companies submitted the three bids...
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
4. JPMorgan reaches $388 million settlement in mortgage securities case
Sun Jul 19, 2015, 09:02 PM
Jul 2015
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/18/us-jpmorgan-mbs-lawsuit-idUSKCN0PS01D20150718?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) agreed to pay $388 million to settle a suit by investors claiming that the largest U.S. bank had misled them about the safety of $10 billion worth of residential mortgage-backed securities it sold before the financial crisis. The lawsuit, brought by Fort Worth Employees' Retirement Fund and other investors in offerings made before the 2008 financial crisis, accused JPMorgan of misleading them about the underwriting, appraisals and credit quality of the home loans underlying the certificates.

The lawsuit said that after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc failed, the certificates were worth at most 62 cents on the dollar.

JPMorgan agreed to a $13 billion settlement with the Justice Department in 2013 over allegations that the bank had misled investors in mortgage-backed securities about the soundness and risks of the investments that helped bring on the subprime-mortgage crisis of 2008. Throughout the litigation process, JPMorgan has said that the poor performance of the certificates was not due to the quality of the loans, but was caused by the collapse of the overall economy.

The $388 million settlement was disclosed in a court filing on Friday. It is subject to approval by a judge.
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
11. Wells Fargo wins dismissal of predatory lending lawsuits
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:52 AM
Jul 2015
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/wells-fargo-wins-dismissal-chicago-183603909.html

Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) won the dismissal of two lawsuits on Friday that had accused the largest U.S. mortgage lender of violating the federal Fair Housing Act by engaging in predatory lending practices in Los Angeles and Chicago.

The lawsuits by the city of Los Angeles and by Cook County, Illinois, which includes Chicago, accused Wells Fargo of steering black and Hispanic borrowers into higher-cost loans, a process sometimes called "reverse redlining".

They said this resulted in higher foreclosures and lower property tax collections, and necessitated higher spending to combat urban blight. Los Angeles and Chicago are the second- and third-most populous U.S. cities.

"We are pleased with both decisions," Wells Fargo spokesman Ancel Martinez said. The San Francisco-based lender is also the fourth-largest U.S. bank by assets.

Several large U.S. cities and counties such as Baltimore, Cleveland, Memphis and Miami have accused banks of biased mortgage lending that prolonged the nation's housing crisis. Their lawsuits have had mixed success...

Fuddnik

(8,846 posts)
8. It's a jungle out there!
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 12:38 AM
Jul 2015

The Hil-billies are restless. The same swarm, over and over again. The same Obomber personality cult that made lives miserable around here for years.

Post a positive Sanders thread, and they swarm. Post a negative Clinton thread, the same ones swarm.

Maybe I should start using the ignore function. But, they are good for a few laughs. Unintentional on their parts, anyway.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
9. It is disturbing
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:36 AM
Jul 2015

Not your previous incarnations of DU.

I don't believe in cults, and I don't like the people who belong. They aren't rational.

That's why the eurozone is such a disaster, too--it's another cult. The world has added economics to its lists of cult-like religions. Not good for economics OR religion.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
10. AIIB membership has costs and privileges
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:49 AM
Jul 2015

When 50 of 57 prospective founding members of the new Chinese-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in late June signed on in Beijing to the new international financial institution’s Articles...

Please credit and share this article with others using this link:http://www.bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinion/626404/aiib-membership-has-costs-and-privileges. View our policies at http://goo.gl/9HgTd and http://goo.gl/ou6Ip. © Post Publishing PCL. All rights reserved.


INTERESTING, IF PROBABLY BIASED, BACKGROUND ON CHINA'S ANSWER TO THE IMF BY A RIVAL NGO...WORTHY OF A READ.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
12. Tusk: Europe was 'close to catastrophe' over Greece
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:54 AM
Jul 2015
http://www.ekathimerini.com/199654/article/ekathimerini/news/tusk-europe-was-close-to-catastrophe-over-greece

European Council President Donald Tusk returned this week with a group of journalists from seven leading European newspapers, including Kathimerini, to the same room where on Sunday he held marathon talks with Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, French President Francois Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Sunday and Monday to agree a new bailout deal.

In his interview, Tusk talks about how at 7 a.m. on Monday Greece's eurozone membership was hanging by a thread. He also gives his view on the role of German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble in the negotiations and the little-known part played by Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte.

Speaking of the eventual agreement, Tusk says it was necessary to avoid the real risk of chaos and possible bankruptcy. “This is the first step in a long process,” he says...

Q&A FOLLOWS
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
13. 200 coal plants announced to retire since 2010 in US! That's almost 40% of the country's coal plants
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:56 AM
Jul 2015
http://www.treehugger.com/fossil-fuels/200-us-coal-plants-retired-2010-s-almost-40-countrys-coal-plants.html

It's been clear for a while that coal is the fuel of the past, not of the future. Just this year, 12,300 megawatts of coal power will shut down in the US, with a lot more to come (it is estimated that between 2012 and 2022, the total reduction in U.S. coal power capacity will have been 46,000 MW!).

The Sierra Club, with its Beyond Coal campaign, is working very hard to move the U.S. off coal and get commitments that coal plants will be retired.

They maintain this interactive map that shows "defeated" coal plants, and which ones are still operational... for now:

SEE LINK FOR MAP AND MORE

DemReadingDU

(16,000 posts)
14. Lockheed to buy United Tech's Sikorsky for over $8 billion
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:57 AM
Jul 2015

7/20/15 Lockheed to buy United Tech's Sikorsky for over $8 billion

Lockheed Martin Corp has agreed to buy United Technologies Corp's Sikorsky Aircraft for over $8 billion, two sources said on Sunday, cementing a deal that would confirm Lockheed's dominance in weapons making and giving the Black Hawk helicopter to the maker of the F-35 fighter jet.

The deal will add further heft to Lockheed, which already has annual revenues of around $45 billion and dwarves its nearest competitors, the defense business of Boeing and Northrop Grumman Corp.

It will make Lockheed less reliant on the $391 billion F-35 fighter jet business, while expanding its overseas sales by adding Sikorsky's iconic Black Hawk helicopters to a product line that already spans everything from satellites to naval ships.

The two companies plan to announce the deal on Monday before both report second-quarter results on Tuesday, said the sources, who were not authorized to speak publicly.

It will be Lockheed's largest acquisition since it bought Martin Marietta Corp for about $10 billion two decades ago. It is the first major strategic move for both United Tech Chief Executive Officer Greg Hayes, who was elevated to CEO from finance chief in November, and Lockheed CEO Marillyn Hewson, who took her job in January 2013.
United Technologies and Lockheed officials declined comment.

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/20/lockheed-to-buy-united-techs-sikorsky-for-over-8-billion.html


MattSh

(3,714 posts)
27. Originally from Kiev...
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:02 AM
Jul 2015

Igor Sikorsky was born and raised here and attended Kiev Polytechnic University, which has a statue in his honor.

Now there's a brand new (circa 2012) US Embassy here on Sikorskoho St, which was renamed in his honor upon the request of the US government. It's a $250 million dollar behemoth, which probably was a clear signal that the USA would be up to no good here. As a comparison, the original cost of the US Embassy in Iraq was supposed to be only $750 million, before those costs skyrocketed.

The embassy in Baghdad at one time employed 15,000, while the high figure I've seen for the one in Kiev is 750.

I ran some numbers a few years back and figured that the cost of the embassy here in Kiev, on a square foot basis, was in the range of the cost to build in Manhattan, NYC.

Coordinates on Google Earth (or Maps), should you want to look it up. 50°27'56.25" N 30°25'57.10" E

Adding a link: And let's try that again with a shortener: https://goo.gl/fIK5lH

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
15. No Growth, No profit, No problem by Wolf Richter
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:04 AM
Jul 2015
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/07/17/no-growth-no-profit-no-problem/

It was a historic day. Google’s market capitalization jumped by over $60 billion, enough to bail out Greece for a couple of years, and handily beating the prior single-day record of $46 billion held by Apple. The thrilling event occurred on the news that Google’s second-quarter revenues rose 11% year-over-year – which seems like a lot in a quarter when S&P 500 revenues are expected to shrink – and “net profit” rose 17%, while net earnings per share of its class A common stock inched up a measly 1%, which sent these shares up 16%. Or maybe it was on the news that Google finally hadn’t disappointed analysts’ expectations. Or rather, that they’d finally lowered their expectations enough to where Google could exceed them.

The action gave the NASDAQ a big push to rise almost 1% to another all-time record. It’s now 4% above the prior crazy record of March 2000. And this time, everyone agrees, it’s different. But at least, Google had a profit. A big one, $3.9 billion, so “earnings” with a plus-sign in front of it, rather than a minus-sign. A feat that seems impossible to reach for a number of other companies in the tech space where profits are optional. Or perhaps even a handicap.

Morgan Stanley’s “New Tech” index is trading at 149.5 times forward earnings, Barbara Kollmeyer at MarketWatch pointed out. And that’s high. But it’s based on pro-forma, ex-bad items estimates of what earnings might possibly look like in the next twelve months under the most optimistic or simply fabricated circumstances. So rose-colored fiction. As those quarters get closer, analysts whittle their earnings estimates down. By the beginning of the reporting period, they’re then close to something that these companies can actually beat. Even better, those “earnings” to beat might actually be with a minus-sign in front. Just lose less money than expected. That formula works all the time.

So “New Tech” is very expensive. And compared to the peak of the last tech bubble which blew up in March 2000? “This is probably bubblier than it was then given the lack of market memory,” Keith McCullough, CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, told Kollmeyer. Looking at past performance, the “New Tech” index sports an average trailing twelve-month P/E ratio of 69. And it’s high. But it obscures reality. The P/E ratio of a company that has a loss is undefined. It’s usually expressed as “N/A” or just a dash. It’s thus excluded from the average P/E ratio of the index (table). Hence, only profitable companies are included in the calculation of the P/E multiples of the overall index. Which gives the “earnings” part of the P/E ratio a strong upward bias...

ALLL THAT GLITTERS IS NOT GOLD...

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
16. Governments Worldwide Will Crash the First Week of October ... According to 2 Financial Forecasters
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:08 AM
Jul 2015

Update: Please see correction at the end.

Two well-known financial forecasters claim that virtually all governments worldwide will be hit with a gigantic economic crisis in the first week of October 2015.

Martin Armstrong is a controversial market analyst who correctly predicted the 1987 crash, the top of the Japanese market, and many other market events … more or less to the day. Many market timers think that Armstrong is one of the very best.

...

Armstrong has predicted for years that governments worldwide would melt down in a crisis of insolvency and lack of trust starting this October. Specifically, Armstrong predicts that a major cycle will turn on October 1, 2015, shifting investors’ trust from the public sector and governments to the private sector.

Unlike other bears who predict that the stock market is about to collapse, Armstrong predicts that huge sums of capital will flow from bonds and the Euro into American stocks. So he predicts a huge bull market in U.S. stocks.

Edelson is another long-time student of cycle theory. Edelson – a big fan Armstrong – has also studied decades of data from the Foundation for the Study of Cycles.

Edelson is predicting the biggest financial crisis in world history – including a collapse of government solvency – starting on October 7, 2015 – the same week as Armstrong’s prediction – when the European Union breaks up.

Edelson also thinks that huge sums of investment will flow from the Eurozone to America, driving up U.S. stocks (unlike Armstrong, Edelson thinks U.S. bonds will also benefit). He thinks that Japan will be the next domino to fall … and that Japan’s default will also drive investments into the U.S. as a safe haven.

In other words, both Armstrong and Edelson think that – as the best looking horse in the glue factory – the U.S. stock market will skyrocket as others fall apart.

But to be clear, both believe that the domino collapse will eventually hit the U.S., and America will end up defaulting on its debts – and falling into financial crisis – as well.

.....

Correction: Several people have pointed out that Armstrong is not predicting that the crisis will be felt on October 1, 2015. Rather, he’s forecasting that October 1st is a major turning point, but that the governmental financial crisis may not be felt until some months later.

Complete story at - http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2015/07/governments-worldwide-will-crash-the-first-week-of-october-according-to-2-financial-forecasters.html

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
17. Possible, but not likely the reason or the timing
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:11 AM
Jul 2015

And they will run the presses off the rollers first before conceding that the markets are FUBAR.

As Wolf Richter concludes (see article above):



So this time,the asset bubbles are far broader than they used to be, after years of central-bank money-printing and zero-interest-rate policy in major economies around the world, whose sole purpose it was to inflate asset prices. This was supposed to create a “wealth effect,” which was supposed to stimulate the economy. It certainly worked in inflating asset prices.

Now nearly all assets are overpriced. And enthusiasm for even more asset-price inflation is palpable. The insane asset-price stimulus is still rampant, though the Fed has terminated its money-printing binge and is contemplating the idea of raising interest rates from zero to nearly zero. We’ve never had this sort of global environment. Not in 2000, not in 2007. So yes, this time it’s different. But in the wrong direction.

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
20. Back in January, I felt that this year would be a turning point...
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:34 AM
Jul 2015

I wasn't thinking about markets in general, though I thought that would be a part of it.

But it seemed clear to me that, if a major land war would not break out in Europe, which is what the whole Ukraine crisis was bought around to accomplish, that Russia, China, and a number of other countries would have enough time to get measures in place to cause major financial havoc around the world, not because they were malicious, but because they just got tired of the USA causing their own brand of havoc throughout the world, but especially in the Middle East and Asia. Well it seems the EU has positioned itself to collapse without a war, but that still leaves Russia in place, which the USA and indeed the west has been trying to cut down to size for the last two centuries.

Now with alternatives to SWIFT and the World Bank/IMF partially in place, and most of the world outside the EU and English speaking countries siding with Russia, it becomes much more difficult to harm Russia with sanctions. Indeed, their economy is stronger now than before the sanctions were put in place.

Hope that makes some sense, but I can't fully summarize the 10,000 or so articles I've read, in whole or in part, since the start of the Ukraine crisis into a couple of paragraphs.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
22. Makes perfect sense--and that's far more likely
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:45 AM
Jul 2015

The chickens coming home to roost in the good ole USA. If it brings down the current Corporate Regime, it will be worth the pain.

DemReadingDU

(16,000 posts)
28. It seems to me the chess pieces are moving into position
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:25 AM
Jul 2015

Ukraine, Russia, Iran nuclear 'deal', Greece bailout 'deal', the TPP passed, health care 'won' in the Supreme Court, stock market is way up, jobs are 'good', unemployment is 'low'.

Then, Checkmate! No one will see it coming.

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
30. Don't forget Cuba!
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 10:10 AM
Jul 2015

There was talk last year of Russia reopening a long dormant spying facility in Cuba. Plus a visit by a Russian spy ship to Havana earlier this year.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
18. The Darth Vader of the Euro: Wolfgang Schäuble
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:25 AM
Jul 2015

TWO ARTICLES ON THIS CHARACTER:

Wolfgang Schäuble, The Trust Troll

http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevekeen/2015/07/18/wolfgang-schauble-the-trust-troll/

Paul Krugman invented the term “confidence fairy” to characterize the belief that all that was needed for growth to resume after the Global Financial Crisis was to restore “confidence”. Impose austerity and the economy will not shrink, but will instead grow immediately, because of the boost to confidence:

don’t worry: spending cuts may hurt, but the confidence fairy will take away the pain. “The idea that austerity measures could trigger stagnation is incorrect,” declared Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank, in a recent interview. Why? Because “confidence-inspiring policies will foster and not hamper economic recovery.” (“Myths of Austerity”, July 1 2010)


To the Confidence Fairy we can now add the “Trust Troll”: appease the Trust Troll, and all your macroeconomic ills will magically vanish...The identity of the Confidence Fairy was never revealed, but the identity of the Trust Troll is obvious. It’s German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble. Schäuble was clearly the primary architect of the Troika’s dictat for Greece. One only has to compare its language to that used by Schäuble in his OpEd in the New York Times three months ago (“Wolfgang Schäuble on German Priorities and Eurozone Myths”, April 15 2015). There he stated that “My diagnosis of the crisis in Europe is that it was first and foremost a crisis of confidence, rooted in structural shortcomings”, and that the essential factor in ending the crisis was the restoration of trust:

The cure is targeted reforms to rebuild trust — in member states’ finances, in their economies and in the architecture of the European Union. Simply spending more public money would not have done the trick — nor can it now.

Compare this to the first line of the communique:

The Eurogroup stresses the crucial need to rebuild trust with the Greek authorities as a pre‐requisite for a possible future agreement on a new ESM programme.


The policies in the document match those in Schäuble’s OpEd as well. Schäuble called for:

more flexible labor markets; lowering barriers to competition in services; more robust tax collection; and similar measures.


The Troika’s document forces these measures upon Greece. These include “the broadening of the tax base to increase revenue”, “rigorous reviews of collective bargaining, industrial action and collective dismissals” and “ambitious product market reforms”. At the same time, Greece is required to aim to achieve a government surplus equivalent to 3.5% of GDP—the opposite of “spending more public money” which Schäuble rejected in his OpEd. Rather than debt reduction and rescheduling as even the IMF now calls for, “The Euro Summit acknowledges the importance of ensuring that the Greek sovereign can clear its arrears to the IMF and to the Bank of Greece and honour its debt obligations”.

This cannot in any sense be seen as an economic document, since an economic document would have to assess the feasibility of its proposals. Instead it simply states Schäuble’s ideology: regardless of your economic circumstances, simply implement these (so-called) market-oriented reforms, restore trust, and your economy will grow. With the government debt that Greece currently labours under, this is a fantasy (Yanis Varoufakis’s annotated version of the document is well worth reading on this issue)...SEE NEXT POST FOR THAT





The Euro-Summit ‘Agreement’ on Greece – annotated by Yanis Varoufakis

http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2015/07/15/the-euro-summit-agreement-on-greece-annotated-by-yanis-varoufakis/

The Euro Summit statement (or Terms of Greece’s Surrender – as it will go down in history) follows, annotated by yours truly. The original text is untouched with my notes confined to ITALICS. Read and weep…

Euro Summit Statement Brussels, 12 July 2015

The Euro Summit stresses the crucial need to rebuild trust with the Greek authorities i.e. the Greek government must introduce new stringent austerity directed at the weakest Greeks that have already suffered grossly as a pre-requisite for a possible future agreement on a new ESM programme i.e. for a new extend-and-pretend loan.

In this context, the ownership by the Greek authorities is key i.e. the Syriza government must sign a declaration of having defected to the troika’s ‘logic’, and successful implementation should follow policy commitments.

A euro area Member State requesting financial assistance from the ESM is expected to address, wherever possible, a similar request to the IMF This is a precondition for the Eurogroup to agree on a new ESM programme. Therefore Greece will request continued IMF support (monitoring and financing) from March 2016 i.e. Berlin continues to believe that the Commission cannot be trusted to ‘police’ Europe’s own ‘bailout’ programs.

Given the need to rebuild trust with Greece, the Euro Summit welcomes the commitments of the Greek authorities to legislate without delay a first set of measures i.e. Greece must subject itself to fiscal waterboarding, even before any financing is offered. These measures, taken in full prior agreement with the Institutions, will include:

CONTINUES AT LENGTH AT LINK

SPIEGEL Interview with Wolfgang Schäuble: 'There Is No German Dominance'

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/interview-with-german-finance-minister-wolfgang-schaeuble-a-1044233.html

Criticism of Germany's role in the recent negotiations over Greece's future has been fierce. SPIEGEL speaks with Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble about the government in Athens, his own feelings about a Grexit and his relationship with Chancellor Merkel.


READ IT (IF YOU CAN) FOR A CHARACTER ASSESSMENT OF THIS CHARACTER...
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
25. Dr Schäuble’s Plan for Europe: Do Europeans approve? – Yanis Varoufakis
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:52 AM
Jul 2015
http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2015/07/17/dr-schaubles-plan-for-europe-do-europeans-approve-english-version-of-my-article-in-die-zeit/#more-9296

The reason five months of negotiations between Greece and Europe led to impasse is that Dr Schäuble was determined that they would.

By the time I attended my first Brussels meetings in early February, a powerful majority within the Eurogroup had already formed. Revolving around the earnest figure of Germany’s Minister of Finance, its mission was to block any deal building on the common ground between our freshly elected government and the rest of the Eurozone.[1]

Thus five months of intense negotiations never had a chance. Condemned to lead to impasse, their purpose was to pave the ground for what Dr Schäuble had decided was ‘optimal’ well before our government was even elected: That Greece should be eased out of the Eurozone in order to discipline member-states resisting his very specific plan for re-structuring the Eurozone. This is no theory of mine. How do I know Grexit is an important part of Dr Schäuble’s plan for Europe? Because he told me so!

I am writing this not as a Greek politician critical of the German press’ denigration of our sensible proposals, of Berlin’s refusal seriously to consider our moderate debt re-profiling plan, of the European Central Bank’s highly political decision to asphyxiate our government, of the Eurogroup’s decision to give the ECB the green light to shut down our banks. I am writing this as a European observing the unfolding of a particular Plan for Europe – Dr Schäuble’s Plan. And I am asking a simple question of Die Zeit’s informed readers:

Is this a Plan that you approve of? Is this Plan good for Europe?

MORE ON PLAN AT LINK
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
21. Dollar hits three-month high on rate view, pans gold
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:43 AM
Jul 2015
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/20/us-markets-global-idUSKCN0PU00H20150720

The dollar jumped to three-month highs on Monday, extending its recent run of gains as expectations of a U.S. rate rise gathered pace, while gold prices plunged to their lowest in more than five years.

The greenback posted its best weekly performance in about two months last week, after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen reiterated that U.S. interest rates will probably rise later in the year. Data on Friday showing a robust pick up in U.S. consumer prices and housing starts also helped the rally...

MORE
 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
23. France’s Hollande Proposes Creation of Euro-Zone Government
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:49 AM
Jul 2015
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-19/france-s-hollande-proposes-creation-of-euro-zone-government

ONLY A CRAZY PERSON WOULD THINK THIS A GOOD IDEA...AFTER WHAT THEY PULLED ON GREECE AND CYPRUS

French President Francois Hollande said that the 19 countries using the euro need their own government complete with a budget and parliament to cooperate better and overcome the Greek crisis.

“Circumstances are leading us to accelerate,” Hollande said in an opinion piece published by the Journal du Dimanche on Sunday. “What threatens us is not too much Europe, but a lack of it.”

While the euro zone has a common currency, fiscal and economic policies remain mostly in the hands of each member state. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi made a plea this week for deeper cooperation between the euro members after political squabbles over Greece almost led to a rupture in the single currency.

Countries in favor of more integration should move ahead, forming an “avant-garde,” Hollande said...

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
29. oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: We Need a Crash to Sort the Wheat from the Chaff
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 10:03 AM
Jul 2015

Once the phantom collateral vanishes, there's no foundation to support additional debt and leverage.

When a speculator bought a new particle-board-and-paint McMansion in the middle of nowhere in 2007 with nothing down and a $500,000 mortgage, the lender and the buyer both considered the house as $500,000 of collateral. The lender counted the house as a $500,000 asset, and the speculator considered it his lottery ticket in the housing bubble sweepstakes: when (not if) the house leaped to $600,000, the speculator could sell, pay the commission and closing costs and skim the balance as low-risk profit.

But was the house really worth $500,000? That's the trouble with assets bubbles inflated by central-bank/central-state intervention: when inefficient companies and inflated assets are never allowed to fall/fail, it's impossible to tell the difference between real collateral and phantom collateral.

The implosion of the housing bubble led to an initial spike of price discovery. The speculator jingle-mailed the ownership of the poorly constructed McMansion to the lender, who ended up selling the home to another speculator who reckoned a 50% discount made the house cheap for $250,000.

But what was the enterprise value of the property, that is, how much revenue, cash flow and net income could the property generate in the open market as a rental? Comparables are worthless in terms of assessing collateral, because assets are mostly phantom collateral at bubble tops.

Let's assume the enterprise value based on market rents was $150,000. The speculator who bought the house for $250,000 sold for a loss, and at the bottom of the cycle the house finally sold for its true value of $150,000.

Complete story at - http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2015/07/we-need-crash-to-sort-wheat-from-chaff.html

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