Economy
Related: About this forumSTOCK MARKET WATCH -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016
[font size=3]STOCK MARKET WATCH, Tuesday, 23 February 2016[font color=black][/font]
SMW for 22 February 2016
AT THE CLOSING BELL ON 22 February 2016
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Dow Jones 16,620.66 +228.67 (1.40%)
S&P 500 1,945.50 +27.72 (1.45%)
Nasdaq 4,570.61 +66.18 (1.47%)
[font color=green]10 Year 1.75% -0.01 (-0.57%)
30 Year 2.61% -0.01 (-0.38%) [font color=black]
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[font size=2]Market Conditions During Trading Hours[/font]
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(click on link for latest updates)
Market Updates
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[font size=2]Euro, Yen, Loonie, Silver and Gold[center]
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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Market Data and News:[/font][/font]
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Economic Calendar
Marketwatch Data
Bloomberg Economic News
Yahoo Finance
Google Finance
Bank Tracker
Credit Union Tracker
Daily Job Cuts
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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Economic Blogs:[/font][/font]
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The Big Picture
Financial Sense
Calculated Risk
Naked Capitalism
Credit Writedowns
Brad DeLong
Bonddad
Atrios
goldmansachs666
The Stand-Up Economist
The Automatic Earth
Wall Street on Parade
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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Essential Reading:[/font][/font]
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Matt Taibi: Secret and Lies of the Bailout
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[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Government Issues:[/font][/font]
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LegitGov
Open Government
Earmark Database
USA spending.gov
[/center][font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Videos:[/font][/font]
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Charlie Rose talks with Roubini
Charlie Rose talks with Krugman
William Black: This Economic Disaster
Bill Moyers with Kevin Drum and David Corn
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[font color=red]Partial List of Financial Sector Officials Convicted since 1/20/09 [/font][font color=red]
2/2/12 David Higgs and Salmaan Siddiqui, Credit Suisse, plead guilty to conspiracy involving valuation of MBS
3/6/12 Allen Stanford, former Caribbean billionaire and general schmuck, convicted on 13 of 14 counts in $2.2B Ponzi scheme, faces 20+ years in prison
6/4/12 Matthew Kluger, lawyer, sentenced to 12 years in prison, along with co-conspirator stock trader Garrett Bauer (9 years) and co-conspirator Kenneth Robinson (not yet sentenced) for 17 year insider trading scheme.
6/14/12 Allen Stanford sentenced to 110 years without parole.
6/15/12 Rajat Gupta, former Goldman Sachs director, found guilty of insider trading. Could face a decade in prison when sentenced later this year.
6/22/12 Timothy S. Durham, 49, former CEO of Fair Financial Company, convicted of one count conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, 10 counts of wire fraud, and one count of securities fraud.
6/22/12 James F. Cochran, 56, former chairman of the board of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and six counts of wire fraud.
6/22/12 Rick D. Snow, 48, former CFO of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and three counts of wire fraud.
7/13/12 Russell Wassendorf Sr., CEO of collapsed brokerage firm Peregrine Financial Group Inc. arrested and charged with lying to regulators after admitting to authorities he embezzled "millions of dollars" and forged bank statements for "nearly twenty years."
8/22/12 Doug Whitman, Whitman Capital LLC hedge fund founder, convicted of insider trading following a trial in which he spent more than two days on the stand telling jurors he was innocent
10/26/12 UPDATE: Former Goldman Sachs director Rajat Gupta sentenced to two years in federal prison. He will, of course, appeal. . .
11/20/12 Hedge fund manager Matthew Martoma charged with insider trading at SAC Capital Advisors, and prosecutors are looking at Martoma's boss, Steven Cohen, for possible involvement.
02/14/13 Gilbert Lopez, former chief accounting officer of Stanford Financial Group, and former controller Mark Kuhrt sentenced to 20 yrs in prison for their roles in Allen Sanford's $7.2 billion Ponzi scheme.
03/29/13 Michael Sternberg, portfolio mgr at SAC Capital, arrested in NYC, charged with conspiracy and securities fraud. Pled not guilty and freed on $3m bail.
04/04/13 Matthew Marshall Taylor,fmr Goldman Sachs trader arrested, charged by CFTC w/defrauding his employer on $8BN futures bet "by intentionally concealing the true huge size, as well as the risk and potential profits or losses associated."
04/04/13 Matthew Taylor admits guilt, makes plea bargain. Sentencing set for 26 June; faces up to 20 years in prison but will likely only see 3-4 years. Says, "I am truly sorry."
04/11/13 Ex-KPMG LLP partner Scott London charged by federal prosecutors w/passing inside tips to a friend in exchange for cash, jewelry, and concert tickets; expected to plead guilty in May.
08/01/13 Fabrice Tourré convicted on six counts of security fraud, including "aiding and abetting" his former employer, Goldman Sachs
08/14/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout charged with wire fraud, falsifying records, and conspiracy in connection with JP Morgan's "London Whale" trade.
08/19/13 Phillip A. Falcone, manager of hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners, agrees to admit to "wrongdoing" in market manipulation. Will banned from securities industry for 5 years and pay $18MM in disgorgement and fines.
09/16/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout officially indicted on charges associated with "London Whale" trade.
02/06/14 Matthew Martoma convicted of insider trading while at hedge fund SAC (Stephen A. Cohen) Capital Advisors. Expected sentence 7-10 years.
03/24/14 Annette Bongiorno, Bernard Madoff's secretary; Daniel Bonventre, director of operations for investments; JoAnn Crupi, an account manager; and Jerome O'Hara and George Perez, both computer programmers convicted of conspiracy to defraud clients, securities fraud, and falsifying the books and records.
05/19/14 Credit Suisse, which has an investment bank branch in NYC, agrees to plead guilty and pay appx. $2.6 billion penalties for helping wealthy Americans hide wealth and avoid taxes.
09/08/14 Matthew Martoma, convicted SAC trader, sentenced to 9 years in prison plus forfeiture of $9.3 million, including home and bank accounts
08/03/15 Former City (London) trader Tom Hayes found guilty of rigging global Libor interest rates. Each fo eight counts carries up to 10 yr. sentence.
08/21/15 Charles Antonucci Sr, former pres. Park Ave. Bank sentenced to 2.5 years in prison for bribery, fraud, embezzlement, and attempt to steal $11MM in TARP bailout funds, as well as $37.5MM fraud on OK insurance company. To pay $54MM in restitution and give up additional $11MM.
09/21/15 Volkswagen CEO Martin Winterkorn apologizes for VW cheating on air quality standards with emission testing avoidance device. Stock drops 20%, fines may total $18B.
09/22/15 Stewart Parnell, CEO Peanut Corp. of America, sentenced to 28 years in prison for selling salmonella-tainted peanut butter that killed nine.
12/17/15 Martin Shkreli, former CEO Turing Pharmaceuticals and notorious price gouger, arrested on securities fraud charges. Posted $5M bail, resigned as CEO.
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[font size=3][font color=red]This thread contains opinions and observations. Individuals may post their experiences, inferences and opinions on this thread. However, it should not be construed as advice. It is unethical (and probably illegal) for financial recommendations to be given here.[/font][/font][/font color=red][font color=black]
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)Its not a question of if but when there will be a mortgage crisis in Australia, explained Jonathan Tepper, CEO at research firm Variant Perception, on the local 60-Minutes segment,Home Groans, that aired in Australia on Sunday.
Hed predicted the mortgage meltdowns in the US, Ireland, and Spain. And the one word that best describes the Australian housing market? Insane.
The flood of interest-only mortgages with sky-high price-to-income ratios is a sign of Ponzi financing, he said. And banks are now heavily exposed to these mortgages and any downturn in prices.
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)(as if we needed a new one. we already have enough of the old ones!)
http://wolfstreet.com/2016/02/22/a-new-level-of-absurdity/
The Boneheaded Logic of Negative Interest Rates.
By Bill Bonner, Chairman, Bonner & Partners:
Into the Unknown
At least one reader didnt think it was so odd. You pay someone to store your boat or even to park your car, he declared. Why not pay someone to look out for your money?
Ah we thought he had a point. But then, we realized that the borrower isnt looking out for your money; hes taking it and using it as he sees fit. It is as though you gave a valet the keys to your car. Then he drove it to Vegas or sold it on eBay.
A borrower takes your money and uses it. He doesnt just store it for you; that is what safe deposit boxes are for.
Lots more at link.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)This whole website, other than our little corner of the universe is irreversibly damaged. The Cult of Clintontology is a disaster for the country, and what used to be Democrats.
Just a bunch of fascist wannabes following Dear Leader down the road to oblivion for the middle class.
And I can see a familiar pattern emerging. I've seen it before. My posts just disappear. No alert. No hide. Just gone. Been there, done that.
Tansy and I have signed on to the bitter end (which I suspect has already happened and right now we're dancing in the afterglow) Our plans for the near future are to meet up here in the ruins and yak it up like old times. I'm really looking forward to that.
The only way I can keep coming back is to remind myself that I can't change any minds here, because, that requires active reasoning. A lost science of late. Somebody was promised they'd be the nominee in 2008 and come Hell or high water, it's going to happen. Screw the repercussions to the base who's situation has only become more dire since then. I was told in so many words here on DU that me voting in the primary would not matter. It will already be decided by then, but, since I live in a swing state they'd appreciate it if I could show up for the General in Nov.
I'm hoping you'll be here for our yak fest Fudd, but, you do what's best for your sanity.
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Someone will need to send me a message so I know the date of the yak fest.
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)I gave up on DU a long time ago. Maybe really in November 2008, when the true nature of you-know-who was revealed. At that point I knew that the "underground" no longer existed. DU had become the establishment. It would, I suspected, become a cult not too different from its arch rival, demanding purity of thought and absolute blind faith. And so it has proven.
It would be easy to say I'm too old and too set in my ways to change, but that's not true. I think maybe I'm more flexible, more open to change and new ideas than I used to be. More independent, and even more of an iconoclast. Of course, I could be wrong on that score, too.
In the past seven-plus years, I've learned that even those I thought were loyal friends could turn out to be . . . not. Some in real life, some on DU, some elsewhere. I cannot and will not rely on them, only on myself. If I stay true to myself, nothing else matters.
I will not go elsewhere in search of a new underground. I tried one of those a few years ago as a potential alternative to this one, and it was worse, with leaders who proclaimed their venue was more pure and more open than this, but who allowed no challenges to their authority. DU was not the only cult.
In light of what's happened more recently, I see no sense in following someone who has already exhibited that tendency, someone who always knew what was best for everyone and couldn't understand why some disagreed. I began to see something beyond mere frustration in the outbursts, to the point that I wasn't surprised when the demand of "agree with me and support me or else" finally came. I refused, and I offered one last warning. Now I've just reached the point where I no longer hesitate to pull out the rubber stamp.
Neither will I waste time trying to convert the stupid. That is a waste of time and effort. Even more wasteful is arguing with them. It's pointless. I used to think I did it for the lurkers, but in the end I think I did it for myself. I didn't need DU for that.
I'll turn the lights out when it's time.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Other than that it's a complete waste of time. I never used to have anyone on ignore, but a month ago I had 30. It doubled in a couple of days, and I could spend a week adding assholes.
I've already dropped off my primary absentees, and am keeping my party affiliation only to vote for Alan Grayson over Patrick Murphy in the main primary. Great choices huh?
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)But trying to weed thru them for that easter-egg, it is just too time consuming.
antigop
(12,778 posts)westerebus
(2,976 posts)As much as I admired everyone here on the economy group, the bile spurting in GD was enough for me to take myself out of DU.
Still held a star membership as I did lurk sometimes, but not often enough to feel at home. If, that makes sense?
I was shocked when I heard Demeter got the axe. It was a WTF moment.
Any way, just wanted to say hi.
And thanks Holter and Tansy.
And Ms Demeter et al.
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)I haven't ventured into any other group since DU2 ended
westerebus
(2,976 posts)Not here in this forum. It's the general discussions that went from interested views to course tribalism at its worse iteration.
The offerings to be offended by what are supposed to be peers engaged in political discussion, is not something I enjoy. That's just me.
Hotler
(11,425 posts)Any more I am at my last bit of energy when it comes to politics, thinking about the economy and the world of money and working for the "Man". The Du that I enjoyed is long since pasted and now is truly a Jonestown. SMW and WEE has become my little corner of a mad, mad world and coming here allows me to feel safe and catch a breath. I will also stay till the end as there is strength in numbers and we all can lean on each other if need be. I truly think our democracy and country is past being fixable outside of a true revolution. If a revolution happens it will be very ugly. Most Americans do not have the critical thinking skills to make the choices and decisions that are needed to right this sinking ship. Ignorance, hate, and selfishness seems to be the norm.
Peace
Steven
antigop
(12,778 posts)IF they ever get better.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)He's a retired rocket scientist (really). NASA put him in charge of the SRB program after the Challenger disaster. He likes to "jokingly" say that he assigned Bill Nelson the wrong rockets. But, he has the most brilliant analytical mind I've ever seen.
He sees this election as the spark, where everything comes unraveled. Really a clash between two authoritarians that nobody really likes. The Supreme Court nomination will be the window dressing setting the stage. The right wing will not tolerate another Democratic presidency, especially if it's someone as universally loathed as the presumed nominee. And Trump is just a big mouthed bully with a large audience of lemmings.
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)I don't think the presumed nominee is as universally loathed as some of us might want to believe. And I also think that if the presumed nominee wins the nomination, there will be sufficient support to elect a Democratic president, DINO as that might be. At least it isn't bat shit crazy.
The Democratic establishment will get behind that nominee, and I believe they will eviscerate the GOP.
The real issue is the other elections -- governors, the senate and the house, local offices. There is where the power has to be shifted.
I believed up until a few days ago that the GOP establishment would pull out the nomination for Jeb. He's weaker and wishy-washier even than his dumber(?) brother, but he never had the personality to pull it off. The GOP allowed the nutjobs too much power, and they didn't latch onto Jeb because they didn't see him as crazy enough. Trump played to them; Jeb tried to look normal. The nutjobs don't want normal.
In a way, the broader Dem electorate will vote against their own self interest the way the nutjob base does, but it will still be less crazy than the nutjobs.
No, maybe I'm operating under some delusions in a perfect example of Dunning-Kruger, but I have sufficient faith in what remains of the American educated classes that we will not elect a clown. We didn't elect Palin, and we didn't elect Romney. Romney was slick and successful and couldn't win.
The GOP establishment doesn't want a clown, especially one they have no control over, especially one who has no control over himself or his followers. That way lies anarchy of the bloodiest kind, in which the Cliven Bundys of the far right will start shooting without hesitation, and people will start wishing Obama HAD taken some guns away.
The GOP convention will be interesting. A third party candidate will be interesting. But I do not thing the ultimate outcome will be much of a surprise, and I do not think it will be as bad as we fear. Not as good as we could hope, but it will at least not be batshit crazy.
More later.
antigop
(12,778 posts)worse.
The current system is unsustainable.
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)Trump is a clown; Cruz is an ayatollah. Rubio is another W, but without a brother to rig Florida for him.
The current economic system is unsustainable in the long run, but it has a ways to go before total, catastrophic, one-fell-swoop collapse.
IMHO, and maybe just gut thinking rather than anything else, the Great Depression/WW2 generation set the foundation and the boomers would have built on that with the anti-war, Earth Day, happy hippie mindset. The oligarchs who had been held at bay by FDR. Truman, and Eisenhower got lucky with Reagan -- and used the Iran revolution to their advantage to install him, then began the great dismantling. They became complacent under Bush1 and the renegade Perot split enough votes to put Clinton1 in the White House. But like Reagan, Clinton didn't come from the senate; he came from a governorship and didn't have a machine behind him. He fell prey to the oligarchs and we got NAFTA, repeal of Glass-Steagall, etc. he also gave them the scandals by which they could control him.
Gore was a different proposition, and he was young enough to bring with him some of those hippie-dippie ideas anathema to the oligarchs. They used Bush1's anger and resentment to put two of his sons in place to control the 2000 election if at all possible. They got lucky, but they also had everything in place to take full advantage of the opportunity. Having done it in 2000, they were poised to do it again in '04.
The problem for '08 was that they didn't have anyone in position to inherit from W. McCain was the sentimental favorite, and I think the GOP saw the fight between Obama and Clinton2 as a weakening of the Dems. McCain was a weak candidate on the issues, and the tea party was already gaining strength. They had to add a VP candidate who would appeal to the far right.
By all measures, Palin was a disaster and should have been laughed out of the election. But the oligarchs had control of the media and could silence a lot of the opposition. Had McCain been a stronger candidate, or Palin less batshit crazy, they might have pulled it off. This time the oligarchs' luck didn't hold. Close, closer than it should have been, and maybe close only because sufficient racism lingers in the Dems, too, but at least we eked this one out.
Clinton2 is now where McCain was in '08. "Entitled" to the nomination because she came so close before. But she brings with her a lot of negatives that McCain didn't bring. And she's got a challenger just as she had in '08.
If she wins in November, she can be controlled by a solidly Dem congress that sticks to Dem principles. There are a few. And I think Sanders' challenge is going to make a difference.
The big difference, however,is going to come from Obama's SCOTUS nomination. Keep your eyes on that.
antigop
(12,778 posts)nt
Tansy_Gold
(17,862 posts)Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)You're giving him too much credit. This guy makes an empty straight jacket look smart. He's nothing but a tool. Doesn't even know how to pander. His backers will just tell him to "fetch", and he'll probably fuck that up too.
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Spot on, as usual
I miss your postings, but like everyone else, life intervenes that has taken much of my time.
Don't forget me in the yak fest!
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Trump says he wants to make America great again, but really he is saying to make America 'white' again.
Not going to happen
Lemmings, perfect analogy
antigop
(12,778 posts)DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)Not much of that nowadays. As Fuddnik said above, just a bunch of lemmings.
I'm with you Hotler, there is no hope, no future. Until America wakes up, gets off there butts, and there is a revolution. But until people have no job, no money, no food, then they will get desperate. And then desperate people do desperate things.