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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 01:33 PM Apr 2016

U.S. Economy Expands to 0.5% Pace, Weakest in Two Years

The U.S. economy expanded in the first quarter at the slowest pace in two years as American consumers reined in spending and companies tightened their belts in response to weak global financial conditions and a plunge in oil prices.

Gross domestic product rose at a 0.5 percent annualized rate after a 1.4 percent fourth-quarter advance, Commerce Department data showed Thursday. The increase was less than the 0.7 percent median projection in a Bloomberg survey and marked the third straight disappointing start to a year.

Shaky global markets and oil’s tumble resulted in the biggest business-investment slump in almost seven years, and household purchases climbed the least since early 2015, the data showed. While Federal Reserve officials on Wednesday acknowledged the softness, they also indicated strong hiring and income gains have the potential to reignite consumer spending and propel economic growth.

“The fact that personal consumption is a bit on the soft side is a disappointment, especially in light of the low gasoline prices,” said Thomas Costerg, senior economist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, who correctly projected first-quarter growth. “Consumption seems to be stuck in a low gear.”

Economists’ projections for GDP, the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., ranged from gains of 0.1 percent to a 1.5 percent. This is the government’s first of three estimates for the quarter before annual revisions in July.

more...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-28/u-s-economy-grew-in-first-quarter-at-slowest-pace-in-two-years

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U.S. Economy Expands to 0.5% Pace, Weakest in Two Years (Original Post) Purveyor Apr 2016 OP
kick 840high Apr 2016 #1
The recovery has entered what economists like to call a very mature phase. forest444 Apr 2016 #2
Being from Michigan, I watch auto sales. Good and reliable Purveyor Apr 2016 #3
It was true when Charlie Wilson said it, and it's still true today: forest444 Apr 2016 #4
We are still the nicest house on an ugly block Canesfan May 2016 #5

forest444

(5,902 posts)
2. The recovery has entered what economists like to call a very mature phase.
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 09:59 PM
Apr 2016

Growth, as you know, is typically fastest in the year or two after the previous recession ends, and then starts tapering until GDP plateaus.

Unfortunately, we seem to be entering the plateau phase - and the timing couldn't be worse, given the election. As long as unemployment doesn't begin to rise, we should be fine.

 

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
3. Being from Michigan, I watch auto sales. Good and reliable
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 10:24 PM
Apr 2016

indicator of the health of the economy.

So goes Detroit, so goes the nation...

forest444

(5,902 posts)
4. It was true when Charlie Wilson said it, and it's still true today:
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 10:36 PM
Apr 2016

"What's good for our country was good for General Motors, and vice versa."

Auto sales have usually been a good indicator of where the economy both is, and is heading. That's, in fact, true in most other developed/semi-developed countries as well.

Canesfan

(24 posts)
5. We are still the nicest house on an ugly block
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:48 AM
May 2016

I wonder the extent to which the global economy contributes to our inability to speed up growth.

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