Economy
Related: About this forumCorporate debt nears a record $10 trillion, and borrowing binge poses new risks
Corporate debt nears a record $10 trillion, and borrowing binge poses new risks
By David J. Lynch
November 29, 2019 at 12:27 p.m. EST
Little more than a decade after consumers binged on inexpensive mortgages that helped bring on a global financial crisis, a new debt surge this time by major corporations threatens to unleash fresh turmoil.
A decade of historically low interest rates has allowed companies to sell record amounts of bonds to investors, sending total U.S. corporate debt to nearly $10?trillion, or a record 47?percent of the overall economy.
In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve, the International Monetary Fund and major institutional investors such as BlackRock and American Funds all have sounded the alarm about the mounting corporate obligations.
The danger isnt immediate. But some regulators and investors say the borrowing has gone on too long and could send financial markets plunging when the next recession hits, dealing the real economy a blow at a time when it already would be wobbling.
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David J. Lynch is a staff writer on the financial desk who joined The Washington Post in November 2017 after working for the Financial Times, Bloomberg News and USA Today. Follow https://twitter.com/davidjlynch
SWBTATTReg
(22,133 posts)rates are hurting those who formerly relied on interest-bearing accounts to generate a little extra income during their retirement years. Kind of hard to rely on this now, being that interest rates are so low.
The other side of the fence is the impact such low rates are causing a binge among companies to overload their payables (bond payments) to the point that if the economy goes south, then who knows what could happen.
I wouldn't be surprised that some of this corporate borrowing (I need to look into) is going back into the stock market to repurchase shares/stock, but this has a sharp edge to it that if not careful, they'll cut themselves w/ it. High stock prices means overpaying for company stock, and thus, loading up on bond payments, so if markets go south, a double whammy, stock markets down and still have the bond payments to make.
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)and look what junk bonds did to us not so long ago.
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)None of this would start a downturn but if other conditions show up, like a widened mideast war, any of them will surely turn us into a recession, possibly a major one.
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El-Erian and others worry that an artificial environment of near-free money is masking serious underlying ailments and may be storing up problems for a future reckoning. This era of perpetually cheap money has kept alive some debt-ridden zombie companies that would have failed if rates were at traditional levels; widened the wealth gap between rich and poor; and distorted financial decisions, he said.
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Lured by low rates, companies have splurged on debt to repurchase their own shares, pay higher dividends to investors and fund acquisitions, the IMF noted last month, contrasting those increases with what it called subdued capital investment. Corporations have spent more than $3?trillion over the past five years buying back their own stock, according to S&P.
SWBTATTReg
(22,133 posts)bite these companies. Strange that interest rates on what people pay to buy cars etc. have remained high. And I see (it has been happening for years too) that companies actually issue low paying bonds just to make their semi-annual dividend payments. I don't know what the catalyst will be that will trigger higher cost money, I suspect perhaps a couple of high profile bankruptcies or defaults, regardless of the cheap money, but who knows? People have been predicting that the markets are due for an eventual correction (me included) but it still hasn't happened.
sandensea
(21,639 posts)They'll just trigger another financial collapse - and use the panic to get Uncle Sam to bail them out of most of that.
Our government has become what in other countries is called a "stupid partner" to Big Business - especially the banksters.