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Related: About this forumAre we approaching Peak Oil Demand? Not if the oil industry can help it
https://www.treehugger.com/plastic/are-we-approaching-peak-oil-demand.html
Are we approaching Peak Oil Demand? Not if the oil industry can help it
Lloyd Alter: January 31, 2018
Peak oil used to be about running out of supply; now some think that we will run out of demand. The oil companies will ensure that we never run out of demand.
Remember Peak Oil? It was all over TreeHugger, the idea that the easy oil was going to start running out and it would get more and more expensive and difficult to find.
We wrote post after post about Hubbert's Peak and how we were all gonna die, that we are "in the confusion stage now, followed by chaos and collapse and basically the End of the world as we know it as we slide down the slope from the Peak."
Then along came hydraulic fracturing (fracking), tight oil, deepwater drilling, Trump, Zinke and Pruitt, and the oil and gas are flowing freely and people are piling into pickups. Peak oilman King Hubbert became "a punchline rather than a visionary." And now, over at the NRDC, Jeff Turrentine asks Could Peak Oil Demand Be Just a Dozen Years Away? But he isn't talking about oil supply, he is talking demand, suggesting that electric cars are going to cause a different kind of peak.In this very different type of forecast, oil production doesnt necessarily begin to decline at a particular point. But our need for it does. And its not just a theory: Experts on all sides of the issue say that its really coming. At some point over the next 25 years, a number of cultural, political, and technological factors will combine to slake our global thirst for this once most essential of fossil fuels. After decades spent planning for scarcity, oil companies are now busily preparing for something that they never saw coming: their own marginalization.
For the record, Peak Oil was never about the limits of physical oil in the ground, there will always be more oil in the ground than we have ever or will ever extract, it was about the limits of economically viable oil extraction. Check the balance sheets of the oil companies and how much you are paying at the pump and ask, why aren't they making huge profits from this very expensive oil.
The unconventional oil that is causing this temporary increase in production is extremely expensive to extract and as the costs increase to extract, and fuel prices go up, economies will slow and decline. And don't forget, Putin and the Saudis love +$100/barrel oil, and so do our own fossil-fuel profiteers.
The $10/barrel oil from 20-years ago is gone and won't come back until we replace our oil-based economy to diversified non-fossil fuel based economy. When demand for oil drops, then we may see cheap oil again, but it won happen until our economic dependence is supplanted by other renewable fuels.
http://www.artberman.com/
Please note, neither renewables nor nuclear have the answer for the oil-dependent transportation component of our economy. There is no answer right now.
Be prepared to use less and pay more all within a weaker economy.
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