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hatrack

(59,587 posts)
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 11:08 AM Oct 2012

NOAA: For 1st Time, US Records 16 Straight Months Of Above-Avg. Temps; 9/11-9/12 Period Warmest Ever

NOAA’s latest State of the Climate roundup shows that September marked the 16th month in a row with above-average temperatures for the lower 48 states of the U.S. Both the calendar year and the 12-month period from October 2011 through September 2012 were the warmest on record, and statistics show that it will require an unusually cold October through December period for 2012 to rank anything other than the warmest year.

The U.S. has never before recorded 16 straight months of above-average temperatures, and although natural variability has also played a role, the warmth this year is consistent with long-term trends related to global warming.

Over the month, the mercury averaged 67°F, which is 1.4°F higher than the long-term average. The April-September period, which is considered the “warm season” in the continental U.S., was the warmest on record, with an average of 68.2°F (the runner-up is the 1934 warm season, at 67.6°F).

EDIT

Although September by itself was only 23rd warmest such month on record (tied with 1980), the unusual warmth from January through August virtually guarantees that 2012 as a whole will be the warmest since modern recordkeeping began. According to the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), October through December would need to rank among the top 10 percent coldest such periods on record to thwart the warm temperature record. (Globally, however, 2012 is not expected to rank as the warmest year, as the January to August period ranked ninth on the list.)

EDIT

http://www.climatecentral.org/news/september-bookends-the-warmest-12-months-on-record-noaa-15094

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NOAA: For 1st Time, US Records 16 Straight Months Of Above-Avg. Temps; 9/11-9/12 Period Warmest Ever (Original Post) hatrack Oct 2012 OP
it`s going to be interesting if it flips the other way now... madrchsod Oct 2012 #1
Yes, that would make sense. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #3
Born and raised in Indiana Hatchling Oct 2012 #2

madrchsod

(58,162 posts)
1. it`s going to be interesting if it flips the other way now...
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 11:13 AM
Oct 2012

the el nino is waning and the forecast is colder and wetter this winter in the northern parts of the usa. it seems the severity of the flips is the biggest problem we face.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
3. Yes, that would make sense.
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 07:00 PM
Oct 2012

IF memory serves, btw, 2011 saw one of the strongest La Ninas on record.

And I think we can both agree that anthropogenic effects have probably played a role as well.

Hatchling

(2,323 posts)
2. Born and raised in Indiana
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 11:49 AM
Oct 2012

I never had to use much heating here in California. just layered clothing and an electric blanket during the coldest days days. I haven't had to use my electric blanket for the last two winters. My anecdote. The camellia bush outside my window started blooming last December and didn't stop until it got really hot.

And people every where around me often comment on how wierd the weather pattern is.

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