Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumThe End of the Shale Bubble?
The obvious response to this problem is to drill more wells, and this accordingly happened. That isnt a panacea, however. Oil and gas exploration is a highly sophisticated science, and oil and gas drilling companies can normally figure out the best sites for wells long before the drill bit hits the ground. Since they are in business to make money, they normally drill the best sites first. When that sensible habit intersects with the rapid production decline rates found in fracked wells, the result is a brutal form of economic arithmetic: as the best sites are drilled and the largest reserves drained, drilling companies have to drill more and more wells to keep the same amount of oil or gas flowing. Costs go up without increasing production, and unless prices rise, profits get hammered and companies start to go broke.
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What made this barrage of propaganda all the more fascinating was the immense gaps that separated it from the realities on and under the ground in Pennsylvania and North Dakota. The drastic depletion rates from fracked wells rarely got a mention, and the estimates of how much oil and gas were to be found in the various shale deposits zoomed upwards with wild abandon. Nor did the frenzy stop there; blatant falsehoods were served up repeatedly by people who had every reason to know that they were falseIm thinking here of the supposedly energy-literate pundits who insisted, repeatedly and loudly, that the Green River shale in the southwest was just like the Bakken and Marcellus shales, and would yield abundant oil and gas once it was fracked. (The Green River shale, for those who havent been keeping score, contains no oil or gas at all; instead, it contains kerogen, a waxy hydrocarbon goo that would have turned into oil or gas if it had stayed deep underground for a few million years longer, and kerogen cant be extracted by frackingor, for that matter, by any other economically viable method.)
Those who were paying attention to all the hoopla may have noticed that the vaporous claims being retailed by the mainstream media around the fracking boom resembled nothing so much as the equally insubstantial arguments most of the same media were serving up around the housing boom in the years immediately before the 2008 crash. The similarity isnt accidental, either. The same thing happened in both cases: Wall Street got into the act.
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-02-27/the-end-of-the-shale-bubble
Dryvinwhileblind
(153 posts)Champion Jack
(5,378 posts)Before we destroy our rural heritage
drynberg
(1,648 posts)Water, clean potable water.
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)because I just read this article over on his blog, and was afraid somebody was plagiarizing somebody!
Scary, because he doesn't often put specific time frames around things, but here he is forecasting the wall street fracking bubble to burst within the next few months.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)If that is consistent with the OP, so be it; but, it sounds like the OP is suggesting the end is here.
kristopher
(29,798 posts)The OP outlines evidence that, if confirmed, would instantly turn the investment tap full off.
I think the take presented by the OP is correct.
Javaman
(62,530 posts)there are superfund sites just waiting to be discovered.
companies will file bankruptcy and those people who had their land and water destroyed will have no recourse.
it will be the massive gift of "screw the people" for years to come and probably will never go away.
disaster capitalism.
4_TN_TITANS
(2,977 posts)When the profits are made and Big Oil and Gas are gone, guess who is left with the polluted ground water and clean up - if a clean up is even possible? How many times does this have to f'ing repeat itself?
limpyhobbler
(8,244 posts)They're screwing up the water and adding to global warming for just short term corporate profits. Same as it ever was.
Nihil
(13,508 posts)(And if it takes more of Wall Street with it, great!)