Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumCancer risk 70% higher for females in Fukushima area, says WHO
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/feb/28/cancer-risk-fukushima-whoA child is screened for radiation contamination before entering an evacuation center in Fukushima, Japan, Friday 1 April 2011. Photograph: Wally Santana/AP
People in the area worst affected by the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident two years ago have a higher risk of developing certain cancers, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Thursday.
A 9.0 magnitude earthquake and tsunami on March 11, 2011, killed nearly 19,000 people and devastated the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, triggering meltdowns, spewing radiation and forcing about 160,000 people to flee their homes.
"A breakdown of data, based on age, gender and proximity to the plant, does show a higher cancer risk for those located in the most contaminated parts," Dr Maria Neira, WHO director for public health and environment, said in a statement.
In the most contaminated area, the WHO estimated that there was a 70% higher risk of females exposed as infants developing thyroid cancer over their lifetime. The thyroid is the most exposed organ as radioactive iodine concentrates there and children are deemed especially vulnerable.
newfie11
(8,159 posts)For both sexes. No a good place to be.
Oops:
Now that I read the rest of it I see that is mentioned.
Must read all next time
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)K & R Thanks, newfie11, for showing you care.
xchrom
(108,903 posts)***SNIP
The biggest lifetime risks were seen in those exposed as infants, compared with children or adults.
For girls exposed to radiation from the accident as infants, the report found a 4% increase above the lifetime expected risk of solid tumours and a 6% increase above that expected for breast cancer.
Boys exposed as infants are expected to have a 7% increased risk of leukaemia above that expected in the normal population.
The biggest risk was seen in thyroid cancer, which for infant girls could be up to 70% higher than expected over their lifetime.
FBaggins
(26,748 posts)The Guardian title could easily leave the reader with the impression that females from Fukushima have a 70% higher cancer risk due to the accident... but of course that isn't what the report actually says.
I guess an accurate title wouldn't sell many papers.
Yo_Mama
(8,303 posts)than quite a few people in the US get from Xrays:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/26/health/26brody.html?_r=0
Proportionately speaking, the WHO report projects increased rates (using a high-bound method) which are probably going to be hard to find statistically.
Japan was lucky. The vast majority of the released radiation blew out to sea, and the significantly contaminated areas are small. And the WHO report agrees very well with Chernobyl data - which is not speculative. For the Chernobyl-exposed at rates such as those in most of Fukushima, any increased rates of cancer have been very small.
Still, I expect that the increased risk is there, because I think there are higher individual rates of exposure from natural environmental concentrations. But you won't see it in the data.
wtmusic
(39,166 posts)The baseline risk for thyroid cancer among female infants was .75%, it has increased to 1.25% for babies kept by their mothers in the two most contaminated areas of Fukushima prefecture for at least one year.
occur in the general population.
Meanwhile, 30,000 Americans have died from cancer due to coal smoke, and more people have died falling off their roofs erecting solar panels than will ever die from radiation at Fukushima.
Proportion matters.
Presumably, there aren't very many infants in the most-contaminated portions of Fukushima who stayed there for an entire year.
As an upper-bounds approximation of additional risk using LNT, this is dramatically better than even I expected in March of 2011.
Not that it will keep the usual suspects from misreading/misrepresenting the report (or making up their own entirely).
kristopher
(29,798 posts)Not purely fictitious creations of an industry totally lacking moral restraint.
You forgot, eh?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1127&pid=36980
kris,
We DO have very accurate data; and not due to the nuclear industry.
The US national laboratories were on top of this from the beginning including mine.
https://str.llnl.gov/JanFeb12/sugiyama.html
Making Sense of a Tsunami of Data
During the early days of the crisis, data were scarce. The tsunami brought down power lines, and many stations were off-line. But within days, the floodgates of 21st century communications opened up. NARAC carried out calculations based on information from a multitude of sourcesweather and monitoring stations in Japan, the DOE teams deployed to Japan, other national laboratories, NRC, and a plethora of Web sites and e-mail streams, many of which had to be translated and checked for accuracy.
Once in Japan, DOEs Aerial Measuring System and ground-monitoring teams began to send large volumes of valuable data to CMHT, as did Japanese organizations. Soon, NARAC was flooded with an abundance of riches. Having to process, quality assure, and analyze all the data so they could be used in support of modeling efforts was a major challenge, says Sugiyama.
It is either a MYTH or DOWNRIGHT LIE from the anti-nukes that there was no data, or that the data was made up by the nuclear industry.
We have had to inform people like Rosen of their ERROR in saying that there was no data, or that the results are less than what would be expected. These other people like Rosen are the one's that are going with "made up" or "approximated" data. The actual results from the actual measurements of what was released, is much, much milder than that hypothesized by people like Rosen. Besides, Rosen is part of an anti-nuclear advocacy group; how "objective" do you really think they are?
I know you don't like it; but we DO have very accurate data on what was released and the radiation effects thereof.
PamW
kristopher
(29,798 posts)Last edited Fri Mar 1, 2013, 08:05 AM - Edit history (1)
WHO downplayed health effects of nuclear crisis on Fukushima residents : German physicianSource: Japan Times
A German doctor and member of a Nobel Peace Prize-winning physicians' group has criticized a World Health Organization report on the Fukushima nuclear catastrophe for underestimating its impact on human health.
<snip>
Rosen, a member of International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War, called for an independent assessment based on solid scientific methodology that would examine the health impacts from radioactive fallout released after the Fukushima No. 1 complex suffered three core meltdowns in March 2011.
<snip>
Rosen noted that the WHO's estimate on the amount of radioactive fallout emitted from the plant's destroyed reactors was significantly lower than projections provided by research institutes in many other countries.
<snip>
"It is unclear why a report written mainly by the IAEA and collaborating nuclear institutions would need to be published in the name of the WHO, if not to provide an unsuspicious cover" for the true radiation levels Fukushima residents were exposed to, Rosen argued.
<snip>
Read more:
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2012/12/16/national/who-downplayed-health-effects-of-nuclear-crisis-on-fukushima-residents-german-physician/#.US-O9Y4yHdk
you'll need to scroll down to it
FBaggins
(26,748 posts)Surely you can do better than a German pediatrician on the board of an anti-nuke organization falsely criticizing a different assessment?
written mainly by the IAEA and collaborating nuclear institutions
The actual report from the OP lists 16 physicians from the WHO and 21 physicians from (among others):
Japan's National Institute of Radiological Sciences
Germany's Federal Office of Radiation Protection
Switzerland's Federal Office of Public Health
The UK's Health Protection Agency
Japan's Radiation Effects Research Foundation
The CDC
Frances's Institut de Radioprotection et de Surete Nucleaire
The National Cancer Institute (US)
The EPA
Finaland's Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority
The Russian Federation's Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine
And the Universities of Utah, Tampere, Wurzburg, Manchester, Bremen and Indiana University.
But by all means... let's listen instead to a pediatrician with no relevant expertise from Helen Caldicott's anti-nuke crusaders. That's where we'll find reality.
And on further review - the earlier piece (the one his reply actually relates to)... only three of the forty people involved were from the IAEA and only one of them was part of the nine primary contributors.