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Related: About this forumAbsent Climate Policies, Global Coal Use Will Soar In Coming Decades, EIA Report Says
Absent Climate Policies, Global Coal Use Will Soar In Coming Decades, EIA Report Says
If business as usual continues for the worlds climate policy, the EIAs mid-range projections show consumption of coal the dirtiest fossil fuel in terms of carbon emissions increasing by over a third by 2040. It nearly doubles by that time under the worst case scenarios. Specifically, the EIAs Reference Case projects global coal consumption jumping from 147.4 quadrillion Btu of energy in 2010 to 219.5 in 2040. Thats despite coal dropping slightly, from 28 to 27 percent, as a share of the worlds overall energy supply.
But looking across the range of scenarios the EIA lays out, coal consumption could only reach 182.2 quadrillion Btu by 2040 or go as high as 297.3 quadrillion Btu.
What the EIAs interactive tables also reveal is that virtually all this increase in consumption will come from China, India, and the developing world. Under every scenario, the United States coal consumption plateaus around 22 quadrillion Btu between 2010 and 2040. The advanced countries as a whole stop at 44.8 quadrillion Btu total in 2010, then stay flat or decrease slightly. Meanwhile, China, India, and the other developing countries in Asia rocket from 88.4 quadrillion Btu in 2010 to 156.8 quadrillion under the Reference Case or 231.6 quadrillion under the worst case scenario. Russia and the other developing European, the Middle East, Central and South America, and Africa all see jumps of varying degrees as well.
If business as usual continues for the worlds climate policy, the EIAs mid-range projections show consumption of coal the dirtiest fossil fuel in terms of carbon emissions increasing by over a third by 2040. It nearly doubles by that time under the worst case scenarios. Specifically, the EIAs Reference Case projects global coal consumption jumping from 147.4 quadrillion Btu of energy in 2010 to 219.5 in 2040. Thats despite coal dropping slightly, from 28 to 27 percent, as a share of the worlds overall energy supply.
But looking across the range of scenarios the EIA lays out, coal consumption could only reach 182.2 quadrillion Btu by 2040 or go as high as 297.3 quadrillion Btu.
What the EIAs interactive tables also reveal is that virtually all this increase in consumption will come from China, India, and the developing world. Under every scenario, the United States coal consumption plateaus around 22 quadrillion Btu between 2010 and 2040. The advanced countries as a whole stop at 44.8 quadrillion Btu total in 2010, then stay flat or decrease slightly. Meanwhile, China, India, and the other developing countries in Asia rocket from 88.4 quadrillion Btu in 2010 to 156.8 quadrillion under the Reference Case or 231.6 quadrillion under the worst case scenario. Russia and the other developing European, the Middle East, Central and South America, and Africa all see jumps of varying degrees as well.
And the last time I looked, climate policies were indeed still absent...
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Absent Climate Policies, Global Coal Use Will Soar In Coming Decades, EIA Report Says (Original Post)
GliderGuider
Jul 2013
OP
Yeah! We got ourselves got a stinking climate without needing any policies at all! nt
GliderGuider
Jul 2013
#2
pscot
(21,024 posts)1. Climate policies! We don't need
no stinking climate policies.
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)2. Yeah! We got ourselves got a stinking climate without needing any policies at all! nt
Last edited Sun Jul 28, 2013, 06:27 PM - Edit history (1)
NickB79
(19,274 posts)3. Don't worry, we have the Free Market to guide us
Have you no faith in our Lord and Savior, the One Free Market, my brother?
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)4. I keep getting smacked upside the head by this invisible hand...
Hey ... if it's supposed to be a free market, why is everything so damned expensive?
Yes, I'm having a crisis of faith. Maybe I should pray to the Holy Ghost of Uncle Milton Friedman...
NickB79
(19,274 posts)5. Just say 20 Hail Reagans on your rosary
And all will be forgiven.