Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumImagining post-nuclear Japan
"The lesson of Fukushima, Mr. Abe, is not the need for better public relations."BY JEFF KINGSTON
SPECIAL TO THE JAPAN TIMES
NOV 30, 2013
Former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi has sent shock waves through the political establishment by calling for the end of nuclear power generation in Japan. There is nothing more costly than nuclear power, Koizumi was quoted as saying during an interview with Tokyo Shimbun something Japanese taxpayers are coming to understand very well.
Koizumi may be a late convert to the anti-nuclear movement, but he remains popular, persuasive and, on this issue, absolutely right. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe might get some reactors back online in 2014, but he risks a powerful popular backlash because people are not ignoring the lessons of Fukushima. Koizumi is correct in saying that most politicians would go along with Abe if he stood up to the nuclear village and declared Abenomics meant tapping the green growth potential of smart, renewable energy. This is a sustainable and affordable low-carbon model that is far more suitable for Japan and developing nations than pricy nuclear reactors.
The old motto of the nuclear village safe, cheap and reliable now seems like a bad joke. It is hard to put a price tag on the overall consequences of the meltdowns at Fukushima and the ballooning costs of bailing out Tokyo Electric Power Co., but by some estimates its $100 billion and rising. There are still more than 100,000 nuclear refugees driven from their homes by the catastrophe. In early November, the government finally acknowledged that many can never return to their ancestral homes. Local farmers and fishermen have a deep hole to climb out of to regain consumer trust, while tourism has been hammered and faces tough prospects. Lingering stigma and health concerns are also exacting a stiff psychological toll on residents.
In the global lexicon, Fukushima is shorthand for nuclear disaster in much the same way as Chernobyl before it. It is indelibly tarnishing the Japan brand and will linger ominously despite Abes reassurances that the situation is under control. It doesnt help that polls show that only 11 percent of Japanese believe Abe, and even Tokyo Gov. Naoki Inose has suggested that Abe mislead the International Olympic Committee. The lesson of Fukushima, Mr. Abe, is not the need for better public relations.
Problematically, Abenomics relies heavily on nuclear energy...
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2013/11/30/commentary/imagining-post-nuclear-japan/
madokie
(51,076 posts)caused the cordoning off of a vast area of land, displaced many without a likely chance in their lifetimes of returning to their homes? Thats right I don't remember anything that has done that.
I just don't see a happy ending to this at all.
OnlinePoker
(5,721 posts)caraher
(6,278 posts)Fossil fuel use causes deaths from routine use at a level high enough that Hansen et al estimate that the electricity generation from fossil fuels equivalent to the electricity generated historically by nuclear results in 1.8 million deaths worldwide. (Their claim that nuclear therefore "saved" 1.8 million lives is considerably more problematic; their figure is more accurately an estimate of the fossil fuel death toll, given the assumption that nuclear displaced fossil fuels directly and the both the low number they use for Chernobyl deaths and the substantial uncertainty associated with realistic estimates.)
I think what's unique with nuclear is that the threshold for evacuating people is different relative to the risks. If we evacuated people from areas where the elevated death risk from exposure to fossil fuel pollution were comparable to the elevated risk from nuclear contamination, we'd probably have to shut down most cities.
As extraction methods for fossil fuels become more extreme, the "livability" of increasingly large regions will also degrade. Fracking and mountaintop removal mining pose real threats to water supplies, and I don't imagine the tar sand regions will be very good places to live after squeezing out the petroleum.
The prospect of potentially losing many square miles to nuclear accidents every N reactor years may be the best way to estimate the downside of serious reactor accidents. No matter how one tweaks the numbers, fatalities per TWh generated can't really capture the harm associated with loss of land. But how to weigh that against the risks of other ways of harnessing energy depends a lot on which alternatives are in play; it may be a unique feature of INES 7 accidents, but there are similar drawbacks to other energy technologies. Even deploying large-scale solar involves making decisions about land use that can disrupt ecosystems on a many-square-miles scale (though obviously a considered decision to build such an array, with opportunities to assess environmental impacts in advance and the potential to remove the hardware easily, is very different from unplanned and uncontrolled release of radioactive materials with half-lives measured in decades!).
kristopher
(29,798 posts)Nov 28, 2013
...
Studies have shown that soil erosion can move the radioactive varieties of cesium-134 and 137 from the northern mountains near Fukushima into rivers, and then out into the Pacific Ocean.
...
The typhoons "strongly contribute" to soil dispersal, said Evrard, though it can be months later, after the winter snow melts, that contamination actually passes into rivers.
Local populations who escaped the initial fallout two-and-a-half years ago could now find their food or water contaminated by the cesium particles as they penetrate agricultural land and coastal plains, researchers warned.
Last year, the radioactive content of Japan's rivers dropped due to fairly moderate typhoons. But more frequent and fierce storms in 2013 have brought a new flood of cesium particles. This is, said Evrard, "proof that the source of the radioactivity has not diminished upstream"...
http://phys.org/news/2013-11-typhoons-fukushima-fallout.html#