Environment & Energy
Related: About this forum"There's Not Going To Be Anything Close To Equilibrium" - Rapid Climate Destabilization This Century
According to a new paper published Monday in Nature Climate Change, its about to get a whole lot hotter thats the projected trend after looking at the weather over 40-year periods. While the fact that next century may bring us temperatures over the two degree Celsius mark (thats 33.5 degrees Fahrenheit) sounds alarming enough, imagine a milennium of record temperatures, that could bring about the detriment of human survival.
According to the latest research, the Arctic, along with North America and Europe will be among the first regions on Earth whose climates will significantly reshape with wet areas becoming much wetter and dry areas desiccating further. Therefore, it is imperative that policy makers and researchers begin planning for adaptations to this new environment. Essentially the world is entering a new regime where what is normal is going to continue to change and its changing at a rate than natural processes might not be able to keep up with, said Steven Smith, a researcher at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.
Although an analysis of the past millennium shows a fluctuation of temperatures at 0.2°F each decade both moving up and down, the last four decades show something rather alarming. Not only have temperatures climbed consistently each decade since 1975, the warming is encroaching on an average of 0.4°F per decade. Its a rate thats only barely within historical trends. By 2020, researchers expect these warming rates to accelerate beyond the historical bounds of the last 1,000 years continuing to rise. If nations do not work to control greenhouse gas emissions, this rate is expected to spike up to 0.7°F per decade, a high that is expected to remain until at least 2100.
These historic levels of warming are expected to begin in the northern hemisphere, which is already seeing a significant decrease in ice levels. Temperatures in the Arctic are expected to rise 1.1°F per decade by the year 2040, while the warming rates in North America and Europe will be somewhat lower, the rates of warming will be equally unprecedented. With those high rates of change, theres not going to be anything close to equilibrium, said Smith.
EDIT
http://www.sciencerecorder.com/news/global-warming-records-unseen-for-1000-years-could-become-the-norm/
pscot
(21,024 posts)which is probably why most people refuse to think about it. That and an utter and complete failure of imagination.
Mojorabbit
(16,020 posts)I am too old to move and will probably be to frail to do so when this starts moving as quickly as described but I would love to find an area that might be livable for my nieces and nephews if that is even possible.